Overdue-Clerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

142

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-30 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$5

Other

44% 98% +$4

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+42	$42	98¢	$41	-$1	09-12 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	2	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	07-10 03:20
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	07-19 17:36
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-12 07:18
bitcoin above 86k on april 24	2	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	04-23 00:35
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	09-12 23:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	1	$41	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	09-03 23:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-06 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-27 11:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-26 09:10
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	04-06 18:21
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	04-18 13:06
will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-30 17:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-15 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	08-03 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	09-07 00:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 7?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 22:54
will bitcoin dip to 56k august 3 9 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	08-07 18:14
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	01-22 19:42
bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	08-17 00:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-02 05:25
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-15 12:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-10 08:14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	07-31 16:09
Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-18 19:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 16c	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-13 22:06
bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	07-04 08:21
bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	07-15 12:14
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-15 05:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-27 01:41
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-29 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:37:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4ddb25…
10-29 10:09:47	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x102f53…
10-24 03:17:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7ba75…
10-22 01:29:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x23c733…
10-20 16:12:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ef09a…
10-19 20:57:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe03b58…
10-17 14:37:50	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x60687e…
10-11 00:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc735a4…
10-08 20:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x594d65…
10-07 07:39:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4c1f50…
10-04 23:53:41	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8639b1…
10-02 06:45:03	Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa51ccc…
09-29 20:56:30	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd5f472…
09-28 14:26:38	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x87f3d9…
09-27 01:41:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e2ea4…
09-23 13:26:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x392ca9…
09-21 10:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x621cb9…
09-13 18:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2e136c…
09-12 23:22:19	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4a9755…
09-07 00:07:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfd0a77…
09-05 21:13:46	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f03ee…
09-03 23:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x2fbd02…
08-27 13:39:09	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc45e32…
08-26 09:10:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb98b17…
08-24 15:09:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe6cda3…
08-21 18:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x084800…
08-17 18:57:10	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf162b9…
08-17 00:51:25	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb00e82…
08-13 03:35:13	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x65452f…
08-13 03:16:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5960b9…
08-08 17:27:48	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x093d33…
08-07 18:14:45	will bitcoin dip to 56k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4fd239…
08-04 14:42:51	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5b020…
08-03 09:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x944e7c…
07-31 16:09:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa2fed1…
07-30 17:18:27	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6acfe6…
07-29 00:03:22	Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x81f78b…
07-27 11:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xce8174…
07-26 14:45:16	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x66310d…
07-25 00:45:52	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc30e93…
07-21 18:00:48	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6fe3e0…
07-19 17:36:54	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x253a0a…
07-17 12:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ae889…
07-15 14:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x14000d…
07-15 12:14:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0d22a9…
07-13 17:10:28	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcd94fe…
07-12 14:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4f2de0…
07-10 10:27:10	will bitcoin dip to 52k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc30ed4…
07-10 03:20:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xe5cc0f…
07-10 01:34:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0814a2…
07-06 22:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x38f60d…
07-06 06:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb7486c…
07-05 02:44:58	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb36d1e…
07-04 08:21:20	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6604aa…
07-04 07:50:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83bff4…
07-03 13:21:28	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x317691…
07-02 16:02:26	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5adc2a…
07-02 05:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc4dc83…
07-01 14:34:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0d40e8…
06-30 23:36:34	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x831a78…
06-30 14:31:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x04b3e5…
06-30 08:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xb4079b…
06-29 20:03:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf47c02…
06-22 06:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0bcc72…
06-21 17:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2e57c…
06-02 14:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb97052…
06-02 04:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfe715f…
06-01 06:25:41	Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39f120…
05-31 15:44:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x36119b…
05-30 19:55:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x26fadf…
05-30 04:44:14	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61ac05…
05-29 19:06:07	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x878c1c…
05-29 01:20:43	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x71dc5f…
05-28 11:12:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x33ab7e…
05-27 19:01:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ae3c0…
05-27 09:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd08fc1…
05-27 00:26:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x004fcb…
05-26 13:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2e2c84…
05-25 14:44:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ec4f6…
05-25 00:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5a7bb5…
05-24 14:29:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x41be7b…
05-23 22:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x27766f…
05-23 13:07:31	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe1c977…
05-21 04:45:23	Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x55c266…
05-19 12:32:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x24fbf9…
05-18 19:06:25	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5e5b0c…
05-18 10:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2f6a63…
05-17 10:42:58	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x383ebf…
05-17 07:25:21	Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1f8ddf…
05-16 00:49:15	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x054d5d…
05-15 09:51:08	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8a01e3…
05-15 09:22:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa0c70f…
05-13 19:12:07	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3fcf6…
05-13 09:48:18	Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e4934…
05-12 11:21:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x97fca3…
05-12 07:18:43	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6303e0…
05-12 04:34:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa3205b…
05-11 11:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x97b127…
05-11 02:13:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x542a26…
05-10 08:14:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x798c66…