Disastrous-Theater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-21 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

43% 0% $-7

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No		-2	$-1	90¢	$-1	$-0	07-21 16:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$82	223	0	+223	open	—	03-26 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 17:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	04-06 09:45
btc updown 5m 1774280700	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-23 15:50
btc updown 5m 1775144400	2	$16	17	16	+1	open	—	04-02 15:45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	05-29 18:54
btc updown 5m 1781013600	4	$14	19	7	+12	open	—	06-09 14:03
btc updown 5m 1773421200	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 17:05
btc updown 5m 1773420000	7	$11	9	7	+2	open	—	03-13 16:45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-23 16:21
btc updown 5m 1773281100	3	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	03-12 02:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	03-27 22:11
btc updown 5m 1773417600	4	$9	7	6	+2	open	—	03-13 16:05
btc updown 5m 1774374300	3	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-24 17:49
btc updown 5m 1773279600	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 01:42
btc updown 5m 1775145000	3	$6	14	4	+9	open	—	04-02 15:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$6	34	0	+34	open	—	04-14 22:36
btc updown 5m 1773845700	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Up	$-5	05-08 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 15:35
btc updown 5m 1773280500	5	$5	8	2	+6	open	—	03-12 01:58
btc updown 5m 1773285000	4	$5	116	2	+115	open	—	03-12 03:16
btc updown 5m 1773846000	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 15:02
btc updown 5m 1774296000	4	$4	21	0	+21	open	—	03-23 20:03
btc updown 5m 1773279900	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-12 01:48
btc updown 5m 1773490500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 12:20
btc updown 5m 1773846300	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-18 15:05
btc updown 5m 1773763800	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	03-17 16:15
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-14 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-08 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:43:28	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x6c3649…
06-09 14:03:19	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbfa1a9…
06-09 14:02:25	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x6f51cd…
06-09 14:01:52	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x05ee3c…
06-09 14:01:06	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbd372e…
05-29 18:54:48	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x00f849…
05-29 18:42:25	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1f15df…
05-14 17:11:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x397941…
05-12 11:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff21c8…
05-08 16:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x93e10f…
05-08 16:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f3ccc…
05-08 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x941c16…
05-04 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6859eb…
04-14 22:36:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x57fe2d…
04-06 09:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x06c9d6…
04-02 15:58:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc8768a…
04-02 15:58:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xb442f8…
04-02 15:55:31	btc updown 5m 1775145000	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6ff764…
04-02 15:54:49	btc updown 5m 1775145000	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1d8396…
04-02 15:51:33	btc updown 5m 1775145000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf144a2…
04-02 15:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bf610…
04-02 15:50:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x05f4d0…
04-02 15:45:37	btc updown 5m 1775144400	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x6c85ea…
04-02 15:41:59	btc updown 5m 1775144400	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5ac9e3…
03-27 22:11:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3a659a…
03-27 21:10:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa4afda…
03-27 21:09:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1c7080…
03-27 16:39:21	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe1ac94…
03-26 16:07:07	btc updown 5m 1774541100	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda295c…
03-26 14:02:39	btc updown 5m 1774533600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x138cf6…
03-26 14:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x38ee45…
03-26 02:15:21	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a9a22…
03-26 02:15:11	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb60c79…
03-25 16:47:01	btc updown 5m 1774457100	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe78578…
03-25 16:47:01	btc updown 5m 1774457100	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3262f8…
03-24 17:49:15	btc updown 5m 1774374300	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x917d61…
03-24 17:47:53	btc updown 5m 1774374300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29e4c1…
03-24 17:45:23	btc updown 5m 1774374300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb59fed…
03-23 20:03:05	btc updown 5m 1774296000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x757565…
03-23 20:02:17	btc updown 5m 1774296000	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53efd6…
03-23 20:01:39	btc updown 5m 1774296000	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03d7d0…
03-23 20:00:53	btc updown 5m 1774296000	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb8e142…
03-23 16:33:25	btc updown 5m 1774283400	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x95e8c1…
03-23 16:21:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8b5dc7…
03-23 15:56:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2a9141…
03-23 15:50:21	btc updown 5m 1774280700	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x751d6b…
03-23 15:49:11	btc updown 5m 1774280700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x98f980…
03-23 15:47:03	btc updown 5m 1774280700	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x50746e…
03-23 15:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	112	36¢	$40	0x740990…
03-23 15:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	89	39¢	$35	0x8d1f2e…
03-18 15:05:47	btc updown 5m 1773846300	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x8d2e1c…
03-18 15:02:31	btc updown 5m 1773846000	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x8fe5bb…
03-18 15:01:45	btc updown 5m 1773846000	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x8c8a34…
03-18 15:00:11	btc updown 5m 1773845700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac7d0d…
03-18 14:59:17	btc updown 5m 1773845700	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7208ef…
03-18 14:58:47	btc updown 5m 1773845700	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7d62a9…
03-18 14:58:13	btc updown 5m 1773845700	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc0e991…
03-17 16:16:07	btc updown 5m 1773764100	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9e69e6…
03-17 16:15:59	btc updown 5m 1773764100	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4dc3a7…
03-17 16:15:19	btc updown 5m 1773763800	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6063b…
03-17 16:14:21	btc updown 5m 1773763800	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9c3565…
03-17 10:15:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x61a407…
03-16 17:20:43	btc updown 5m 1773681600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa675fa…
03-16 16:53:53	btc updown 5m 1773679800	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe33cdb…
03-16 08:48:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x685056…
03-16 08:01:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d69bf…
03-15 15:10:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc3c2a7…
03-14 21:25:05	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe89d41…
03-14 21:24:45	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x5988c1…
03-14 21:01:11	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6d96f2…
03-14 20:57:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x189fd4…
03-14 12:23:31	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9c87d9…
03-14 12:20:15	btc updown 5m 1773490500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc17e9…
03-14 12:19:25	btc updown 5m 1773490500	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11b509…
03-14 04:03:41	will stanley leavell be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xae5b28…
03-14 04:03:37	will steve botsford jr be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xad8b6a…
03-13 17:05:35	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x8626db…
03-13 17:04:49	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f6d4a…
03-13 17:03:29	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xea0424…
03-13 16:45:31	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca0c01…
03-13 16:44:11	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54b970…
03-13 16:43:15	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x003882…
03-13 16:41:39	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xdb6e1c…
03-13 16:41:23	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2ddd99…
03-13 16:40:47	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc61acc…
03-13 16:40:29	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf69b17…
03-13 16:15:01	btc updown 5m 1773418200	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb28ab2…
03-13 16:11:43	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x7ea615…
03-13 16:11:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xae2945…
03-13 16:10:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x836b21…
03-13 16:05:29	btc updown 5m 1773417600	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xefe8f7…
03-13 16:04:15	btc updown 5m 1773417600	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb680b6…
03-13 16:02:09	btc updown 5m 1773417600	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x355f40…
03-13 16:01:17	btc updown 5m 1773417600	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5488e9…
03-12 17:39:59	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2057b6…
03-12 17:39:53	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8fc789…
03-12 03:16:35	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcba26a…
03-12 03:16:15	btc updown 5m 1773285000	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x519d47…
03-12 03:15:53	btc updown 5m 1773285000	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4fdb6d…
03-12 03:14:49	btc updown 5m 1773285000	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb6937d…