Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$221
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,576
lifetime
Volume
$315.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$3.49K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-16 10:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
81% 67% +$128
Other
17% 0% $-134
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$80
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,275 $1,059 92¢ $1.2K +$107 06-12 22:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,216 $726 60¢ $723 $-2 06-16 14:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +700 $444 97¢ $682 +$238 06-11 17:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +387 $288 88¢ $340 +$52 06-11 17:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,171 $425 27¢ $316 $-109 06-04 13:13
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +251 $205 92¢ $231 +$26 05-30 10:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -91 $83 16¢ $-14 $-97 06-01 15:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 84¢ $7 $-0 05-28 22:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Yes -247 $-12 $-7 +$6 06-03 16:17