Realized P&L
-$480
Unrealized P&L
+$607
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
454
Trades
5,192
lifetime
Volume
$367.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$3.05K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 08-05 22:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Politics
77%
47%
-$2,410
Other
20%
42%
+$1,632
Crypto
2%
11%
+$343
Sports
1%
54%
+$361
Tech
0%
0%
-$407
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 | No | +1,887 | $763 | 94¢ | $1.8K | +$1,020 | 08-05 13:41 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +2,559 | $1,220 | 32¢ | $806 | -$413 | 06-04 13:13 | |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 | No | +529 | $456 | 86¢ | $457 | +$1 | 08-04 14:04 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 31 | $10.8K | 9,104 | 9,104 | +0 | Yes | -$2,373 | 04-08 12:00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 112 | $9.5K | 9,319 | 7,832 | +1,487 | Yes | +$311 | 04-16 14:03 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 65 | $9.4K | 7,584 | 7,584 | +0 | No | -$420 | 04-15 18:10 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 43 | $8.2K | 5,695 | 4,695 | +1,000 | Yes | -$19 | 03-24 07:29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 47 | $8.1K | 6,278 | 6,180 | +97 | No | -$236 | 04-22 08:13 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 91 | $7.6K | 4,886 | 4,886 | +0 | No | +$446 | 03-24 14:09 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 31 | $6.8K | 6,831 | 6,831 | +0 | Yes | +$610 | 04-07 22:36 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | 39 | $6.7K | 6,520 | 5,467 | +1,052 | Yes | -$748 | 04-16 17:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 5 | $6.7K | 7,144 | 4,934 | +2,210 | Yes | +$361 | 04-07 22:50 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | 28 | $5.9K | 3,902 | 3,737 | +165 | Yes | +$1,203 | 04-09 00:13 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | 18 | $5.8K | 3,791 | 2,843 | +949 | No | -$41 | 07-30 22:27 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | 32 | $4.9K | 3,123 | 2,610 | +513 | No | +$512 | 05-02 00:57 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026 | 69 | $4.6K | 4,643 | 1,794 | +2,849 | No | +$724 | 03-31 13:24 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 22 | $4.5K | 2,657 | 2,657 | +0 | No | +$154 | 04-01 16:26 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 21 | $4.1K | 3,912 | 2,534 | +1,378 | No | -$174 | 04-26 19:44 |
| israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7 | 35 | $4.1K | 4,303 | 4,303 | +0 | Yes | -$1,247 | 06-04 00:25 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 41 | $3.9K | 3,759 | 2,711 | +1,048 | Yes | +$1,344 | 04-17 19:06 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 12 | $3.8K | 2,291 | 2,291 | +0 | No | +$394 | 04-27 18:21 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | 9 | $3.8K | 2,049 | 2,049 | +0 | No | +$169 | 05-20 18:32 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 45 | $3.7K | 4,412 | 4,412 | +0 | Yes | +$322 | 04-07 21:54 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 | 8 | $3.7K | 3,029 | 2,500 | +529 | open | — | 08-04 14:04 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026 | 33 | $3.5K | 2,051 | 2,051 | +0 | No | +$526 | 03-17 17:24 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 31 | $3.4K | 5,601 | 5,601 | +0 | Yes | -$416 | 08-05 13:43 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? | 43 | $3.4K | 2,767 | 1,059 | +1,708 | Yes | +$387 | 05-06 01:27 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044 | 13 | $3.4K | 2,878 | 2,647 | +231 | No | +$174 | 07-29 11:40 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 30 | $3.3K | 1,849 | 1,886 | -37 | No | +$468 | 03-10 19:12 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 28 | $3.2K | 2,780 | 1,388 | +1,392 | Yes | +$748 | 05-31 17:44 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 22 | $3.2K | 2,820 | 1,113 | +1,707 | No | +$699 | 05-31 10:54 |
| will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026 | 65 | $3.2K | 2,800 | 2,800 | +0 | Yes | -$178 | 02-13 23:36 |
| will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854 | 55 | $3.2K | 2,676 | 2,676 | +0 | Yes | +$627 | 03-29 14:41 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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