Simple-Poisoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-29 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% -$9

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	07-14 02:21
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		+2	$2	92¢	$2	$0	07-13 23:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$871	874	+874	Yes	+$3	03-11 05:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	1	$868	871	+871	Yes	+$3	03-10 11:08
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	2	$867	868	+868	Yes	+$2	03-09 09:04
bitcoin above 70k on march 7	1	$858	867	+867	No	+$9	03-07 14:31
bitcoin above 78k on march 19	1	$851	853	+853	No	+$2	03-18 21:32
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	9	$847	851	+851	No	+$4	03-17 21:46
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	1	$845	846	+846	Yes	+$1	03-16 03:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	1	$844	848	+848	No	+$4	03-20 11:27
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	2	$843	845	+845	No	+$3	03-14 03:05
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$842	843	+843	Yes	+$1	03-13 01:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$840	842	+842	Yes	+$2	03-12 13:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	4	$507	507	+507	Yes	+$1	03-17 10:17
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$339	340	+340	No	+$0	03-17 11:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$26	17,400	+17,400	Yes	-$26	03-12 08:02
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	04-06 00:37
bitcoin above 62k on april 4	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	04-04 01:33
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	04-02 00:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	03-22 10:05
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	04-01 02:34
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-30 23:25
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-30 02:04
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-28 03:18
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-27 00:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-25 01:16
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	03-24 09:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	03-23 04:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	05-03 01:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	04-27 09:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	04-30 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 02:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc48cdc…
07-24 02:02:18	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc447c6…
07-19 22:19:06	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8e9f2…
07-14 02:21:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3877dc…
07-13 23:59:11	bitcoin above 56k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b1adf…
07-13 23:57:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc6aee6…
07-11 23:23:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6273b…
07-05 02:59:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffb5b7…
06-29 23:40:40	bitcoin above 54k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0eec7…
06-27 02:01:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfc30…
06-21 23:04:04	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fb5bc…
06-20 00:24:02	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce98c9…
06-18 23:55:41	bitcoin above 56k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4245c…
06-16 02:05:09	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b2703…
06-13 02:29:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c3899…
06-09 00:04:18	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7d9e4…
06-04 23:39:46	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x422a39…
06-02 04:09:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x231729…
05-31 03:46:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2c7f7…
05-28 08:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32f75e…
05-25 22:52:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb1e51…
05-24 01:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60515f…
05-23 08:57:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf53d69…
05-22 00:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf46790…
05-21 03:09:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf724b…
05-19 23:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3932c…
05-19 03:47:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50e1a3…
05-17 23:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62a4b6…
05-15 23:29:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x519a84…
05-14 22:51:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa64eb7…
05-14 02:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1890bb…
05-12 23:47:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f81cb…
05-11 02:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4de60…
05-09 23:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe38a8e…
05-09 03:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x984683…
05-07 22:30:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x308faf…
05-07 00:49:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef5b40…
05-05 21:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e6fb2…
05-05 04:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e03a5…
05-03 23:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x943cbe…
05-03 01:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x02c21f…
05-02 03:21:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc50dde…
05-01 03:59:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4038e8…
04-30 02:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x86f688…
04-28 08:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3f5292…
04-27 09:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a79ed…
04-23 02:26:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49acf1…
04-22 02:38:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6f68e3…
04-20 21:32:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e74aa…
04-18 03:06:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x639fa7…
04-15 21:23:54	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x626097…
04-13 22:01:57	bitcoin above 66k on april 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x770ef7…
04-13 05:58:53	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd8c502…
04-12 01:31:53	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf7ef70…
04-10 23:28:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x47745b…
04-09 07:39:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6fb049…
04-08 00:22:45	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x695e5b…
04-07 04:05:51	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x87c9cc…
04-06 00:37:55	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa21b40…
04-04 01:33:51	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfcf9ed…
04-02 00:26:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe26c9a…
04-01 02:34:17	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7fad27…
03-30 23:25:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf64544…
03-30 02:04:58	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x34e126…
03-28 03:18:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6776fc…
03-27 00:25:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0af438…
03-25 01:16:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x21d82f…
03-24 09:24:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe3bc76…
03-23 04:34:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4175c6…
03-23 04:24:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdb2f5…
03-22 10:05:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x75b8de…
03-20 11:27:15	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	848	100¢	$844	0x6a8e86…
03-20 05:39:23	bitcoin above 76k on march 20	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xf3fbf0…
03-18 21:32:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	BUY	853	100¢	$851	0xb16176…
03-17 21:46:37	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2dfaef…
03-17 21:46:15	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15281b…
03-17 21:46:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xe0a644…
03-17 21:46:11	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xcb45f3…
03-17 21:34:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xaeae20…
03-17 21:33:51	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xd406e0…
03-17 21:33:51	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xaf4dad…
03-17 21:30:03	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x674aec…
03-17 21:23:33	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x869178…
03-17 11:00:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x7523f6…
03-17 10:17:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc3886d…
03-17 10:06:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1575c1…
03-17 10:04:27	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6c6a37…
03-17 10:04:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xf1181a…
03-16 03:49:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	846	100¢	$845	0xe06641…
03-14 03:05:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0xd47f14…
03-14 02:57:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	536	100¢	$535	0x08b449…
03-13 01:33:11	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	843	100¢	$842	0x80b932…
03-12 13:23:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	842	100¢	$840	0x5a777e…
03-12 08:02:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	No	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x4dbd78…
03-12 07:27:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	3,647	0¢	$4	0x92d4b0…
03-12 07:26:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	159	0¢	$0	0x255f12…
03-12 07:23:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x23d04c…
03-12 07:23:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x07f133…
03-12 07:23:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf273c0…
03-12 07:23:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xede764…