Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$91

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-28

last 10-15 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

82% 56% +$4

Politics

15% 71% +$5

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 15:15
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	10-15 15:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-15 15:16
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 15:15
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-15 15:15
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	10-15 15:15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-05 22:38
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:41
will spy reach 770 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-24 01:53
will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 01:34
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-21 23:15
will abnb reach 160 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-29 15:16
will trump say fake news during his announcement september 28	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-28 17:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	+$3	10-01 16:14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 18:51
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$3	09-16 00:00
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-27 10:19
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	09-30 11:24
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-22 23:41
will ewy reach 184 by september 14 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$3	09-17 18:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 21:31
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 01:11
will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-30 23:36
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-13 23:33
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-20 22:39
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 21:04
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-23 08:00
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	10-07 17:27
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 15:14
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-10 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 15:16:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2fd82a…
10-15 15:15:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xb7c414…
10-15 15:15:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7be638…
10-15 15:15:41	Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1a2420…
10-15 15:15:32	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x37e387…
10-15 15:15:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xacfa69…
10-15 15:15:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x60ebd4…
10-15 10:48:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x50c41e…
10-15 10:47:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd2ee1c…
10-15 02:38:41	meta headcount above in q3 68000	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8cd758…
10-14 18:35:42	will rklb reach 62 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc563a3…
10-14 09:53:23	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb43669…
10-14 01:34:46	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x89b270…
10-13 16:02:13	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x723c71…
10-13 07:04:32	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb8df38…
10-12 23:00:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x26f31c…
10-12 14:59:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeb47f2…
10-12 06:50:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1cb216…
10-11 22:49:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1ed777…
10-11 14:36:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0a3ec1…
10-11 01:11:08	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa5ae9b…
10-10 13:07:58	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb8e321…
10-09 09:42:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c0833…
10-09 01:33:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6212a2…
10-08 17:32:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x04aed2…
10-08 05:35:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbfdce7…
10-07 17:27:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb6da6a…
10-07 07:17:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x457661…
10-06 23:17:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5bcade…
10-06 14:45:57	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8f35ec…
10-06 06:39:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x84b396…
10-05 22:38:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x89bf76…
10-05 14:37:32	will xagusd reach 64 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x73df13…
10-05 00:35:53	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf2f7a6…
10-02 15:26:05	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x88387a…
10-02 05:45:53	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x84ac29…
10-01 16:14:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9d8d86…
10-01 08:13:47	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d12f7…
09-30 23:36:53	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd159bb…
09-30 11:24:12	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x860aea…
09-30 03:19:09	will wti reach 95 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7dcbfe…
09-29 15:16:32	will abnb reach 160 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc93f5c…
09-29 05:13:24	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6a894…
09-28 17:12:59	will trump say fake news during his announcement september 28	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x56032b…
09-27 21:04:35	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x49eb91…
09-27 10:19:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x33f3d1…
09-27 01:51:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5fb86e…
09-26 10:28:41	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad5353…
09-24 01:53:13	will spy reach 770 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x208b49…
09-23 16:29:58	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3c2a14…
09-23 08:00:11	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x282bab…
09-22 23:41:43	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5b38b5…
09-22 15:27:04	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0c6ce9…
09-22 07:17:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee61ec…
09-21 23:15:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdc03e1…
09-21 15:14:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2522b0…
09-21 07:10:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbf5f45…
09-21 07:10:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x68ed0b…
09-20 22:39:46	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb3108b…
09-19 07:41:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb17605…
09-17 18:52:43	will ewy reach 184 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23a9c5…
09-17 10:41:07	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b85ac…
09-16 08:01:40	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67fe4a…
09-16 00:00:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d45ba…
09-14 15:36:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa5ba68…
09-14 07:34:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc04f9b…
09-13 23:33:48	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x059b68…
09-11 19:55:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50b230…
09-11 06:22:31	will nvda reach 224 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9c972c…
09-11 06:06:01	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x95fcc8…
09-10 21:31:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1e8f44…
09-10 13:26:22	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed38d8…
09-10 03:04:36	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3e676c…
09-09 16:16:01	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7d7303…
09-09 08:15:06	will aapl reach 320 by september 7 2026 from september 8	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc13752…
09-08 18:51:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2a8706…
09-08 07:15:04	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa5666f…
09-07 14:25:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x50ef2e…
09-04 02:15:19	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7a0d33…
09-02 00:26:21	will xagusd reach 66 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc7bafc…
09-01 11:12:13	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcf2d96…
09-01 02:55:09	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb1d38…
08-31 18:54:46	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x37df19…
08-31 10:54:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x880c24…
08-30 23:50:49	will hood reach 112 50 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x233501…
08-30 14:42:39	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x49be72…
08-29 22:54:45	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x21f989…
08-29 14:45:13	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa69a75…
08-29 03:54:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe49003…
08-28 19:50:46	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x356c23…