Alive-Carrier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$285

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-09 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$25

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,153	+1,153	No	+$3	03-05 03:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,150	+1,150	No	+$3	03-04 02:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,147	+1,147	No	+$3	03-03 01:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,143	+1,143	No	+$3	03-02 02:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,139	+1,139	No	+$6	03-01 02:28
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,133	+1,133	No	+$2	02-28 02:19
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,131	+1,131	No	+$5	02-27 02:19
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,124	+1,124	Yes	+$3	02-25 02:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,120	+1,120	No	+$3	02-24 05:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,116	+1,116	No	+$4	02-23 03:49
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,112	+1,112	No	+$3	02-22 03:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,110	+1,110	No	+$3	02-21 01:46
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,106	+1,106	No	+$3	02-20 02:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,103	+1,103	No	+$3	02-19 02:12
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	Yes	+$4	02-18 04:29
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,088	+1,088	No	+$7	02-16 06:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	05-18 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	05-12 08:53
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	1	$16	17	+17	No	+$0	05-26 12:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	05-03 13:19
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-07 10:40
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-12 03:32
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:16
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:28
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	08-11 05:08
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	07-24 07:35
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	07-01 08:24
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	07-30 03:05
bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 9	1	$12	1,123	+1,123	No	-$12	02-09 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 03:19:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b69c4…
08-20 03:13:24	bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfcf939…
08-11 05:08:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe216cb…
08-06 03:28:47	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4907d…
07-30 03:05:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x870837…
07-24 07:35:48	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x462841…
07-13 08:16:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5c1e20…
07-07 10:40:13	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xffbb41…
07-01 08:24:17	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe93a8a…
06-25 05:24:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee1dce…
06-20 07:38:22	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1675d2…
06-12 03:32:33	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa8fc22…
05-26 12:04:40	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x83b549…
05-18 12:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf8e691…
05-12 08:53:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe36ed9…
05-03 13:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2c4bc3…
04-16 03:46:16	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9b606b…
03-28 02:12:29	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,110	0¢	$2	0xeab00a…
03-25 05:47:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$2	0x53ec3e…
03-23 02:59:11	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,124	0¢	$2	0x26ded8…
03-21 03:52:33	xrp above 1pt1 on march 21	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7286da…
03-21 03:50:35	xrp above 1pt1 on march 21	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb04ebb…
03-21 03:50:35	xrp above 1pt1 on march 21	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x255414…
03-21 03:42:49	xrp above 1pt1 on march 21	No	BUY	1,087	0¢	$2	0x6c78d0…
03-19 06:19:17	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,119	0¢	$2	0x2dec63…
03-17 09:08:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,113	0¢	$3	0x9dd0e4…
03-16 07:22:07	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,142	0¢	$2	0x0ed6fc…
03-14 04:02:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	Yes	BUY	1,103	0¢	$4	0x62cbde…
03-12 07:21:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$2	0x1baa35…
03-08 03:53:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$3	0xaba147…
03-05 03:26:29	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	No	BUY	1,153	100¢	$1,150	0x16debc…
03-04 02:32:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	No	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,146	0x44785f…
03-03 01:55:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,147	100¢	$1,144	0xfcd19e…
03-02 02:25:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,139	0xe04312…
03-01 02:28:31	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,139	100¢	$1,133	0xa87912…
02-28 02:19:43	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,131	0x46aa71…
02-27 02:19:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	1,131	100¢	$1,126	0x170156…
02-25 02:16:30	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,120	0x4e9f66…
02-24 05:34:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 24	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,116	0xe613c6…
02-23 03:49:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,112	0xbad27f…
02-22 03:07:06	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,109	0x032962…
02-21 01:46:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,106	0x36e201…
02-20 02:14:34	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,103	0x35527c…
02-19 02:12:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,099	0x8ef05c…
02-18 04:29:34	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,095	0xe5862c…
02-16 06:30:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	No	BUY	1,088	99¢	$1,081	0x9a27c5…
02-14 10:38:51	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,133	0¢	$5	0x5b33d8…
02-12 02:28:33	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	No	BUY	1,128	1¢	$8	0xd9a406…
02-11 00:13:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$8	0x2ecee2…
02-09 01:35:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 9	Yes	BUY	1,123	1¢	$12	0x29a3f3…
02-06 03:39:45	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,089	1¢	$7	0x3eff60…
02-04 02:01:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x624b79…
02-04 02:01:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,075	1¢	$12	0x7ff94a…
02-02 09:00:50	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7c43b…
01-31 05:57:30	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0810fe…
01-30 07:16:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33e198…
01-29 05:20:00	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68b9dd…
01-28 01:36:29	bitcoin above 82k on january 28	No	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0x45856a…
01-27 03:44:11	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b05b8…
01-26 07:58:47	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25f4e2…
01-19 13:35:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x7a7a31…
01-19 13:34:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xf5f901…
01-19 13:33:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xdde9d8…
01-19 13:31:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x4fe355…