Untimely-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-02 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$0

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No		+14	$14	100¢	$14	+$0	05-30 03:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-01 17:27
will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	07-01 09:42
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-01 17:28
ethereum above 2200 on april 18	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 11:02
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-07 09:06
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-23 12:24
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-02 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-27 02:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-26 04:49
ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	06-25 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-01 13:32
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	2	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-23 23:20
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	2	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-20 18:24
bitcoin above 84k on april 21	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-19 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 00:48
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-09 17:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-26 10:16
bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	07-02 06:27
bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 05:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-07 14:35
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	06-01 19:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-23 08:20
will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-14 01:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-07 21:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 01:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-17 04:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-29 02:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-18 14:06
will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-12 10:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-25 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:43:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe1cf6d…
07-02 08:49:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x88b18f…
07-02 06:27:44	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb06158…
07-01 09:42:47	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x8b56b2…
07-01 05:26:20	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd89177…
07-01 02:23:28	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9812f…
06-29 19:10:59	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcf8de5…
06-25 07:52:26	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab69db…
06-23 03:14:11	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x64add8…
06-22 09:40:19	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb77df8…
06-21 19:32:28	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x539601…
06-03 12:07:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x588154…
06-01 19:22:37	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf48a9c…
05-31 09:08:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8b3257…
05-31 02:49:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b4d5d…
05-30 03:10:44	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4101b4…
05-28 23:26:37	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x826d5d…
05-28 19:52:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd95615…
05-27 02:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfaaf96…
05-26 10:16:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2dcb39…
05-25 23:06:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x144da2…
05-24 21:30:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2a4682…
05-23 18:25:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x08d6e7…
05-23 08:20:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8ae1f5…
05-22 19:54:37	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c4d6d…
05-21 21:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc3290d…
05-20 22:18:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3aa435…
05-20 16:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb10503…
05-20 04:55:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ed8e6…
05-18 18:26:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x231007…
05-13 14:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd4e823…
05-09 17:41:29	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf693c2…
05-07 21:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9bf15a…
05-07 14:35:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x88fc77…
05-05 01:15:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x97379e…
05-04 23:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xba7b09…
05-01 19:06:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9cbb5a…
05-01 13:32:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2a34e5…
05-01 10:01:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef45da…
04-30 22:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc19646…
04-29 02:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1a7bcf…
04-28 22:44:04	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5514ef…
04-26 08:45:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4bbaf9…
04-26 04:49:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xeb8441…
04-26 00:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x873b16…
04-25 11:19:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x28254f…
04-24 11:41:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2a77d…
04-23 23:20:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x42c060…
04-23 20:50:18	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xabd557…
04-23 12:24:50	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x541c0f…
04-22 00:08:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x948e5b…
04-21 08:21:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2b7504…
04-20 18:24:12	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb600f4…
04-20 12:32:00	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x563262…
04-19 17:42:18	bitcoin above 84k on april 21	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9cebe4…
04-18 14:06:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x59c511…
04-18 11:02:06	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x765ffa…
04-17 04:21:38	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x944c42…
04-16 11:45:10	ethereum above 2000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x663587…
04-16 01:21:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43768b…
04-15 03:29:12	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4b82f0…
04-14 06:30:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 14	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa11491…
04-14 05:42:33	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f908f…
04-14 01:56:29	will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x400fdf…
04-13 10:23:41	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5752ab…
04-12 10:48:31	will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x023677…
04-06 08:50:23	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd49a46…
04-02 09:30:25	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x09a4b4…
04-01 17:28:07	highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x88b5d6…
04-01 17:27:29	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd69261…
04-01 05:51:41	highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28ae8c…
03-30 02:28:44	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2dbb3d…
03-27 21:58:29	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 14c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xadd06a…
03-18 14:52:21	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x649c44…
02-15 02:19:15	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0ff3d8…
02-03 19:49:28	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x41f56f…
01-07 09:06:03	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x83b1e5…
01-02 15:34:13	Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7a563f…