Gentle-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$93

Unrealized P&L

+$464

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

277

20,819 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.79K

$97.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.93K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 288 days

Categories

Other

70% 26% +$2,032

Sports

24% 29% +$219

Politics

4% 24% -$465

Crypto

2% 32% -$95

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Tech

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+11,000	$809	12¢	$1.4K	+$566	10-23 13:59
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+5,000	$156	3¢	$173	+$17	10-04 21:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+290	$96	30¢	$86	-$10	10-27 21:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+340	$96	24¢	$80	-$16	10-27 21:44
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,750	$97	4¢	$71	-$26	10-30 14:04
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,000	$102	6¢	$65	-$37	11-01 13:43
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+680	$65	8¢	$53	-$12	11-01 16:27
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,000	$20	2¢	$20	-$1	11-01 13:44
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+80	$6	9¢	$7	+$1	11-01 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+100	$5	2¢	$2	-$2	11-01 20:31
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	+100	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-28 20:51
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+11	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-28 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+200	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-01 19:52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+200	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-31 01:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$2.1K	4,223	4,223	+0	Yes	+$732	07-19 21:02
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	22	$2.0K	16,000	5,000	+11,000	open	—	10-23 13:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	61	$1.3K	3,978	3,565	+413	No	-$2	07-19 21:50
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	31	$1.2K	6,601	6,601	+0	open	—	10-29 02:43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$1.1K	4,405	3,675	+730	No	-$86	07-15 20:57
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	27	$1.0K	871	868	+3	Sean Strickland	-$108	05-10 04:52
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	53	$992	18,874	17,274	+1,600	No	+$19	07-07 00:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	69	$861	3,973	3,892	+81	Yes	+$245	04-30 19:20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	103	$788	4,491	4,426	+65	Yes	+$132	05-12 15:02
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	24	$735	10,160	10,160	+0	open	—	10-17 23:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	42	$701	3,783	2,783	+1,000	open	—	11-01 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	74	$672	2,102	2,075	+27	No	+$75	05-05 15:36
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	64	$662	4,285	4,023	+262	No	+$262	03-10 15:58
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	38	$579	3,882	3,882	+0	open	—	10-15 23:11
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	32	$560	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	10-13 19:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	39	$558	2,320	2,320	+0	No	+$104	03-05 04:07
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	22	$539	1,344	1,344	+0	No	+$9	03-30 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	78	$501	2,147	2,090	+56	No	+$69	05-08 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	78	$493	2,174	1,975	+199	No	-$22	05-05 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	72	$447	5,226	5,047	+179	No	+$173	04-30 22:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	56	$445	3,078	3,001	+77	No	+$103	03-19 01:45
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	31	$439	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$61	04-06 14:04
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	10	$377	2,249	2,249	+0	open	—	09-01 20:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	19	$370	938	938	+0	Yes	+$145	06-02 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	25	$355	900	900	+0	Yes	+$92	08-13 23:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	80	$353	6,094	6,039	+56	No	+$57	03-04 22:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$348	440	440	+0	No	+$56	03-18 18:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	97	$343	3,957	3,767	+190	No	+$32	04-19 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	76	$337	1,826	1,826	+0	No	+$23	05-26 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	65	$334	2,819	2,652	+166	No	+$32	04-27 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:31:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x120992…
11-01 20:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7edfe1…
11-01 19:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0xdc2987…
11-01 19:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x115c32…
11-01 19:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x494862…
11-01 19:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04486d…
11-01 19:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	18¢	$6	0xf00984…
11-01 16:27:51	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	8¢	$34	0x41b71f…
11-01 13:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1e8b8b…
11-01 13:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x202402…
11-01 13:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3bf3e4…
11-01 13:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x4cec92…
11-01 13:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9beb2…
11-01 13:44:03	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x7afd10…
11-01 13:43:40	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xea24b1…
11-01 13:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x18b10b…
11-01 13:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf9cbea…
11-01 13:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x8fb17c…
11-01 13:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x830e4c…
11-01 13:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x0a3e36…
11-01 13:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9bdfcc…
11-01 12:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8ea65e…
11-01 12:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x13e78a…
11-01 12:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf9f381…
11-01 12:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x45a126…
11-01 12:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4a849d…
11-01 10:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6c29a4…
11-01 10:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4e0307…
11-01 04:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xfff49a…
11-01 02:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xaee5c5…
11-01 02:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2710a6…
10-31 23:32:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$3	0x06c714…
10-31 23:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xce2c52…
10-31 23:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xf567d7…
10-31 22:25:00	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x422158…
10-31 22:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0xee7d63…
10-31 22:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0x1f00dd…
10-31 22:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	3¢	$7	0x2fa167…
10-31 22:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	6¢	$9	0xd36fe7…
10-31 19:54:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xd0bad8…
10-31 18:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x32bbd9…
10-31 18:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x455075…
10-31 18:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf3c3ef…
10-31 13:52:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9f0bce…
10-31 13:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8fe940…
10-31 11:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf72178…
10-31 11:20:09	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x45edf4…
10-31 11:19:48	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33e12b…
10-31 11:18:57	Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ef403…
10-31 10:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4106aa…
10-31 10:56:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x0d5d5f…
10-31 10:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x3757c1…
10-31 10:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x73bdbe…
10-31 10:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xbfa0ec…
10-31 10:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x67a010…
10-31 10:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x7b2149…
10-31 10:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x614bf9…
10-31 10:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x7d6dae…
10-31 10:48:24	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x29f6e5…
10-31 10:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x00e2e3…
10-31 10:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x24cad5…
10-31 10:03:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x749bec…
10-31 01:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x486bde…
10-31 01:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x3876dc…
10-31 01:45:21	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$31	0x7eb39a…
10-31 01:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x7a2603…
10-31 00:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xecb13c…
10-31 00:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1b0375…
10-31 00:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x45a1fb…
10-30 23:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xdfb697…
10-30 23:59:00	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x7d40fa…
10-30 23:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xdef686…
10-30 21:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xa3beff…
10-30 21:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xb3b795…
10-30 21:40:49	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb375b2…
10-30 21:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x9c46e6…
10-30 21:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6d314b…
10-30 21:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x1e0ca6…
10-30 21:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5ceef2…
10-30 21:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x187906…
10-30 20:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x6c20be…
10-30 20:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x640c43…
10-30 20:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x95b3cc…
10-30 20:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x8b75e7…
10-30 19:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xe67280…
10-30 16:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0be57d…
10-30 16:54:27	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x1379d3…
10-30 16:54:12	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$4	0x65d744…
10-30 16:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd7b300…
10-30 16:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xe5b285…
10-30 15:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xefcd92…
10-30 15:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x756745…
10-30 15:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x180889…
10-30 15:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x4f505c…
10-30 15:13:24	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x1018ad…
10-30 15:06:49	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x91e516…
10-30 15:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc7d28a…
10-30 15:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x9c9351…
10-30 14:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf09f47…
10-30 14:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xed8cd7…