Cold-Headquarters — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$382

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

2,239

Trades

5,806

lifetime

Volume

$149.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 11-03 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$382

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	23	$1.7K	1,463	1,463	+0	Down	-$136	09-15 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	60	$1.2K	1,618	1,618	+0	Up	-$7	05-19 03:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	48	$969	1,229	1,229	+0	Yes	-$28	05-18 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	14	$915	724	631	+93	Down	-$10	09-28 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	16	$797	796	796	+0	Up	-$322	09-16 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	411	$713	475	475	+0	Yes	-$4	05-20 13:53
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$637	851	234	+617	Up	-$463	07-28 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	23	$623	1,173	1,169	+4	Down	-$186	09-08 17:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	237	$598	313	313	+0	Yes	-$1	05-20 13:50
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$548	303	303	+0	Up	+$49	07-27 13:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:45 UTC	4	$548	324	324	+0	Up	+$48	07-28 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	7	$515	316	316	+0	Down	+$116	09-11 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	13	$496	610	213	+397	Down	-$5	09-14 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	22	$490	995	843	+152	Down	-$125	08-25 01:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 17:45 UTC	4	$455	257	256	+1	Up	+$57	08-31 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	125	$450	476	476	+0	Up	+$33	05-20 13:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	5	$447	276	276	+0	Up	+$99	07-29 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:40 UTC	3	$444	255	255	+0	Up	+$45	07-29 18:43
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	37	$442	393	393	+0	No	-$3	06-02 13:37
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$436	240	240	+0	Up	+$37	09-03 12:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 00:15 UTC	5	$435	238	238	+0	Up	+$36	08-31 00:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	7	$425	312	312	+0	Up	+$56	08-24 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	12	$422	249	249	+0	Up	+$72	09-08 15:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:35 UTC	3	$419	247	247	+0	Up	+$70	07-29 18:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	4	$412	234	231	+4	Up	+$47	07-29 18:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:45 UTC	7	$411	282	282	+0	Up	+$11	08-25 00:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	4	$389	234	206	+28	Up	+$47	07-31 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	10	$384	251	250	+2	Up	+$15	09-14 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	11	$378	462	231	+231	Down	+$9	09-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	154	$341	488	482	+7	Down	$0	05-22 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 15:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9e19d5…
11-03 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x40f02f…
11-03 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xcff55f…
11-03 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6753c3…
11-03 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeeae9f…
11-03 14:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x965a7e…
11-03 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbd8f58…
11-03 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xb63959…
11-03 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb34e24…
11-03 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x803867…
11-03 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1295ad…
11-03 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b7f22…
11-03 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xb531fe…
11-03 14:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4fdcd1…
11-03 14:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3ad4f7…
11-03 14:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2fd173…
11-03 14:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x451eff…
11-03 14:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x16c00f…
11-03 14:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0c994f…
11-03 14:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7873aa…
11-03 14:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf94296…
11-03 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x460379…
11-03 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x1b68a7…
11-03 14:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3134c7…
11-03 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xef6d93…
11-03 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd931d6…
11-03 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1750f9…
11-03 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xa49e60…
11-03 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x5c9eaa…
11-03 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x3379bc…
11-03 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa40578…
11-03 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x11041d…
11-03 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe90c55…
11-03 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xb2062e…
11-03 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x06463c…
11-03 13:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xdaf718…
11-03 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x272c5c…
11-03 13:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xe4c8ca…
11-03 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0x8f65f2…
10-30 16:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xac435f…
10-30 16:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d45b7…
10-30 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb270ff…
10-30 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe47de2…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe03231…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0fb19b…
10-30 16:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2453e1…
10-30 16:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x822bc4…
10-30 16:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x4886c1…
10-30 16:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xa97074…
10-30 16:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2b4f49…
10-30 16:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x19f931…
10-30 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaad476…
10-30 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x45d5a7…
10-30 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x210e71…
10-30 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc552bf…
10-30 16:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5bd8ad…
10-30 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x51192d…
10-30 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x3cc5f4…
10-30 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x03f9c5…
10-30 16:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x71bacc…
10-30 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x11e559…
10-30 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x707b85…
10-30 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x29b415…
10-30 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xae43f9…
10-30 15:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2e0919…
10-30 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xedbde4…
10-30 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x5bd336…
10-30 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xde5d7d…
10-30 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc3394…
10-30 15:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x245e11…
10-30 15:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x800eec…
10-30 15:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x498795…
10-30 15:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2929a…
10-30 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc67f14…
10-30 15:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3c435b…
10-30 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1d1ad6…
10-30 15:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x59f4cb…
10-30 15:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x09e072…
10-30 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5e02b1…
10-30 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdd311b…
10-30 15:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x43cefe…
10-30 15:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xec6700…
10-30 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9bf3ac…
10-30 15:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc3e3cd…
10-30 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x390975…
10-30 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xfad216…
10-30 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xcae93a…
10-30 15:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6164ba…
10-30 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b6b26…
10-30 15:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcc487d…
10-30 15:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d74a8…
10-30 15:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7247ce…
10-30 15:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xabc02c…
10-30 15:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x66b2b7…
10-30 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5655db…
10-30 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1c9e04…
10-30 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf32602…
10-30 15:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x33c72a…
10-30 15:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfc2789…
10-30 15:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe4f873…