Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

33 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$41

$42 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-14

last 10-07 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

75% 43% -$4

Politics

22% 14% -$6

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	08-18 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	2	$3	6	+6	No	-$1	09-01 01:49
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-17 06:13
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:41
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-09 03:28
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 11:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-10 04:41
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 15:41
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-08 10:06
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 13:10
will xagusd reach 70 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-20 15:14
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 07:38
spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-17 11:44
kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	08-14 21:01
spy up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$0	08-18 07:49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-16 22:12
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$2	08-14 12:53
msft up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	08-14 03:51
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-19 02:36
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 23:03
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-20 23:30
Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-01 10:15
will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-19 13:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-23 09:56
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-21 07:51
bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-22 04:43
spy closes above 765 on august 27 2026	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	08-27 00:55
will wti dip to 80 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-17 15:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	08-18 17:00
spy up or down on september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-02 12:08
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-07 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 05:57:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x967190…
09-24 19:53:29	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe246f8…
09-19 07:41:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd51546…
09-17 11:44:40	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x898e70…
09-16 15:41:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xe97f18…
09-16 07:38:07	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x967183…
09-10 04:41:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x21830c…
09-09 13:10:21	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x12d130…
09-09 11:39:00	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xa1fc18…
09-09 03:28:37	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa6a36b…
09-08 10:06:42	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xa2722d…
09-07 15:54:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd20c9a…
09-02 12:08:06	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x42ed60…
09-01 10:15:54	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x80aa0d…
09-01 01:49:25	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x06fc3e…
09-01 01:49:24	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x49c0e2…
08-27 00:55:10	spy closes above 765 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x4bfd3e…
08-23 09:56:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x759ae8…
08-22 04:43:22	bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0b62af…
08-21 07:51:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x800f9a…
08-20 23:30:09	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x4c0e0f…
08-20 15:14:04	will xagusd reach 70 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xaa9752…
08-19 13:58:55	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xef7696…
08-19 02:36:31	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc199b3…
08-18 17:00:25	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x101c55…
08-18 07:49:30	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x7ad1a3…
08-17 23:03:01	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa67ff8…
08-17 15:01:34	will wti dip to 80 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd7f8a6…
08-17 06:13:25	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa63e7f…
08-16 22:12:42	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x5f627d…
08-14 21:01:42	kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcc1e8c…
08-14 12:53:55	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x36c554…
08-14 03:51:16	msft up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5eef98…