Realized P&L
-$14.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.96K
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
12
Trades
558
lifetime
Volume
$293.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$525
Open exposure
$96.0K
25 positions
First seen
2026-08-26
last 10-26 15:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
70% 55% -$15,042
Pop-Culture
23% — —
Other
6% 100% +$390
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +54,249 $38,887 70¢ $37.7K -$1,184 10-26 15:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +21,000 $15,360 72¢ $15.0K -$345 10-26 14:16
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 No +9,817 $8,443 99¢ $9.7K +$1,266 09-25 16:38
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +4,361 $10,311 100¢ $4.3K -$5,965 08-28 15:35
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,650 72¢ $3.6K -$25 10-06 20:13
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? Mbappé +5,000 $3,650 68¢ $3.4K -$225 10-26 20:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,000 $2,490 92¢ $2.8K +$285 10-05 19:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,520 78¢ $2.3K -$180 10-19 19:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $2,220 74¢ $2.2K $0 10-19 19:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,000 $1,980 66¢ $2.0K -$15 10-05 13:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5,000 $3,100 38¢ $1.9K -$1,175 10-05 20:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,950 62¢ $1.9K -$75 10-08 18:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,859 $1,847 66¢ $1.9K +$26 10-25 18:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,000 $1,275 44¢ $1.3K +$34 10-08 20:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $920 92¢ $925 +$5 10-06 11:36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $870 92¢ $919 +$49 10-06 13:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $760 40¢ $800 +$40 10-07 06:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,000 $800 74¢ $735 -$65 10-06 07:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,044 $668 62¢ $652 -$16 10-07 04:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,000 $450 20¢ $585 +$135 10-18 08:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,000 $720 18¢ $525 -$195 10-09 06:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +500 $355 78¢ $388 +$32 10-07 12:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $150 8¢ $240 +$90 10-17 06:36
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +500 $120 23¢ $114 -$6 10-07 10:53
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +2,750 $1,483 1¢ $32 -$1,452 10-25 18:54