Mature-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$142

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up		+2	$1	32¢	$1	$-0	05-05 22:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes		-9	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-05 19:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$80	0	84	-84	Down	$-4	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$32	0	33	-33	Down	$-2	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Down	$-5	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	+$10	05-05 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 05:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 02:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf63f30…
05-05 19:47:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x7d9d07…
05-05 12:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcdebc7…
05-05 12:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa26401…
05-05 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaa915c…
05-05 05:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdd77fd…
05-05 03:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x428272…
05-05 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0c7a7d…
05-05 02:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe5dfdc…
05-05 02:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb96b69…
05-04 22:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0x45b329…
05-04 21:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0x972a06…
05-04 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7d8a2a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$729	42	05-05 22:40
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.56K	40	05-05 12:45
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	5	$505	32	05-05 05:40