Mature-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

147

Trades

1,862

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-01 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-100

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% 50% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$202	246	246	+0	Down	+$42	05-12 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	12	$191	172	172	+0	open	—	05-23 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$185	153	153	+0	Up	+$115	05-08 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	8	$178	169	169	+0	Up	+$68	05-07 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$164	151	151	+0	Up	+$64	05-08 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	10	$163	309	130	+179	open	—	06-01 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	13	$162	121	121	+0	open	—	05-30 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$139	98	98	+0	Down	+$39	05-08 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$133	92	92	+0	Up	+$33	05-08 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$132	102	102	+0	open	—	05-04 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$132	95	95	+0	open	—	05-30 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$130	97	97	+0	Down	+$40	05-08 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	13	$128	122	102	+20	open	—	05-30 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	8	$127	127	127	+0	open	—	06-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$123	103	103	+0	Up	+$23	05-08 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$120	84	84	+0	Down	+$40	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	5	$114	106	106	+0	open	—	05-29 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$112	183	89	+94	open	—	06-01 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$107	80	80	+0	Up	+$47	05-07 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	9	$105	119	119	+0	open	—	05-23 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	9	$100	75	75	+0	open	—	05-22 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$100	84	84	+0	open	—	05-18 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$99	95	95	+0	open	—	05-02 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$97	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	9	$95	90	90	+0	open	—	05-26 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	12	$95	300	0	+300	open	—	06-01 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$94	78	78	+0	Up	+$34	05-07 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$92	58	58	+0	open	—	05-04 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	8	$90	138	74	+64	open	—	05-23 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	12	$88	210	65	+145	open	—	06-01 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf3f0e5…
06-01 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xec5c53…
06-01 17:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xc55176…
06-01 17:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8647f7…
06-01 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe3cf1e…
06-01 17:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcd59f2…
06-01 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x926571…
06-01 17:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6bd1ca…
06-01 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x47f71c…
06-01 17:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd9bbed…
06-01 17:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb49a51…
06-01 17:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1203ee…
06-01 17:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfb99ac…
06-01 17:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x118d8c…
06-01 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4764f1…
06-01 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x961f68…
06-01 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x054335…
06-01 17:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57	67¢	$38	0x64ff46…
06-01 17:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9de923…
06-01 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe1d32a…
06-01 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xa3f62d…
06-01 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3933bf…
06-01 17:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xfd56eb…
06-01 17:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3d7e67…
06-01 16:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x383ba7…
06-01 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x49a0ca…
06-01 16:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd9c674…
06-01 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8c241d…
06-01 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6b7019…
06-01 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc15412…
06-01 16:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x452369…
06-01 16:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb4bdb7…
06-01 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf56831…
06-01 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcc85fc…
06-01 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xee07b5…
06-01 16:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2cf1d6…
06-01 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x54e119…
06-01 16:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa10d96…
06-01 16:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x42f772…
06-01 16:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x8d9452…
06-01 16:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf8bb40…
06-01 16:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x17398c…
06-01 16:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5821bc…
06-01 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	130	74¢	$96	0x5ebca6…
06-01 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd21305…
06-01 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x06be03…
06-01 16:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6c8d57…
06-01 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8cf105…
06-01 16:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc30806…
06-01 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8bfe5c…
06-01 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcf2a20…
06-01 16:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x63dd43…
06-01 16:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x0fcb97…
06-01 16:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x6c1b23…
06-01 16:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe826a8…
06-01 16:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x12dc6d…
06-01 16:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x416abb…
06-01 16:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe978a4…
06-01 16:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7ae262…
06-01 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3e525f…
06-01 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8f18ad…
06-01 16:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfcf70c…
06-01 16:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x41a139…
06-01 16:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0d7c54…
06-01 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf40050…
06-01 16:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	108	36¢	$39	0x44032a…
06-01 16:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x58fa43…
06-01 16:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5bc35e…
06-01 16:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x5ba604…
06-01 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x51c6c5…
06-01 16:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6dde4a…
06-01 16:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xc77e17…
06-01 16:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0x818f1e…
06-01 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa6f1cb…
06-01 16:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2cf154…
06-01 16:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x69c16d…
06-01 16:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x910f56…
06-01 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x70bd41…
06-01 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x7a880e…
06-01 16:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x57f96c…
06-01 16:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x6b66ff…
06-01 16:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc19d14…
06-01 16:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0073c7…
06-01 16:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa614cd…
06-01 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x14ad53…
06-01 16:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3094de…
06-01 16:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x833c93…
06-01 16:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x716501…
06-01 16:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xff77cb…
06-01 16:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xed1655…
06-01 16:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcdac13…
06-01 16:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x464779…
06-01 16:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2fb818…
06-01 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x52763b…
06-01 16:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x84ad0d…
06-01 16:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x95dfb9…
06-01 16:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa35839…
06-01 16:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x76d2fc…
06-01 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x72ce81…
06-01 16:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0d178d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	512	$440.5K	16,775	06-01 17:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	506	$132.5K	21,307	06-01 17:12
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	504	$146.9K	42,987	06-01 17:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	504	$137.3K	40,469	06-01 17:14
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	501	$152.9K	24,594	06-01 17:13
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	498	$41.1K	5,152	06-01 17:14
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	489	$352.3K	54,501	06-01 17:14
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	489	$55.8K	9,994	06-01 17:14