Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$416

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

4.4%

Resolved

367

Trades

996

lifetime

Volume

$7.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 07-18 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

78% 9% -$293

Politics

11% 0% -$70

Tech

7% 0% -$25

Sports

3% 0% -$28

Crypto

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes		+1	$2	11¢	$0	-$2	07-02 21:10
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+0	$1	98¢	$0	-$1	07-04 10:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	9	$143	192	192	+0	No	-$8	06-17 04:40
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	9	$116	150	150	+0	Yes	-$10	06-23 21:16
will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	4	$110	59	59	+0	No	-$1	07-16 23:14
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-28 23:56
will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-02 15:48
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-03 19:35
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	5	$85	70	70	+0	open	—	07-05 22:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$85	49	49	+0	open	—	06-29 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	2	$85	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-23 20:43
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	2	$78	50	50	+0	Yes	-$8	07-02 12:26
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	2	$78	100	100	+0	open	—	07-16 22:56
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	06-29 00:00
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	2	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	-$12	07-02 07:29
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	12	$73	81	81	+0	No	$0	06-25 00:04
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	-$7	06-25 17:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	06-23 04:50
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$70	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-03 23:49
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	4	$69	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-25 17:50
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	4	$69	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-06 15:35
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-06 20:38
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	2	$68	43	43	+0	No	$0	06-24 07:24
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$67	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-18 16:25
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$66	50	50	+0	Yes	-$12	07-06 12:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	6	$60	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 06:59
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-16 23:06
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	07-06 16:39
will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	07-06 16:05
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	-$13	07-06 12:31
aapl up or down on june 16 2026	2	$46	50	50	+0	Up	$0	06-16 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?	5	$46	53	53	+0	Yes	-$1	06-15 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:25:28	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xe69c0f…
07-18 16:24:21	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x37f314…
07-18 16:14:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x08cb65…
07-18 16:01:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x02923d…
07-18 16:01:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0x081001…
07-18 15:43:24	Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x97a91b…
07-18 15:42:21	Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x8de209…
07-18 14:30:12	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x02503b…
07-18 14:30:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3e69c5…
07-18 12:09:55	Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x1368e0…
07-18 12:09:54	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260717142156662	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x499518…
07-18 12:09:36	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260717142156662	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x228c28…
07-18 12:06:01	Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xfff31c…
07-18 12:06:01	Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x2123ae…
07-17 11:58:22	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4a8631…
07-17 11:57:52	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8e65e7…
07-17 11:49:10	will anyone say wine during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303781	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xfbea4d…
07-17 11:47:19	will anyone say wine during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303781	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x52d532…
07-17 11:47:12	will anyone say wine during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303781	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x270e86…
07-17 10:45:48	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x821634…
07-17 10:36:15	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x35ece9…
07-17 10:35:39	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x77852e…
07-17 10:14:16	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xf49f94…
07-17 10:07:49	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x416e4a…
07-17 10:07:45	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xde221f…
07-16 23:14:35	will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xce4050…
07-16 23:14:20	will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x749013…
07-16 23:06:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x02bc07…
07-16 23:05:56	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x64cafe…
07-16 22:56:17	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x54e91c…
07-16 22:56:11	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6802f8…
07-16 22:38:23	will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd1bf7e…
07-16 22:38:05	will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd13104…
07-16 22:24:56	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x902c63…
07-16 21:41:37	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x8d8785…
07-16 21:38:49	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x534600…
07-06 22:38:43	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xdfb48a…
07-06 22:38:43	will trump praise dana white by july 31 20260626214328041	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x7fb22b…
07-06 22:38:43	Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x288cc5…
07-06 20:39:31	Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc49934…
07-06 20:38:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x03079c…
07-06 20:37:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x829588…
07-06 20:32:34	will trump praise dana white by july 31 20260626214328041	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x977709…
07-06 20:32:25	will trump praise dana white by july 31 20260626214328041	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x206bb0…
07-06 20:25:52	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x39777b…
07-06 20:25:43	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xac087d…
07-06 19:10:47	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x2e1e95…
07-06 16:39:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xddfdab…
07-06 16:38:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x5fd696…
07-06 16:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x50da08…
07-06 16:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7d1c6a…
07-06 16:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd67af0…
07-06 16:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3fd0de…
07-06 16:05:26	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xe868f6…
07-06 16:05:16	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xe7b934…
07-06 15:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xc57784…
07-06 15:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf2dbc6…
07-06 15:35:47	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x390363…
07-06 15:35:40	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x05aaf1…
07-06 15:34:28	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x68f01b…
07-06 15:34:17	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xcdd44e…
07-06 15:33:49	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1c6930…
07-06 15:26:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xc52a56…
07-06 15:26:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x57a8df…
07-06 15:26:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x94217e…
07-06 12:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x8e8c89…
07-06 12:37:02	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xf9cf9e…
07-06 12:36:55	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x114877…
07-06 12:34:23	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xae082b…
07-06 12:31:26	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x3bafa0…
07-06 12:31:17	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xcd75df…
07-06 12:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x46eec0…
07-06 12:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 8?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xa3bb10…
07-06 12:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 8?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xe95bed…
07-06 12:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 8?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf9fdae…
07-06 12:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0a4408…
07-06 12:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x708d6d…
07-06 12:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7cb056…
07-05 22:36:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xd9ed99…
07-05 22:35:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xe1ec5d…
07-05 18:39:56	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xafeaf0…
07-05 18:39:47	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x22bb8c…
07-04 21:56:25	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xfd550b…
07-04 21:56:08	Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x28a2e7…
07-04 21:52:02	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc08316…
07-04 21:51:55	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd9baf1…
07-04 12:11:55	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xebb112…
07-04 12:11:46	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7ccea8…
07-04 12:07:59	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x0c4e86…
07-04 12:07:50	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc2491c…
07-04 11:38:19	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x610b2a…
07-04 11:38:10	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x073f1d…
07-04 11:33:41	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa53d6e…
07-04 11:33:32	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4900ea…
07-04 11:24:35	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x232b70…
07-04 11:24:17	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xea966c…
07-04 10:36:14	Will more than 10 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbc362a…
07-04 10:36:05	Will more than 10 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x79bcb8…
07-04 10:32:01	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x412bd9…
07-04 10:31:55	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x298e11…