Melodic-Eve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

2,635

Trades

4,711

lifetime

Volume

$139.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-13 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 273 days

Categories

Other

88% 52% -$2,083

Crypto

8% 52% -$276

Sports

3% 46% -$244

Politics

1% 28% -$36

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$64

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-234	-$27	9¢	$-22	+$5	04-28 19:57
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	Yes		+20	$14	69¢	$14	$0	11-13 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$2.4K	1,408	1,408	+0	Yes	+$401	04-12 19:43
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	2	$743	477	471	+6	BetBoom Team	+$205	04-26 15:15
dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24	2	$629	393	389	+4	Team Falcons	+$138	04-24 12:47
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24	6	$616	519	515	+4	Aurora	-$164	04-24 17:07
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 21	4	$616	361	358	+3	PARIVISION	+$103	04-21 14:42
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 23	9	$615	667	658	+9	PARIVISION	-$130	04-23 10:13
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	2	$560	370	365	+5	Aurora	+$173	04-26 10:37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	4	$537	258	562	-305	BetBoom Team	+$228	04-26 12:50
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 total 3pt5	2	$523	336	331	+4	Under	+$144	04-25 00:52
cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17	2	$521	301	299	+2	Vitality	+$78	04-17 20:01
dota2 xtreme aur1 2026 04 19 game2	3	$482	304	245	+60	Aurora	+$8	04-19 09:20
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	5	$437	286	283	+4	BetBoom Team	+$120	04-25 15:50
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23 game2	2	$430	270	267	+3	BetBoom Team	+$105	04-23 18:40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	2	$430	247	247	+0	Team Yandex	+$64	05-30 16:44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	2	$422	264	264	+0	TheMongolz	+$105	05-22 08:12
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$419	259	259	+0	Tundra Esports	+$98	05-18 13:24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$413	374	374	+0	Yes	-$9	02-02 16:55
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	4	$412	334	329	+5	FURIA	+$94	04-14 21:02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	3	$410	282	228	+53	Team Falcons	+$42	05-23 07:53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$405	247	247	+0	Team Falcons	+$89	05-19 13:32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	2	$401	254	251	+3	BetBoom Team	+$104	04-26 14:48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	2	$394	296	296	+0	B8	+$198	05-20 10:51
dota2 pari mouz 2026 04 10	2	$392	224	222	+2	PARIVISION	+$54	04-10 17:57
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	2	$391	218	218	+0	Vitality	+$43	05-11 20:48
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	2	$370	238	238	+0	T1	+$104	05-12 09:29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	3	$362	416	184	+232	Team Falcons	-$3	04-25 20:14
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$355	396	260	+136	Team Spirit	-$173	05-21 20:12
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	3	$349	355	285	+70	Over	-$79	05-23 19:46
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)	2	$341	225	225	+0	Natus Vincere	+$103	04-29 22:13
dota2 flc gl 2026 04 21	2	$321	180	179	+1	Team Falcons	+$38	04-21 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 13:31:31	Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd96502…
11-13 13:01:06	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xcf79f1…
11-13 12:11:15	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xba15ef…
11-13 12:00:25	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	G2	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xbeed6f…
11-13 11:06:16	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	G2	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xafdd7c…
11-13 10:07:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x130b6f…
11-13 10:07:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf0df5b…
11-13 09:57:06	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x2c1405…
11-13 09:52:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x8889c3…
11-13 09:48:19	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x275a75…
11-13 08:50:01	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd272d5…
11-13 08:31:04	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xda73a9…
11-13 00:13:54	WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x94d02d…
11-13 00:13:12	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x959b4a…
11-13 00:11:45	Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5	Over	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x447cb0…
11-12 22:00:39	WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1e5df9…
11-12 22:00:04	Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9ab74a…
11-12 06:35:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x3f6897…
11-11 23:49:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xfb6db9…
11-11 12:34:51	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x387bdf…
11-11 11:55:58	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	29	71¢	$20	0xd64e32…
11-11 09:29:39	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xcc22cf…
11-08 00:11:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x2ffc12…
11-05 19:55:13	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xbb31eb…
10-30 13:21:42	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x727341…
10-30 13:01:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x500678…
10-30 13:00:55	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x812f93…
10-30 12:51:55	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7cdddf…
10-30 12:48:45	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfec9e0…
10-30 12:48:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xc8597d…
10-30 12:25:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x004153…
10-30 10:26:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7b17b0…
10-30 10:26:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x36754a…
10-28 07:26:53	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x36141d…
10-28 07:23:32	Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner	Abyssal	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x78f44e…
10-28 07:06:20	Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group B	Rooster	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x7c4c93…
10-28 07:05:38	Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner	Abyssal	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbb54de…
10-28 07:02:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	52	25¢	$13	0x692275…
10-28 07:02:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x3d771c…
10-28 06:16:32	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x6f3577…
10-27 23:22:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	62	41¢	$26	0x2872de…
10-27 23:22:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	61	41¢	$25	0x268945…
10-27 23:10:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9b9a7f…
10-27 23:09:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xb8c093…
10-27 23:09:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	88	42¢	$37	0x002a66…
10-27 09:09:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	88	55¢	$48	0xdb4746…
10-26 13:13:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x1034bd…
10-26 12:41:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x987450…
10-26 12:41:18	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x88bbe5…
10-26 12:12:20	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xa38dd1…
10-26 12:12:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x39aa4e…
10-26 10:47:18	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xdfa7dc…
10-26 10:46:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x390327…
10-26 10:42:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8544c5…
10-26 10:42:42	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x2ada1d…
10-26 10:40:44	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6dc7c2…
10-26 09:09:48	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0xb07ae9…
10-26 09:08:23	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x1c6369…
10-26 08:12:51	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0xae282c…
10-26 01:41:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x624eb5…
10-26 01:39:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x922cfd…
10-25 21:14:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x235214…
10-25 17:40:45	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x42097d…
10-25 17:38:47	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x415f31…
10-25 17:30:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x8703d9…
10-24 20:25:41	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x705f0c…
10-24 20:24:36	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x2ccf73…
10-24 18:55:44	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdc5ca5…
10-24 18:39:27	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfe5044…
10-24 18:09:24	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xed5667…
10-24 17:39:21	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x41b8c9…
10-24 17:39:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x26cdde…
10-24 17:28:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0xe55304…
10-24 00:00:44	Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs	FURIA Esports	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xec543f…
10-23 22:28:42	Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbfd520…
10-23 21:41:02	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	24	80¢	$20	0x70174f…
10-23 21:21:21	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	Virtus.pro	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0x4c44c0…
10-23 20:49:21	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	Virtus.pro	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x993ad7…
10-23 20:24:44	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0de214…
10-23 18:53:00	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x64ab19…
10-23 17:52:32	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xbe46a2…
10-23 17:52:00	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8dde19…
10-23 17:18:06	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x12164e…
10-23 17:17:48	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3920d2…
10-23 16:21:27	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x28acf2…
10-23 11:13:30	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Team Liquid	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xb98e89…
10-22 14:28:09	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xf548b8…
10-22 14:11:06	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4677ff…
10-22 13:43:54	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xa8ce41…
10-22 13:05:18	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	Team Spirit	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x695e0f…
10-22 10:33:45	Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0x5c3e31…
10-22 10:33:21	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Team Yandex	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xda7626…
10-22 07:57:45	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf8db0f…
10-21 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc91b62…
10-20 22:33:38	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xa7f760…
10-20 21:20:36	nba bos det 2026 10 20 total 230pt5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0c6b1a…
10-20 18:35:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x303646…
10-20 16:11:59	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xd2540b…
10-20 16:09:36	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	BIG	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x9d549f…
10-20 14:24:12	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	BIG	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x9f691f…