Agonizing-Medicine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

-$210

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,140

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-22 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 8% $-79

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+1,346	$220	1¢	$7	$-213	06-22 22:12
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	Yes		-233	$-2	0¢	$-0	+$2	06-02 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	6	$794	788	788	+0	open	—	05-14 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	11	$615	639	639	+0	open	—	05-22 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$363	350	350	+0	open	—	05-17 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$354	350	350	+0	open	—	05-14 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	16	$330	686	686	+0	open	—	05-28 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$263	271	271	+0	open	—	05-29 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$221	196	196	+0	open	—	05-29 00:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$220	1,346	0	+1,346	open	—	06-22 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	9	$171	289	289	+0	open	—	05-29 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$162	109	109	+0	open	—	05-16 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET	23	$149	2,898	0	+2,898	open	—	05-28 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$147	116	116	+0	open	—	05-16 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$144	123	123	+0	open	—	06-02 23:40
btc updown 5m 1780959300	5	$136	317	217	+100	open	—	06-08 22:58
btc updown 5m 1780522800	7	$126	356	356	+0	open	—	06-03 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	16	$123	499	57	+442	open	—	05-28 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$106	73	73	+0	open	—	05-17 00:15
btc updown 15m 1780704000	15	$105	1,183	0	+1,183	open	—	06-06 00:08
btc updown 5m 1780520100	5	$104	355	355	+0	open	—	06-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$97	1,794	1,294	+500	open	—	05-29 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	13	$95	878	0	+878	open	—	05-22 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$93	80	80	+0	open	—	05-26 22:14
btc updown 5m 1781651100	4	$92	278	278	+0	open	—	06-16 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$81	55	55	+0	open	—	05-17 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$80	3,153	0	+3,153	open	—	05-24 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	9	$80	969	0	+969	open	—	06-02 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	14	$78	1,423	0	+1,423	open	—	05-26 20:39
btc updown 5m 1780521000	4	$76	330	330	+0	open	—	06-03 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	9	$75	815	0	+815	open	—	05-29 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$73	93	93	+0	open	—	05-21 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 22:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb89c62…
06-17 20:58:20	btc updown 5m 1781729700	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x35d966…
06-17 20:58:17	btc updown 5m 1781729700	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf4095f…
06-17 20:57:53	btc updown 5m 1781729700	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb8015c…
06-17 20:57:37	btc updown 5m 1781729700	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x179eca…
06-17 20:57:32	btc updown 5m 1781729700	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x742fe4…
06-17 17:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x9d8ce9…
06-16 23:20:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x7b5eb3…
06-16 23:14:16	btc updown 5m 1781651400	Up	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x95a4ea…
06-16 23:13:29	btc updown 5m 1781651400	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x915dfa…
06-16 23:08:46	btc updown 5m 1781651100	Up	SELL	278	24¢	$67	0x35af2e…
06-16 23:07:35	btc updown 5m 1781651100	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcc6ce6…
06-16 23:07:34	btc updown 5m 1781651100	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x758b85…
06-16 23:07:31	btc updown 5m 1781651100	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x28f218…
06-16 23:04:41	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	SELL	430	2¢	$9	0xb8d117…
06-16 23:03:14	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc5d2c9…
06-16 23:01:14	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xdc0c55…
06-16 23:01:07	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x06a288…
06-16 23:01:04	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc1f9aa…
06-16 23:01:01	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x101a58…
06-16 23:00:59	btc updown 5m 1781650800	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3e1e11…
06-16 22:34:25	btc updown 5m 1781649000	Up	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xf8981c…
06-16 22:32:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	833	18¢	$150	0xe380ea…
06-16 22:29:22	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xa4c299…
06-16 22:28:29	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc28086…
06-16 22:28:05	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7934b8…
06-16 22:27:49	btc updown 5m 1781648700	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x60d32e…
06-16 22:21:53	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xab57eb…
06-16 22:21:40	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5c5b3b…
06-16 22:21:29	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0f1555…
06-16 22:21:19	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x17fbf3…
06-16 22:21:13	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4348f8…
06-16 22:21:07	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x90bf48…
06-16 22:20:50	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x1a270d…
06-16 22:20:40	btc updown 5m 1781648400	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xe627e3…
06-16 22:20:07	btc updown 5m 1781648100	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xad5e15…
06-16 22:19:22	btc updown 5m 1781648100	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2beabe…
06-11 23:20:09	btc updown 5m 1781219700	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x209094…
06-11 23:19:39	btc updown 5m 1781219700	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9f91b2…
06-09 21:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Down	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0x56dccd…
06-09 21:36:51	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xad370f…
06-09 21:36:46	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x228860…
06-09 21:31:30	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0xb9c1f5…
06-09 21:30:28	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6a7c0d…
06-09 21:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3ecee1…
06-09 00:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780964100	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7458c8…
06-09 00:18:57	btc updown 5m 1780964100	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbf0cdf…
06-09 00:13:33	btc updown 5m 1780963800	Down	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0x3723f6…
06-09 00:12:28	btc updown 5m 1780963800	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc53466…
06-08 23:59:30	btc updown 5m 1780962900	Down	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x167833…
06-08 23:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780962900	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc7be35…
06-08 23:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780962900	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2681f5…
06-08 23:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Down	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x789238…
06-08 23:51:25	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x19eee4…
06-08 23:50:19	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x28bf95…
06-08 23:50:15	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbbbe5a…
06-08 23:47:54	btc updown 5m 1780962300	Up	SELL	176	6¢	$11	0xea2db1…
06-08 23:45:40	btc updown 5m 1780962300	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2a3b6c…
06-08 23:45:34	btc updown 5m 1780962300	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x149773…
06-08 23:45:30	btc updown 5m 1780962300	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2c6e7d…
06-08 23:45:28	btc updown 5m 1780962300	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf5950a…
06-08 23:44:31	btc updown 5m 1780962000	Down	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x979c17…
06-08 23:39:31	btc updown 5m 1780961700	Down	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0x5ec98f…
06-08 23:38:57	btc updown 5m 1780961700	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x16b542…
06-08 23:31:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0xfe5eca…
06-08 23:27:55	btc updown 5m 1780961100	Up	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0x8d7f72…
06-08 23:25:46	btc updown 5m 1780961100	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8f4410…
06-08 23:22:46	btc updown 5m 1780960800	Up	SELL	27	80¢	$22	0x02ec28…
06-08 23:21:39	btc updown 5m 1780960800	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe28698…
06-08 23:16:18	btc updown 5m 1780960500	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb332e4…
06-08 23:16:09	btc updown 5m 1780960500	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5c1488…
06-08 23:16:07	btc updown 5m 1780960500	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x162d24…
06-08 23:16:06	btc updown 5m 1780960500	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe00d77…
06-08 23:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780960200	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb9481f…
06-08 23:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780960200	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xae3fae…
06-08 23:02:46	btc updown 5m 1780959600	Down	SELL	68	54¢	$37	0x4f0e2c…
06-08 23:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780959600	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb0aadb…
06-08 23:02:01	btc updown 5m 1780959600	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x8f6e77…
06-08 22:58:00	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4fd27b…
06-08 22:57:43	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	SELL	217	47¢	$101	0x6aa6a4…
06-08 22:56:55	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xdf0169…
06-08 22:56:46	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd572b5…
06-08 22:56:43	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0ba750…
06-06 00:08:04	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x16f10d…
06-06 00:07:27	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	235	4¢	$10	0x0c628f…
06-06 00:07:13	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc5dee3…
06-06 00:05:13	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x7e4fa2…
06-06 00:04:40	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xac8664…
06-06 00:04:30	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x82092a…
06-06 00:04:15	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf1d3ff…
06-06 00:03:58	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x658e21…
06-06 00:03:55	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0xbefbf3…
06-06 00:03:45	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x88089f…
06-06 00:03:43	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xedfcbf…
06-06 00:03:03	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbf2438…
06-06 00:02:39	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa2ec88…
06-06 00:02:31	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xb56ec7…
06-06 00:02:24	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7f9dcb…
06-05 23:23:36	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x464b6f…
06-05 23:23:10	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8ad270…