Luminous-Edition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$427

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-11 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 49% $-13

Other

1% 50% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776935700	16	$27	26	25	+1	open	—	04-23 09:27
btc updown 15m 1776915000	14	$22	34	32	+2	open	—	04-23 03:41
btc updown 15m 1776917700	9	$19	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 04:23
btc updown 15m 1776937500	4	$16	22	21	+1	open	—	04-23 09:58
btc updown 15m 1776926700	8	$15	8	16	-8	open	—	04-23 06:59
btc updown 15m 1776919500	7	$14	8	18	-10	open	—	04-23 04:58
btc updown 15m 1776932100	5	$13	10	15	-6	open	—	04-23 08:21
btc updown 15m 1776915900	7	$13	22	21	+1	open	—	04-23 03:56
btc updown 15m 1776927600	4	$12	0	20	-20	open	—	04-23 07:12
xrp updown 15m 1776999600	7	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 03:14
eth updown 5m 1776939600	6	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 10:24
btc updown 15m 1776916800	10	$10	18	17	+1	open	—	04-23 04:11
doge updown 15m 1776998700	6	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	04-24 02:58
sol updown 15m 1776926700	8	$9	34	32	+2	open	—	04-23 06:56
btc updown 15m 1776918600	9	$8	28	26	+2	open	—	04-23 04:42
btc updown 15m 1776997800	8	$7	5	12	-7	open	—	04-24 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$7	1	11	-10	Up	$-0	05-07 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:17
xrp updown 15m 1776927600	3	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-23 07:05
eth updown 15m 1776933000	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 08:40
sol updown 15m 1776928500	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 07:26
btc updown 15m 1776931200	5	$5	7	5	+2	open	—	04-23 08:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-29 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$4	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 07:57
btc updown 5m 1776939900	3	$4	11	10	+1	open	—	04-23 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$4	8	2	+6	Down	$-2	05-07 09:36
btc updown 15m 1776936600	3	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 09:35
eth updown 15m 1776927600	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:56:19	btc updown 5m 1781150100	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd1215b…
06-11 03:56:03	btc updown 5m 1781150100	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a194e…
06-03 03:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe4edfc…
06-03 03:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x45c9b0…
06-03 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x2a0607…
06-02 04:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5c2714…
06-02 04:51:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbfd594…
06-02 04:42:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5635eb…
06-02 04:42:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xed608a…
05-29 09:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x8c7e95…
05-29 09:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6ad78a…
05-29 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x183985…
05-08 11:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x73388d…
05-08 09:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xccda9c…
05-07 11:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x98f1f4…
05-07 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6ea39b…
05-07 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x830599…
05-07 09:42:40	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c1057…
05-07 09:37:34	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3c5c7c…
05-07 09:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x26161c…
05-07 09:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x297a06…
05-07 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x83f019…
05-07 09:34:35	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x589fe7…
05-07 09:34:32	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7ed1f7…
05-07 09:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x08f38a…
05-07 09:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf35bd7…
05-07 09:26:08	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xd6ad17…
05-07 09:24:42	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b4ac6…
05-07 09:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa1035a…
05-07 09:17:51	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x25516d…
05-07 09:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc09489…
05-07 09:10:26	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaad6b2…
05-07 09:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8f7880…
05-07 09:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x876e5d…
05-07 09:01:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x8a6ba3…
05-07 09:00:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2849ba…
05-07 08:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1d3332…
05-07 08:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x5c0f14…
05-07 08:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6d84b2…
05-07 08:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb86cfd…
05-07 08:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x046e85…
05-07 08:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xeeae95…
05-07 08:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa58b8f…
05-07 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x98bbd8…
05-07 08:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb04e7e…
05-07 08:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xab02e9…
05-07 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2fe8ee…
05-07 08:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd75432…
05-07 08:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7aabcd…
05-07 08:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x22ea6d…
05-07 08:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xacbc31…
05-07 08:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa4a188…
05-07 08:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb14ae9…
05-07 08:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc5945a…
05-07 08:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xbf8953…
05-07 08:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe423f9…
05-07 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x5d74ee…
05-07 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x09ee32…
05-07 07:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x140412…
05-07 07:58:08	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc49f5a…
05-07 07:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0f56ff…
05-07 07:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xa185dc…
05-07 07:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6b2d07…
05-07 07:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81f153…
05-07 07:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbd4638…
05-07 07:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1e2400…
05-07 07:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9092ad…
05-07 07:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x543ea3…
05-07 07:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x7953ed…
05-07 07:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x473442…
05-07 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x43eadc…
05-07 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x55c407…
05-07 03:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x6878dd…
05-07 03:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb014c3…
05-07 03:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x1d383c…
05-07 03:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x698e40…
05-07 03:17:21	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2e9233…
05-07 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x6c6fb1…
05-07 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdf19fa…
05-07 02:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5262ae…
05-07 02:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x634ca7…
05-07 02:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a955d…
05-06 09:25:42	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x74bff3…
05-06 09:23:08	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe9eef0…
05-06 09:17:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2aaf93…
05-06 09:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x7529d4…
05-06 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9f2b5e…
05-06 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1aa510…
05-06 08:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8df86b…
05-06 07:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee1f31…
05-06 07:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x637f2a…
04-24 04:13:10	eth updown 15m 1777003200	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x911205…
04-24 04:10:40	eth updown 15m 1777003200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d2c01…
04-24 04:09:46	btc updown 5m 1777003500	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x35f832…
04-24 03:36:42	btc updown 15m 1777001400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcbe2e0…
04-24 03:34:06	xrp updown 15m 1777001400	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x58b7d9…
04-24 03:33:44	xrp updown 15m 1777001400	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x85a78a…
04-24 03:20:56	btc updown 15m 1777000500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfc3bad…
04-24 03:17:58	btc updown 15m 1777000500	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf4a131…
04-24 03:17:44	btc updown 15m 1777000500	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb00b7c…