Realized P&L (90d)
-$81
Unrealized P&L
+$616
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved (90d)
842
Trades (90d)
4,393
21,034 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.7K
$98.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.88K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 11-05 23:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
70% 26% +$1,971
Sports
24% 29% +$219
Politics
4% 23% -$811
Crypto
2% 32% -$95
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Tech
0% 0% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +11,000 $809 14¢ $1.5K +$676 10-23 13:59
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,000 $156 3¢ $158 +$2 10-04 21:45
Jaguars vs. Ravens Jaguars +125 $100 78¢ $98 -$2 11-02 16:41
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +250 $52 18¢ $44 -$9 11-02 15:18
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +333 $67 8¢ $25 -$43 11-05 20:15
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +250 -$65 9¢ $22 +$88 11-05 20:15
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +500 $51 3¢ $16 -$35 11-02 15:14
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +32 $8 23¢ $8 -$1 11-05 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$2 11-05 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +103 -$17 5¢ $5 +$23 11-05 23:49
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 11-05 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +170 $3 1¢ $2 -$2 11-05 18:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 11-05 18:33
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-05 11:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +42 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 11-05 19:41
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +22 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-04 20:49
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +736 $66 0¢ $1 -$65 11-05 23:45
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +135 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-05 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +108 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-04 03:57
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +139 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 11-05 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-04 14:34