Assured-Azimuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

49 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$777 lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-21 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 56% +$77

Other

18% 83% -$5

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+10	$9	96¢	$9	+$0	09-21 07:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	22	$268	188	152	+35	Down	+$3	05-26 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$116	587	87	+500	Down	+$20	05-31 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$106	114	114	+0	Up	+$56	05-31 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	05-31 14:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$86	48	48	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 05:24
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	-$15	06-20 19:50
ethereum above 2400 on april 20	1	$11	29	0	+29	No	+$18	04-17 22:46
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	2	$10	15	15	+0	No	-$6	06-20 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	05-31 14:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-17 22:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	09-21 07:36
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-10 13:47
houthi strike on israel by february 28	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	01-31 14:59
will xrp reach 2pt6 in february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:50 UTC	1	$4	31	0	+31	Down	-$4	03-27 19:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	03-27 19:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-27 19:53
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-27 19:52
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	01-31 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 07:36:23	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xeb917d…
06-20 19:50:41	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x90f11f…
06-20 19:50:17	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x062024…
06-08 09:36:48	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd0ff32…
05-31 14:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5e290c…
05-31 14:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6b16a1…
05-31 14:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	114	71¢	$81	0x4bcde5…
05-31 14:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xeaa15a…
05-31 14:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x10df7f…
05-31 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x44e1df…
05-31 14:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x407a90…
05-31 14:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x9e6639…
05-31 14:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xc5ae3b…
05-31 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x878b8c…
05-31 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7e9aa1…
05-31 05:24:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	89¢	$43	0xe179ac…
05-31 04:36:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0xcfa7ac…
05-26 09:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x867b62…
05-26 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x677413…
05-26 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06f780…
05-26 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x206c1d…
05-26 09:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbd9542…
05-26 09:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x8caff9…
05-26 09:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc57119…
05-26 09:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xfc6bc8…
05-26 09:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8672e3…
05-26 09:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xe7f25b…
05-26 09:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x3f9565…
05-26 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xacfdef…
05-26 09:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	67¢	$8	0xe86fd0…
05-26 09:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xfded10…
05-26 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	34	79¢	$27	0xa8a7eb…
05-26 09:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbc74a6…
05-26 09:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd68ece…
05-26 09:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x3ac7cf…
05-26 09:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xa2fc15…
05-26 09:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x943ed9…
05-26 09:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x16648c…
05-26 09:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x452a9c…
04-17 22:47:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x332ace…
04-17 22:46:56	ethereum above 2400 on april 20	No	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x170c44…
03-27 19:53:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xbf99aa…
03-27 19:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x4611e9…
03-27 19:52:55	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcebe04…
03-27 19:52:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6bcafd…
02-10 13:47:07	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x46f550…
01-31 14:59:52	will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcf00b5…
01-31 14:59:40	houthi strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x674627…
01-31 14:59:34	will xrp reach 2pt6 in february 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f592f…