Agonizing-Medicine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,214

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 09-04 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 23% -$180

Politics

10% 12% -$1,054

Other

2% 0% -$249

Sports

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	6	$794	788	788	+0	Down	+$781	05-14 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	11	$615	639	639	+0	Up	+$489	05-22 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$363	350	350	+0	Up	+$329	05-17 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$354	350	350	+0	Up	+$338	05-14 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	16	$330	686	686	+0	Up	+$142	05-28 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	20	$322	540	540	+0	Down	+$80	05-28 00:15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	13	$278	3,975	0	+3,975	No	-$278	06-11 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$263	271	271	+0	Up	+$183	05-29 00:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	1	$255	0	8,573	-8,573	No	+$255	06-15 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$221	196	196	+0	Up	+$161	05-29 00:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$220	1,346	0	+1,346	No	-$220	06-22 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	9	$171	289	289	+0	Up	+$51	05-29 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$162	109	109	+0	Down	+$54	05-16 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET	23	$149	2,898	0	+2,898	Up	-$149	05-28 23:56
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	1	$147	0	987	-987	Yes	-$840	06-14 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$147	116	116	+0	Down	+$83	05-16 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$144	123	123	+0	Up	+$100	06-02 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:55 UTC	5	$136	317	217	+100	Up	+$66	06-08 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:40 UTC	7	$126	356	356	+0	Up	+$36	06-03 21:45
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$123	0	250	-250	No	+$123	06-02 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$106	73	73	+0	Down	+$38	05-17 00:15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	5	$105	5,621	0	+5,621	No	-$105	06-19 21:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 00:00 UTC	15	$105	1,183	0	+1,183	Up	-$105	06-06 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:55 UTC	5	$104	355	355	+0	Down	+$44	06-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	14	$97	978	0	+978	Down	-$97	05-22 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$97	1,794	1,294	+500	Up	+$8	05-29 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$93	80	80	+0	Down	+$45	05-26 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	4	$92	278	278	+0	Down	+$42	06-16 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$85	293	54	+239	Down	+$1	05-28 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$81	55	55	+0	Down	+$27	05-17 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd12676…
09-04 21:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x04ab00…
09-04 21:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xccb177…
09-04 21:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x71eba0…
09-04 21:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x99b8b0…
09-04 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x562045…
09-04 21:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x55c2e5…
09-04 21:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x91cabe…
07-03 22:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe0d459…
07-03 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x29def0…
06-22 22:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb89c62…
06-19 21:48:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x53d2eb…
06-19 21:48:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x5ee41c…
06-19 21:47:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	733	4¢	$30	0x7b9abe…
06-19 21:47:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	1,412	2¢	$30	0xe463c9…
06-17 20:58:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x35d966…
06-17 20:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf4095f…
06-17 20:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb8015c…
06-17 20:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x179eca…
06-17 20:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x742fe4…
06-17 17:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x9d8ce9…
06-16 23:36:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	4,706	0¢	$20	0xbbbead…
06-16 23:20:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x7b5eb3…
06-16 23:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x95a4ea…
06-16 23:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x915dfa…
06-16 23:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	278	24¢	$67	0x35af2e…
06-16 23:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcc6ce6…
06-16 23:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x758b85…
06-16 23:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x28f218…
06-16 23:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	430	2¢	$9	0xb8d117…
06-16 23:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc5d2c9…
06-16 23:01:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xdc0c55…
06-16 23:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x06a288…
06-16 23:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc1f9aa…
06-16 23:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x101a58…
06-16 23:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3e1e11…
06-16 22:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xf8981c…
06-16 22:32:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	833	18¢	$150	0xe380ea…
06-16 22:31:17	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8d3a3e…
06-16 22:31:10	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1a8a9c…
06-16 22:31:07	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x28413a…
06-16 22:31:01	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xce2bd5…
06-16 22:30:43	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x45b112…
06-16 22:30:37	Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8ed531…
06-16 22:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xa4c299…
06-16 22:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc28086…
06-16 22:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7934b8…
06-16 22:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x60d32e…
06-16 22:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xab57eb…
06-16 22:21:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5c5b3b…
06-16 22:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0f1555…
06-16 22:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x17fbf3…
06-16 22:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4348f8…
06-16 22:21:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x90bf48…
06-16 22:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x1a270d…
06-16 22:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xe627e3…
06-16 22:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xad5e15…
06-16 22:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2beabe…
06-15 00:20:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	8,573	3¢	$255	0xed93b6…
06-14 16:30:24	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	987	15¢	$147	0xc0c293…
06-11 23:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x209094…
06-11 23:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9f91b2…
06-11 23:12:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,004	2¢	$20	0x5900d1…
06-11 23:12:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x4f3721…
06-11 22:41:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	1,484	1¢	$15	0x93479f…
06-11 22:41:24	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	777	1¢	$10	0x9ccc51…
06-09 21:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0x56dccd…
06-09 21:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xad370f…
06-09 21:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x228860…
06-09 21:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0xb9c1f5…
06-09 21:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6a7c0d…
06-09 21:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3ecee1…
06-09 00:23:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x02d0c4…
06-09 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x148822…
06-09 00:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7458c8…
06-09 00:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbf0cdf…
06-09 00:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0x3723f6…
06-09 00:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc53466…
06-08 23:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:55 UTC	Down	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x167833…
06-08 23:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc7be35…
06-08 23:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2681f5…
06-08 23:54:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x734648…
06-08 23:54:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x96630c…
06-08 23:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x789238…
06-08 23:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x19eee4…
06-08 23:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x28bf95…
06-08 23:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbbbe5a…
06-08 23:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	176	6¢	$11	0xea2db1…
06-08 23:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2a3b6c…
06-08 23:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x149773…
06-08 23:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2c6e7d…
06-08 23:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf5950a…
06-08 23:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x979c17…
06-08 23:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0x5ec98f…
06-08 23:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x16b542…
06-08 23:31:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$10	0xf0cc88…
06-08 23:31:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0xfe5eca…
06-08 23:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0x8d7f72…
06-08 23:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8f4410…
06-08 23:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	27	80¢	$22	0x02ec28…