Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-15 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

82% 55% -$4

Politics

15% 69% +$9

Tech

2% 0% -$4

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4	12	+12	No	-$1	08-02 00:31
will trump say motor city during michigan remarks 20260724162420357	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	07-27 16:53
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 10:13
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-08 23:38
will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	07-24 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-23 11:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-16 22:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 10:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 11:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-07 20:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 11:21
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-16 02:19
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 17:26
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-21 03:16
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-20 19:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 07:12
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-29 13:55
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-13 01:24
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-21 11:17
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-18 22:59
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-14 01:29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-04 09:33
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-30 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 08:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-07 03:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-21 19:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-14 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 20:35
will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-29 03:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-04 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:24:28	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x48f37f…
10-08 22:35:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88b21f…
10-07 09:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x92936c…
10-07 00:43:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0d7ad4…
10-02 07:06:51	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5535d2…
10-01 10:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdb8668…
09-26 13:31:18	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc0defb…
09-26 05:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x176f47…
09-25 20:58:42	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22ae04…
09-23 11:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5ed693…
09-23 11:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x66d9d6…
09-22 10:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x89b381…
09-17 10:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb04ee2…
09-16 02:19:16	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x86d7a3…
09-07 20:19:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd974b2…
09-07 11:28:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xba461b…
09-03 21:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x743ec9…
09-03 11:32:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x390dde…
09-02 20:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xeaac2b…
09-02 12:00:03	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xebe6f0…
08-30 14:56:31	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x48561b…
08-30 06:54:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd57c5d…
08-29 22:02:57	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1d45b7…
08-29 13:55:01	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x79f1ed…
08-29 03:54:43	will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x78d12b…
08-27 07:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x93b02c…
08-23 21:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1a30ac…
08-23 12:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x32838d…
08-22 14:28:43	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb01f26…
08-22 04:45:52	bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc23f2b…
08-21 19:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb573e8…
08-21 11:25:19	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x37a2ae…
08-21 11:17:57	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x84f064…
08-21 03:16:22	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfa75fb…
08-20 19:14:34	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5b9597…
08-19 08:35:15	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8097be…
08-18 22:59:00	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9e1650…
08-18 02:55:33	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x36ec43…
08-17 06:20:57	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc5557c…
08-16 22:20:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4d1868…
08-16 13:22:07	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x564eed…
08-15 14:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd792b1…
08-15 06:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2f2b2c…
08-14 20:36:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfee551…
08-14 20:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x18ab62…
08-14 12:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0fca34…
08-14 01:29:22	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5b519f…
08-13 17:26:24	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x611d4d…
08-13 09:24:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6a2fed…
08-13 01:24:07	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7e817a…
08-12 17:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8bd355…
08-12 09:22:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc3268e…
08-12 01:21:28	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa83cf1…
08-11 17:01:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x73c7a8…
08-09 08:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3deb94…
08-08 23:38:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xed8b5d…
08-08 15:35:04	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfb4d76…
08-08 07:12:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb3c1d8…
08-07 23:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4a400e…
08-07 03:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x816d19…
08-06 18:54:20	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8b963f…
08-06 10:53:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdd23ab…
08-06 10:52:17	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe1baea…
08-06 01:43:17	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5cfd0c…
08-05 17:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x675984…
08-05 09:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9ea41d…
08-05 01:35:33	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa2d197…
08-04 17:35:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5d1dd2…
08-04 09:33:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc800b2…
08-04 01:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcaa4c3…
08-03 17:32:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1e4a4d…
08-03 09:30:18	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x46448b…
08-03 00:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa52ad1…
08-02 16:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x19289e…
08-02 08:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf71cca…
08-02 00:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1ab38b…
08-02 00:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbc4921…
08-01 16:25:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x796735…
08-01 02:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x47a591…
07-31 18:14:00	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfb2f39…
07-31 10:13:08	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x490d3b…
07-30 08:10:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa2ed84…
07-29 07:40:02	Another pandemic before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0f69b7…
07-28 13:32:38	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x39e7e3…
07-28 03:20:15	will msft dip to 375 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x1b8277…
07-27 16:53:09	will trump say motor city during michigan remarks 20260724162420357	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xab21db…
07-27 02:04:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xeb41bd…
07-26 14:03:28	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4aac9a…
07-26 02:02:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2f653e…
07-25 14:01:09	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc616ca…
07-25 01:59:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x776e17…
07-24 13:56:43	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7f8cee…
07-24 01:55:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x32a23c…
07-23 13:53:13	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x6ee2bc…
07-23 01:47:06	Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x31eda8…