Dependent-Chill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

11,816

lifetime

Volume

$96.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-22 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% — —

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

5% 43% +$99

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be at least 400 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	15	$1.6K	935	935	+0	open	—	01-21 00:28
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	14	$1.6K	3,563	3,435	+128	open	—	04-15 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	28	$1.4K	2,028	2,001	+28	open	—	04-25 11:59
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	42	$1.4K	15,079	15,080	-1	open	—	02-01 05:47
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	15	$1.3K	3,462	3,462	+0	open	—	03-31 08:29
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	22	$1.2K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	01-21 10:22
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	27	$1.2K	1,792	1,390	+402	open	—	01-12 12:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	33	$1.2K	6,230	4,140	+2,090	open	—	03-24 13:33
will jd vances fundraiser not air	26	$1.1K	2,030	121	+1,909	open	—	02-17 14:18
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	21	$1.0K	774	948	-174	open	—	01-09 16:50
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 140 164	17	$955	981	600	+381	open	—	01-12 04:14
will there be at least 500 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 onf	12	$867	570	587	-17	open	—	01-22 10:01
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	6	$850	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-13 03:49
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	27	$797	2,171	2,171	+0	open	—	03-07 08:51
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	10	$785	1,100	1,300	-200	open	—	01-09 11:05
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	4	$781	499	499	+0	open	—	02-13 04:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	27	$753	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	03-23 13:34
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	30	$713	2,247	2,247	+0	open	—	03-28 03:10
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	4	$693	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 03:41
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 190 214	8	$688	15,653	100	+15,553	open	—	01-12 12:59
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	4	$664	700	400	+300	open	—	01-21 12:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	19	$630	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-30 15:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	17	$627	681	681	+0	open	—	02-13 12:37
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 165 189	8	$592	500	300	+200	open	—	01-11 21:53
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 140 164	4	$581	300	300	+0	open	—	01-21 10:55
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	24	$573	3,742	3,742	-0	open	—	03-23 04:30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$572	300	300	+0	open	—	04-22 20:37
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	3	$569	500	500	+0	open	—	01-27 09:38
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	11	$568	580	580	+0	open	—	02-13 15:18
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	20	$563	1,570	1,070	+500	open	—	01-24 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x388b7a…
05-20 17:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2c5b58…
05-20 17:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8f3706…
05-20 10:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x6ddf9c…
05-20 10:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa2e714…
05-20 10:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x631580…
05-20 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9dbb82…
05-20 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x29631f…
05-20 09:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcac3eb…
05-20 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x37a1b4…
05-20 09:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5a4444…
05-20 09:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xadd6b8…
05-20 09:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8d789f…
05-20 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x314c64…
05-20 09:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2f4464…
05-19 05:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x046cba…
05-19 05:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa36cb8…
05-19 05:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7e94cc…
05-19 05:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf260ce…
05-10 12:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0xcda31b…
05-10 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x292622…
05-10 12:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x854318…
05-10 12:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x825d0d…
05-10 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x11e352…
05-10 12:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0c384f…
05-10 11:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x0ae83b…
05-06 12:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xeb23d5…
05-06 12:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xabf2eb…
05-06 12:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x8b67d0…
05-06 10:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb8b7ab…
05-04 17:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe4fcca…
05-04 17:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4df3f3…
05-04 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9ab888…
05-04 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x5591d3…
05-04 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe4a689…
05-04 17:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x22d720…
05-04 17:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x0988fd…
05-04 15:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	204	3¢	$6	0x74b5d3…
05-04 15:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x9624e6…
05-04 14:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x48fc90…
05-04 04:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	83	33¢	$28	0xb091e4…
05-04 04:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xf79301…
05-03 20:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0xd23226…
05-03 20:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfbd343…
05-03 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xe44ea6…
05-03 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	179	8¢	$14	0x8a6597…
05-03 19:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x94b347…
05-03 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x5baae2…
05-03 19:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x39cdfd…
05-03 19:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc87cf9…
05-03 19:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x43edbd…
05-03 19:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	79	87¢	$69	0x2a70ca…
05-03 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x082900…
05-03 17:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xeff0a5…
05-03 17:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	142	32¢	$45	0x7d4b11…
05-03 17:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	142	21¢	$30	0x2e9e04…
05-03 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	103	32¢	$33	0x59980a…
05-03 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	103	18¢	$19	0x7f4498…
05-03 17:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc1574e…
05-03 17:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3a2e48…
05-03 16:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0ba628…
05-03 15:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0xc1e016…
05-03 15:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	82	80¢	$66	0x9ba01a…
05-03 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xa6be91…
05-03 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6b7f72…
05-03 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2529f1…
05-03 15:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x2477b6…
05-03 15:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1c94ce…
05-03 15:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xa3b4d1…
05-03 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x92aef1…
05-03 15:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xddc155…
05-03 15:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x613150…
05-03 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xa679e2…
05-03 14:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x752692…
05-03 14:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x17d32d…
05-03 14:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf3e2f4…
05-03 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x073d7b…
05-03 14:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0xd49a1c…
05-01 20:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x0e7451…
05-01 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc32c49…
05-01 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x820759…
05-01 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1ef14e…
05-01 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd0dd05…
05-01 19:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xdcb0c5…
05-01 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x9613c2…
05-01 19:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf1d6c9…
05-01 19:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc31407…
05-01 17:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x20708a…
05-01 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x93b57b…
05-01 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	59	37¢	$22	0xbd85c7…
05-01 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xf984f3…
05-01 10:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xfb0ad7…
05-01 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe33b4a…
05-01 10:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	456	2¢	$9	0x7aa448…
05-01 09:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7d007e…
05-01 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4eaa94…
05-01 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x2f686c…
05-01 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd165bd…
05-01 09:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x093026…
05-01 09:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1bdb5f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	726	$1.84M	49,100	05-28 08:53
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	706	$156.0K	79,287	04-18 22:01
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	704	$519	1,467	05-22 05:57
Ondra 0x849c…4009	643	$2.06M	139,071	04-28 10:45
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	622	$1.62M	131,514	04-09 19:50
Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b	615	$674.9K	34,530	04-28 09:29
Low-Patty 0x5113…f0ba	610	$63.5K	4,824	04-27 19:44
Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054	592	$362.3K	73,639	04-28 10:44