Moral-Plea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,806

lifetime

Volume

$336.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-28 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

80% 67% +$128

Other

18% 0% $-134

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$10.8K	9,104	9,104	+0	open	—	04-08 12:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	112	$9.5K	9,319	7,832	+1,487	open	—	04-16 14:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	65	$9.4K	7,584	7,584	+0	open	—	04-15 18:10
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	43	$8.2K	5,695	4,695	+1,000	open	—	03-24 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	47	$8.1K	6,278	6,180	+97	open	—	04-22 08:13
will uae strike iran by march 31	91	$7.6K	4,886	4,886	+0	open	—	03-24 14:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	31	$6.8K	6,831	6,831	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	39	$6.7K	6,520	5,467	+1,052	open	—	04-16 17:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$6.7K	7,144	4,934	+2,210	open	—	04-07 22:50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	28	$5.9K	3,902	3,737	+165	open	—	04-09 00:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	16	$5.4K	3,691	2,527	+1,165	open	—	07-27 15:55
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	32	$4.9K	3,123	2,610	+513	open	—	05-02 00:57
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	69	$4.6K	4,643	1,794	+2,849	open	—	03-31 13:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$4.5K	2,657	2,657	+0	open	—	04-01 16:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	21	$4.1K	3,912	2,534	+1,378	open	—	04-26 19:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	41	$3.9K	3,759	2,711	+1,048	open	—	04-17 19:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$3.8K	2,291	2,291	+0	open	—	04-27 18:21
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	45	$3.7K	4,412	4,412	+0	open	—	04-07 21:54
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	33	$3.5K	2,051	2,051	+0	open	—	03-17 17:24
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	34	$3.5K	3,606	4,303	-698	open	—	06-04 00:25
will iran strike israel on march 6	30	$3.3K	1,849	1,886	-37	open	—	03-10 19:12
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	28	$3.2K	2,780	1,388	+1,392	open	—	05-31 17:44
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	65	$3.2K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	02-13 23:36
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	55	$3.2K	2,676	2,676	+0	open	—	03-29 14:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.1K	2,622	1,113	+1,509	open	—	05-31 10:54
will iran strike lebanon in march	36	$3.0K	2,508	1,150	+1,358	open	—	03-24 18:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	7	$3.0K	2,463	1,219	+1,244	open	—	05-25 21:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	14	$2.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	06-20 20:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$2.8K	1,809	1,809	+0	No	+$128	05-06 23:03
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	19	$2.7K	1,519	1,519	+0	open	—	05-26 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 16:31:08	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1,330	100¢	$1,329	0x6f38ab…
07-28 16:30:07	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe1e6e2…
07-28 15:54:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xcb6519…
07-28 01:25:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0xf58d7d…
07-27 16:18:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x38bbb4…
07-27 16:06:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x949203…
07-27 16:06:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc916e2…
07-27 16:05:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	240	88¢	$211	0x4374b4…
07-27 15:57:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	368	88¢	$323	0xcb1322…
07-27 15:57:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	486	88¢	$428	0xd59f60…
07-27 15:55:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1,200	84¢	$1,010	0x2b5d6c…
07-27 15:54:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x0220e5…
07-27 14:47:03	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0x864f43…
07-27 12:16:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x2981c7…
07-27 09:30:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	174	52¢	$90	0x592e71…
07-27 08:57:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	89	84¢	$75	0xee37cf…
07-27 08:42:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe64481…
07-27 08:35:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xa2dcb3…
07-27 03:35:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x652743…
07-27 03:09:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x0fcce7…
07-27 02:31:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	228	52¢	$119	0x88420b…
07-27 01:37:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	199	52¢	$104	0x6305b3…
07-27 00:10:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x4a6221…
07-27 00:08:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x2b60f2…
07-26 22:43:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x5dbc60…
07-26 22:27:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	64	75¢	$48	0xb808ea…
07-26 22:27:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xedc3a7…
07-26 22:22:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xa15459…
07-26 22:20:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	500	86¢	$430	0xe96ef9…
07-26 19:51:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x1cbb86…
07-26 18:29:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x175a98…
07-26 18:05:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6b2411…
07-26 18:02:40	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xddff61…
07-26 17:06:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd391f9…
07-26 16:51:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xee9d8e…
07-26 16:23:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x26712f…
07-26 15:59:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	466	76¢	$354	0x287452…
07-26 12:26:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x1ce246…
07-26 12:23:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	205	95¢	$195	0x7f9ed5…
07-26 11:23:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$18	0x412f27…
07-26 08:23:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0x87a731…
07-26 02:44:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x6231be…
07-26 01:23:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x531713…
07-26 00:52:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	89	74¢	$66	0x508397…
07-26 00:49:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x90a53a…
07-25 20:32:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x454f92…
07-25 20:32:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x6500d2…
07-25 19:41:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	377	85¢	$320	0x417595…
07-25 19:26:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xd27f76…
07-25 18:11:24	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x629036…
07-25 16:28:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	179	56¢	$100	0x86cb7e…
07-25 16:27:25	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xf146c2…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xfca228…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xdbf8b0…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xcd0d2a…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x1f2373…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x1d9c66…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1322a5…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xff2a1e…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xd31262…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xb08956…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xa0555f…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x9dbdec…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x6d1aae…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x29dadd…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x137303…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd22392…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xb9e267…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb525a8…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x98f293…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6a7a70…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3c52b3…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x162058…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x034490…
07-25 14:19:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xcc25fb…
07-25 14:06:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x97f96d…
07-24 23:58:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xe6cb91…
07-24 23:58:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	174	30¢	$52	0xaf11d7…
07-24 23:52:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xbfb554…
07-24 23:22:10	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa97369…
07-24 23:19:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x93ada3…
07-24 21:13:51	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x394914…
07-24 20:07:33	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	BUY	109	85¢	$93	0xe59473…
07-24 20:06:40	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xf7b546…
07-24 20:06:36	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xbd0c4b…
07-24 20:06:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x526844…
07-24 17:44:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x30fd14…
07-24 17:43:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd5924f…
07-24 17:16:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x5191eb…
07-24 16:30:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xf49d0f…
07-24 16:23:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x49c0b5…
07-24 16:23:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x168d8e…
07-24 15:03:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x543beb…
07-24 14:55:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x385c6c…
07-24 14:51:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x09adab…
07-24 14:25:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	96	47¢	$45	0x10834a…
07-24 14:24:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x02a816…
07-24 14:22:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x96d37e…
07-22 16:27:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xd33401…
07-22 16:09:24	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	208	64¢	$133	0x316289…