Wrong-Execution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$793

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

2,488

Trades

62,775

lifetime

Volume

$550.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-25 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% +$2,088

Sports

2% 75% -$402

Other

1% 48% -$730

Politics

0% 0% -$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 20:45 UTC	690	$7.2K	8,543	7,966	+577	Down	+$16	02-12 20:59
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	71	$5.6K	4,600	4,800	-200	Knicks	-$485	06-04 03:05
Spurs vs. Thunder	35	$3.1K	1,850	1,950	-100	Spurs	+$1	05-31 02:48
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	27	$2.3K	1,900	1,899	+0	LGD Gaming	-$307	06-07 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	7	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	22	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	-0	Down	+$10	06-02 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$10	06-03 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	32	$1.8K	900	900	+0	Up	+$10	06-03 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	11	$1.7K	1,000	672	+328	Down	+$8	06-02 17:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 03:05 UTC	198	$1.6K	1,253	952	+301	Up	+$78	02-28 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	13	$1.5K	700	800	-100	Down	+$12	06-01 15:49
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	39	$1.4K	2,100	2,100	+0	Knicks	+$81	06-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	68	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$19	05-04 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 03:45 UTC	214	$1.4K	959	794	+165	Up	+$28	02-28 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$13	05-12 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:50 UTC	9	$1.3K	1,200	100	+1,100	Down	+$12	06-09 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:20 UTC	134	$1.2K	1,247	752	+495	Down	+$146	04-02 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	85	$1.2K	1,140	1,140	+0	Up	+$62	06-04 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	15	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Up	-$192	06-01 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 02:50 UTC	157	$1.2K	1,217	788	+429	Up	-$232	02-28 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$12	05-12 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	13	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$12	05-12 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Down	+$2	05-28 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$24	05-12 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	13	$1.2K	1,000	200	+800	Down	+$8	06-02 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	28	$1.2K	600	596	+4	Down	+$0	05-28 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:48:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x608840…
10-25 22:48:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x8bee5b…
10-25 20:27:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbb34a1…
10-25 20:24:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x7d879c…
10-25 20:20:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x91a962…
10-25 20:20:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0xe0bacd…
10-20 11:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x84b254…
10-20 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb76769…
10-20 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x671a4b…
10-20 11:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbb037a…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xfed432…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe73003…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0xe45000…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	54	30¢	$16	0xb15630…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x552d12…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x108912…
06-10 00:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x084f1d…
06-10 00:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xcda132…
06-10 00:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x153d6d…
06-10 00:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xc13b92…
06-10 00:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x9d4f45…
06-10 00:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x4414f2…
06-10 00:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xccfc55…
06-10 00:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x52762f…
06-10 00:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x3d5b0a…
06-10 00:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x30ffd5…
06-10 00:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0x1d2eb5…
06-10 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,089	0x338710…
06-09 20:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x6cc552…
06-09 20:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x388ccc…
06-09 20:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x4260e7…
06-09 20:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe0db6d…
06-09 20:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa967c6…
06-09 20:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	232	99¢	$229	0x840ff1…
06-09 20:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x7fb598…
06-09 20:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x836210…
06-09 20:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	612	99¢	$606	0x9112dc…
06-09 20:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xaa0013…
06-09 20:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a2127…
06-09 20:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x8edf08…
06-09 20:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xf6410d…
06-09 20:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb946ea…
06-09 20:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xb334d6…
06-09 20:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1c196c…
06-09 20:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb1bfae…
06-09 20:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xaa63e8…
06-09 20:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0x7e0053…
06-09 20:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x655b88…
06-09 20:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa23fcd…
06-09 20:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x34536d…
06-09 20:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xef3421…
06-09 20:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x599a22…
06-09 20:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x361d56…
06-09 20:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x09288f…
06-09 19:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x745fcf…
06-09 19:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	958	99¢	$948	0xadfe73…
06-09 15:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x596a27…
06-09 15:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xfafa9d…
06-09 15:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce6178…
06-09 15:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xbacb83…
06-09 15:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x7d9fef…
06-09 15:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0xa16e72…
06-09 15:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x91d1e1…
06-09 15:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x586ca8…
06-09 15:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xdc6ade…
06-09 14:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc328d7…
06-09 14:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xb0b90b…
06-09 14:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x716396…
06-09 14:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x1db2b0…
06-09 14:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xd3f359…
06-09 05:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,089	0x13cb9a…
06-09 04:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,089	0xc00185…
06-09 04:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa59672…
06-09 04:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x188bf0…
06-09 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x8d6809…
06-09 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8cdc23…
06-09 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x731885…
06-09 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x267192…
06-09 04:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0xdc63cc…
06-09 04:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x9eede1…
06-09 04:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2f5713…
06-09 04:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x46d59b…
06-09 04:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x27eba9…
06-09 04:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x560082…
06-09 04:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3c72ce…
06-09 04:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8daba3…
06-09 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x755944…
06-09 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef8982…
06-09 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0x752cac…
06-09 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x688cf4…
06-09 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b0c10…
06-09 04:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x03085e…
06-09 03:21:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x226e79…
06-09 03:20:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb532ad…
06-09 02:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa71d4…
06-09 02:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	387	99¢	$383	0x2cf570…
06-09 01:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x4a8f69…
06-09 01:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	700	36¢	$254	0xdafaf2…
06-09 00:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xdf2594…
06-09 00:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5d8273…