Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$277
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,575
lifetime
Volume
$315.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$3.13K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-16 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
81% 67% +$128
Other
17% 0% $-134
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$80
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,275 $1,059 92¢ $1.2K +$107 06-12 22:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +700 $444 98¢ $684 +$241 06-11 17:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,171 $425 32¢ $369 $-56 06-04 13:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +387 $288 86¢ $331 +$42 06-11 17:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +500 $320 66¢ $327 +$8 06-16 00:40
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +251 $205 90¢ $227 +$22 05-30 10:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -91 $83 12¢ $-11 $-94 06-01 15:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 05-28 22:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Yes -247 $-12 $-6 +$6 06-03 16:17