Outgoing-Consequence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$255

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

171

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$9.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-05 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

57% 92% +$16

Sports

43% 76% -$273

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No		+12	$10	98¢	$11	+$1	07-04 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl phi col 2026 01 23	2	$126	77	77	+0	Flyers	+$26	01-24 04:27
nhl las mon 2026 01 27	2	$116	67	67	+0	Canadiens	+$17	01-28 02:37
nhl lak stl 2026 01 24	2	$113	65	65	+0	Kings	+$15	01-25 03:45
nhl fla wpg 2026 01 22	2	$112	63	63	+0	Panthers	+$13	01-23 03:43
nhl utah tb 2026 01 26	5	$110	61	61	+0	Lightning	+$10	01-27 02:36
nhl nyr sj 2026 01 23 total 6pt5	2	$110	61	61	+0	Under	+$10	01-24 05:36
nhl cbj chi 2026 01 30	2	$109	60	60	+0	Blue Jackets	+$10	01-31 04:06
nba por was 2026 01 27 spread away 7pt5	3	$109	60	60	-0	Wizards	+$10	01-28 02:25
fl1 hac asm 2026 01 24 asm	3	$109	60	60	+0	No	+$10	01-24 19:56
lal sev bil 2026 01 24 sev	2	$107	58	58	+0	Yes	+$8	01-24 19:28
nhl pit edm 2026 01 22	2	$107	57	57	+0	Penguins	+$7	01-23 03:33
nba sac cle 2026 01 23 spread home 12pt5	4	$106	57	57	+0	Kings	+$6	01-24 02:55
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 liv	2	$105	56	56	+0	No	+$6	01-24 19:23
nba orl cle 2026 01 26 spread home 4pt5	2	$105	56	56	+0	Cavaliers	+$6	01-27 02:31
ucl nap1 cfc 2026 01 28 cfc	4	$105	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	01-28 21:54
nba den mil 2026 01 23	2	$105	55	55	+0	Nuggets	+$5	01-24 04:33
lal vil rea 2026 01 24 rea	2	$104	55	55	+0	Yes	+$4	01-24 21:52
ucl atm bog1 2026 01 28 atm	4	$104	55	55	-0	No	+$4	01-28 21:53
nba lal chi 2026 01 26	2	$104	55	55	+0	Lakers	+$4	01-27 03:10
cbb csunr hawaii 2026 01 24 total 157pt5	4	$104	55	55	+0	Under	+$4	01-25 07:06
nhl wsh sea 2026 01 27	2	$104	55	55	+0	Kraken	+$4	01-28 05:30
fl1 rcl hac 2026 01 30 rcl	3	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	01-30 21:45
epl eve lee 2026 01 26 eve	2	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$4	01-26 21:53
nba hou det 2026 01 23 spread home 4pt5	4	$103	54	54	-0	Rockets	+$4	01-24 02:34
nhl tb cbj 2026 01 24	2	$103	54	54	+0	Blue Jackets	+$4	01-25 02:34
nhl nyi phi 2026 01 26 total 5pt5	2	$103	54	54	+0	Under	+$4	01-27 02:33
epl bur tot 2026 01 24 tot	2	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$3	01-24 16:56
nba mia uta 2026 01 24 spread away 7pt5	4	$103	54	54	-0	Heat	+$3	01-25 04:46
nhl tor sea 2026 01 29	2	$103	54	54	+0	Kraken	+$3	01-30 05:38
nhl buf tor 2026 01 27	2	$103	54	54	+0	Sabres	+$3	01-28 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 02:19:10	Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xd1ed16…
07-05 02:17:32	Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3af872…
07-04 15:31:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4a089c…
07-04 15:30:38	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc72975…
05-10 14:18:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5fdf34…
05-10 14:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x350d73…
05-10 14:16:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x627b68…
05-10 14:15:39	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x201891…
03-01 21:32:31	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x59f632…
03-01 21:32:01	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 rom	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc906c9…
03-01 20:28:47	nhl las pit 2026 03 01 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x941bce…
03-01 20:05:41	nhl las pit 2026 03 01 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd7a4cc…
03-01 15:59:39	epl bri not 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb6cc41…
03-01 15:57:59	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa7cee5…
03-01 15:57:59	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 sas	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x7ec10a…
03-01 15:56:47	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x182d40…
03-01 15:54:39	epl bri not 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5575e1…
03-01 15:53:37	fl1 pfc ogc 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x12cc0b…
03-01 15:52:19	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa9b956…
03-01 15:50:11	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa83583…
03-01 15:49:59	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 sas	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf63d10…
03-01 15:49:03	fl1 pfc ogc 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5a6d59…
03-01 15:01:33	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 elc	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xadb93b…
03-01 14:53:21	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1f73d9…
03-01 14:51:19	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 elc	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x590ae2…
03-01 14:51:17	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2c584…
03-01 14:48:45	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7187eb…
03-01 14:48:23	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9571a8…
03-01 14:29:13	bl2 ber fcn 2026 03 01 ber	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xeab01b…
03-01 14:25:05	bl2 ber fcn 2026 03 01 ber	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x136858…
03-01 13:54:01	scop ran cel 2026 03 01 cel	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4e0963…
03-01 13:50:01	scop ran cel 2026 03 01 cel	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xaa28e3…
03-01 13:17:05	sea cre mil 2026 03 01 cre	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd1205e…
03-01 13:13:21	sea cre mil 2026 03 01 cre	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x467e5b…
03-01 13:13:21	sea cre mil 2026 03 01 cre	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x17ecaa…
03-01 13:09:47	ere zwo aja 2026 03 01 zwo	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x10c44f…
03-01 13:01:57	ere zwo aja 2026 03 01 zwo	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xda260f…
02-28 18:55:23	sea ver nap 2026 02 28 ver	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0148f0…
02-28 18:52:03	sea ver nap 2026 02 28 ver	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x03ac2d…
02-28 17:26:19	por avs ama 2026 02 28 ama	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x5c8472…
02-28 17:20:09	por avs ama 2026 02 28 ama	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x64ba91…
02-28 16:54:29	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bur	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x2fe165…
02-28 16:52:57	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bur	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc72611…
02-28 16:45:27	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bre	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x5aee4e…
02-28 16:30:43	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 b04	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x43abc8…
02-28 16:30:19	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 mai	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x1f2b3f…
02-28 16:28:21	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 mai	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf85145…
02-28 16:27:13	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdb8dbd…
02-28 16:23:19	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 b04	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x78fea2…
02-28 16:21:45	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x8d6b1b…
02-28 16:20:45	bun moe uni 2026 02 28 moe	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc5c54e…
02-28 14:56:47	tur koc bes 2026 02 28 bes	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd12359…
02-28 14:53:53	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 bil	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5782b3…
02-28 14:52:33	tur koc bes 2026 02 28 bes	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd10ecd…
02-28 14:50:31	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 bil	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc3aa1a…
02-28 14:26:27	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 sun	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x468b61…
02-28 14:25:05	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 bou	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x147829…
02-28 14:21:27	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 sun	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xecb462…
02-28 14:17:11	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 bou	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x6029f6…
02-28 09:00:13	aus bri per 2026 02 28 bri	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x97846d…
02-28 08:54:11	aus bri per 2026 02 28 bri	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6ff54a…
02-27 21:26:23	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 draw	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcd8347…
02-27 21:21:29	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 draw	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x522d83…
02-27 20:44:13	por por aro 2026 02 27 aro	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x490681…
02-27 20:38:17	por por aro 2026 02 27 aro	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x04a0cf…
02-27 19:27:49	bl2 dus boc 2026 02 27 dus	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x60bab3…
02-27 19:24:03	bl2 dus boc 2026 02 27 dus	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5392ef…
02-27 10:30:11	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 ade	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3802da…
02-27 10:30:09	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 vic	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x87eadf…
02-27 10:25:31	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 vic	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb80595…
02-27 10:24:13	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 ade	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x4241e4…
02-27 10:24:11	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 ade	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd444fe…
02-27 02:17:38	nba mia phi 2026 02 26 total 240pt5	Over	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd2c269…
02-27 02:13:12	nba mia phi 2026 02 26 total 240pt5	Over	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x25dfcb…
02-26 21:03:30	spl riy ahl 2026 02 26 ahl	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7cb706…
02-26 20:58:00	spl riy ahl 2026 02 26 ahl	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf84e14…
02-25 21:52:56	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1f0721…
02-25 21:48:06	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x70cb79…
02-24 21:54:14	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 draw	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x628fb9…
02-24 21:50:24	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xb24f18…
02-24 21:48:56	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x82c538…
02-24 21:48:52	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 draw	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x8a519c…
02-24 21:48:50	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 draw	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfc54f4…
02-24 21:48:34	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7cd121…
02-24 21:48:34	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5b99bd…
02-24 21:48:30	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xbfa07f…
02-24 21:47:56	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x80d741…
02-24 21:44:30	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 draw	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xecda78…
02-24 21:44:30	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 draw	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaf2c64…
02-24 21:44:24	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x281c39…
02-24 21:42:52	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x68ce45…
02-23 21:59:26	lal ala gir 2026 02 23 ala	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x95628d…
02-23 21:50:18	lal ala gir 2026 02 23 ala	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xe578a7…
02-23 21:43:22	sea bol udi 2026 02 23 bol	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfd3e93…
02-23 21:38:02	sea bol udi 2026 02 23 bol	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x7854e5…
02-23 19:57:26	den bro sjs 2026 02 23 bro	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa8333c…
02-23 19:50:42	den bro sjs 2026 02 23 bro	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x060742…
02-22 20:54:00	ere fey tel 2026 02 22 fey	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6dd737…
02-22 20:49:38	ere fey tel 2026 02 22 fey	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1bebbb…
02-22 20:27:46	bun hei stu 2026 02 22 stu	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4233f5…