Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
31.2%
Resolved
25
Trades
97
lifetime
Volume
$542
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$91
11 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 11-05 23:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
86% 39% -$13
Politics
11% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$17 70¢ $-14 +$3 10-28 18:23
Will US gas hit $3.85 (Low) in November? Yes +22 $15 59¢ $13 -$2 11-05 19:05
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement? Yes +25 $12 52¢ $13 +$1 11-01 07:04
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? Yes +15 $9 79¢ $12 +$3 11-01 05:54
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement? No +25 $13 48¢ $12 -$1 11-01 07:28
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? No +36 $15 21¢ $8 -$7 11-05 12:13
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 30¢ $-6 -$4 10-28 18:27
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-03 06:55
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? Yes +21 $9 24¢ $5 -$4 11-05 23:27
Will Trump issue 15-19 vetoes by December 31, 2027? Yes +21 $7 11¢ $2 -$4 11-05 09:01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 09-03 06:55