Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,855

lifetime

Volume

$109.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-22 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Other

23% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

1% 33% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	159	$21.8K	22,134	20,110	+2,023	open	—	04-21 07:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	140	$15.9K	32,656	29,563	+3,094	open	—	03-19 15:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	41	$10.4K	11,642	11,642	+0	open	—	03-19 23:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	28	$7.0K	3,605	4,722	-1,117	open	—	04-18 09:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	45	$6.3K	7,849	8,399	-551	open	—	04-21 07:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$3.9K	6,195	2,667	+3,528	open	—	03-12 05:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$3.5K	2,943	2,943	+0	open	—	03-08 19:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$3.2K	2,970	2,970	+0	open	—	04-04 00:50
will iran strike israel on march 10	16	$2.9K	1,671	1,671	+0	open	—	03-13 20:48
cs2 imperi ff 2026 04 13	45	$2.1K	2,344	2,170	+174	open	—	04-13 14:07
will iran strike israel on march 6	22	$1.3K	25,689	0	+25,689	open	—	03-10 18:11
cs2 pha ursa 2026 04 10	33	$1.3K	1,202	941	+261	open	—	04-10 11:04
cricpsl pes mul 2026 04 13	17	$1.0K	624	631	-6	open	—	04-13 17:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$982	465	620	-155	open	—	04-12 23:58
cs2 all tri9 2026 04 13	6	$941	500	500	+0	open	—	04-13 16:59
will trump and machado not shake hands	17	$873	1,613	1,072	+541	open	—	01-17 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	12	$817	729	729	+0	open	—	04-30 12:34
cs2 bbp hashir 2026 04 12	27	$802	660	665	-5	open	—	04-12 17:43
cs2 esc1 ursa 2026 04 16	49	$733	529	505	+24	open	—	04-16 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	8	$589	1,525	1,201	+324	open	—	04-30 14:34
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$583	295	302	-7	Yes	$-2	04-13 16:15
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	9	$505	540	0	+540	open	—	04-14 15:12
will iran strike israel on march 9	1	$500	525	0	+525	open	—	03-09 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$456	396	396	+0	open	—	04-30 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$438	356	356	+0	open	—	04-30 14:29
cs2 lavked run2 2026 04 12	21	$397	356	331	+25	open	—	04-12 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$392	277	277	+0	open	—	04-30 12:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$392	231	231	+0	open	—	04-30 16:58
cs2 innerc bnd 2026 04 10	14	$390	236	235	+1	open	—	04-10 21:16
bra flu fla 2026 04 11 fla	4	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 14:28:58	Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb51f9…
05-22 14:28:46	Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6bc2b7…
05-22 10:17:56	Geneva Open (Doubles): Frantzen/Haase vs Arneodo/Polmans	Arneodo/Polmans	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb8a73…
05-01 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe0e940…
05-01 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xeb84c0…
05-01 14:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x53ebf7…
05-01 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1ab521…
05-01 14:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xad6fc1…
05-01 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfc5ca2…
05-01 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x31f0a8…
05-01 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xab4883…
05-01 14:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x59999c…
05-01 14:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa5359a…
05-01 14:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x1cfdb3…
05-01 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7296ec…
05-01 14:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xde3981…
05-01 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x258bd2…
05-01 14:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe467f0…
05-01 14:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa3a396…
05-01 14:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x503793…
05-01 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd70d51…
05-01 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46254a…
05-01 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f1988…
05-01 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4493f4…
05-01 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x649cd5…
05-01 14:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec831c…
05-01 14:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xc6e65d…
05-01 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x37a5e1…
05-01 14:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x142407…
05-01 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xcbe5b9…
05-01 14:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41c622…
05-01 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8b153f…
05-01 14:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7643b5…
05-01 14:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xafa15b…
05-01 14:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x524e0d…
05-01 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x16a236…
05-01 14:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x82a0a0…
05-01 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x2d3c35…
05-01 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd26a1b…
05-01 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x0762ce…
05-01 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x479765…
05-01 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf72454…
05-01 14:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x1e6e15…
05-01 14:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x95ad6c…
05-01 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x8f6c4b…
05-01 14:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xefc6cb…
05-01 14:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xa29d53…
05-01 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f2dbd…
05-01 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xef7e00…
05-01 14:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x8ae4e0…
05-01 14:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xb93dff…
05-01 14:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0xf9f616…
05-01 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0x50d5f1…
05-01 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xdbe1fa…
05-01 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	80¢	$29	0x466534…
05-01 14:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xa1af9e…
05-01 14:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	48	66¢	$32	0x25446e…
05-01 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4708a7…
05-01 14:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	54	50¢	$27	0xd9e00f…
05-01 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa43151…
05-01 14:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x7fbac8…
05-01 14:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe26300…
05-01 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x026efe…
05-01 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9d3409…
05-01 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x361573…
05-01 14:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x33fcc9…
05-01 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xa4b5e0…
05-01 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x6f9688…
05-01 14:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x1b8e38…
05-01 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15fcb6…
05-01 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	47	65¢	$31	0x5fda33…
05-01 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6b9840…
05-01 13:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6fe31c…
05-01 13:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0x3877c6…
05-01 13:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x54c63c…
05-01 13:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa39e3e…
05-01 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x07d40e…
05-01 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x460233…
05-01 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd25e5e…
05-01 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc4caa5…
05-01 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x5b9e22…
05-01 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x2ade1d…
05-01 12:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf61a85…
05-01 12:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x2a4bfe…
05-01 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf3fc49…
05-01 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x47881c…
05-01 12:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x199605…
05-01 12:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x5cb198…
05-01 12:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4004cb…
05-01 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x92fd43…
05-01 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbbaa3c…
05-01 12:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf57537…
05-01 12:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfa0511…
05-01 12:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x99a022…
05-01 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x88fb9e…
05-01 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8f24eb…
05-01 12:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc5f7fd…
05-01 11:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1d6a20…
05-01 11:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf90d04…
05-01 11:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x511cba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	179	$148.0K	2,078	06-01 05:53
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	155	$496.6K	19,840	05-05 00:00
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	155	$134.4K	4,253	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	148	$60.3K	7,564	05-01 14:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	137	$62.3K	8,402	05-01 14:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	127	$19.4K	2,990	05-01 14:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	127	$19.2K	2,987	05-01 14:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	126	$268.8K	9,190	05-01 14:59