Lone-Sigh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

Trades

552

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-10 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

32% 100% +$0

Sports

4% 75% $-52

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	5	$1.3K	902	902	+0	open	—	08-10 05:19
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	3	$722	384	384	+0	open	—	07-26 12:09
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	3	$690	461	351	+110	open	—	06-06 14:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$605	1,917	1,917	-0	open	—	06-12 11:18
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	2	$561	293	293	+0	open	—	05-24 20:46
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5	2	$550	296	296	+0	open	—	06-03 19:44
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	2	$416	217	217	+0	open	—	06-04 21:12
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5	2	$396	226	226	+0	open	—	06-04 17:39
fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	2	$375	202	202	+0	open	—	06-04 20:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	13	$322	529	519	+10	open	—	04-01 15:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$291	176	176	+0	open	—	03-30 20:17
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 5pt5	2	$285	294	0	+294	open	—	06-12 17:49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	5	$279	206	204	+2	open	—	04-25 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	11	$278	255	255	+0	open	—	03-30 16:01
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	2	$250	132	132	+0	open	—	05-19 20:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$235	269	0	+269	open	—	07-27 08:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$230	133	133	+0	open	—	07-25 06:34
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	3	$226	238	0	+238	open	—	06-07 16:23
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	2	$225	126	126	+0	open	—	05-24 16:53
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	2	$203	128	128	+0	open	—	07-24 06:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$202	273	273	+0	open	—	05-24 11:09
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5	1	$199	227	0	+227	open	—	06-06 17:56
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 20:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	21	$190	1,567	0	+1,567	open	—	03-31 11:52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$183	131	130	+2	open	—	04-27 19:43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	3	$160	256	220	+37	open	—	04-28 10:57
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	2	$157	82	82	+0	open	—	06-02 18:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$156	332	332	+0	open	—	06-06 07:02
will trumps meeting with netanyahu not air 536 717 855	3	$140	103	103	+0	open	—	02-11 16:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$125	214	214	+0	open	—	03-25 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:19:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	721	86¢	$620	0x04c71b…
08-04 08:20:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	81	66¢	$53	0x60fa49…
07-31 18:16:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	802	60¢	$479	0x6563ba…
07-30 05:10:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	125	20¢	$25	0xcda9fe…
07-29 18:48:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xd6f5cc…
07-29 18:04:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xeae326…
07-29 18:04:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	84	33¢	$28	0xc28e5b…
07-27 08:48:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	124	88¢	$109	0x775f70…
07-26 12:09:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	384	98¢	$379	0xf73e1c…
07-26 10:30:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	145	87¢	$126	0x42174f…
07-25 06:34:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	133	95¢	$127	0x7a2fd0…
07-24 06:48:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	133	77¢	$103	0x130805…
07-24 06:42:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	128	80¢	$103	0xbc7b3c…
07-23 16:05:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	264	92¢	$243	0xb85b03…
07-23 10:42:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0e915c…
07-23 09:06:07	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0xad3d15…
07-23 09:03:13	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x368083…
07-23 06:37:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0xfeaf92…
07-21 21:02:22	wta zidanse ibragim 2026 07 20	Alevtina Ibragimova	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xf95647…
07-21 19:37:16	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x60c0b4…
07-20 20:38:39	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x978ad8…
07-20 20:38:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$2	0x92985f…
07-20 16:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xf886e5…
07-20 06:45:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x8684e6…
07-19 17:35:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xc6ec79…
07-18 22:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x45ad63…
07-18 17:18:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf4b65d…
07-18 17:17:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	89	24¢	$21	0xab8b83…
07-18 15:49:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x039403…
07-13 16:36:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0xa42cce…
07-13 15:58:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x317c71…
07-13 11:37:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$7	0x7556da…
07-13 10:14:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x274be2…
07-12 21:32:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd3b6bd…
07-12 21:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x5e7aed…
07-12 19:20:22	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x75bc4e…
07-12 18:20:31	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$3	0x0276dd…
07-12 18:19:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x866820…
07-11 10:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6f0384…
07-11 10:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x33f6c6…
07-11 10:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x2be064…
07-11 10:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x5b1e6a…
07-11 10:36:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xc94d03…
07-11 10:36:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x89604a…
07-11 10:36:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3a621d…
06-29 19:07:20	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x7979c7…
06-29 18:03:10	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x75a226…
06-24 20:37:13	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x00d11c…
06-12 17:49:39	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0x92871e…
06-12 17:37:40	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x18c535…
06-12 11:18:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,887	15¢	$286	0xbb1b40…
06-12 11:13:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,887	16¢	$311	0x5fcac0…
06-07 16:23:52	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xde12d6…
06-07 16:23:51	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xa97342…
06-07 16:23:51	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0x42ab99…
06-06 17:56:13	United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	227	88¢	$199	0xfe7220…
06-06 14:40:49	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0xbd0bd4…
06-06 14:40:09	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	351	85¢	$298	0xac6d53…
06-06 14:14:04	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	351	84¢	$295	0x7fd0c6…
06-06 12:20:03	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xc2ca50…
06-06 11:42:33	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xe42acd…
06-06 07:02:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	332	22¢	$73	0x4e17cc…
06-04 21:12:31	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0x74b93b…
06-04 20:35:27	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	217	92¢	$199	0xe0f05f…
06-04 20:35:06	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xf1217c…
06-04 19:57:28	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	202	87¢	$175	0x74359a…
06-04 17:39:21	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	226	87¢	$197	0x59243e…
06-04 17:16:10	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	226	88¢	$199	0x87c58b…
06-04 12:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6af25b…
06-04 12:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	25¢	$33	0xd68556…
06-03 20:04:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x4e3aeb…
06-03 19:44:36	Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	296	96¢	$284	0xea8cab…
06-03 19:10:37	Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	296	90¢	$266	0x474daf…
06-02 21:29:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x9e800b…
06-02 19:20:01	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x15bd4f…
06-02 19:18:35	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x0a6163…
06-02 18:13:54	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x014189…
06-02 18:13:17	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x738c12…
06-02 18:02:12	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x622d98…
06-02 17:15:37	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	82	91¢	$75	0xeeb94d…
06-02 12:22:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xdce56c…
06-02 12:11:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x544466…
05-30 23:13:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x6673e8…
05-28 08:16:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	320	0¢	$1	0x9028a9…
05-26 21:19:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0xbebd56…
05-26 20:50:30	Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc46d36…
05-26 20:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x691134…
05-26 20:22:51	Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x540fc8…
05-26 19:58:49	Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3a34ff…
05-26 19:53:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xd92a22…
05-26 18:55:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x9f6a74…
05-26 09:46:37	Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	57¢	$32	0x1e9fb6…
05-25 22:00:54	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	67	54¢	$36	0x1358dd…
05-24 21:27:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0xadd274…
05-24 20:46:09	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	293	98¢	$288	0xdc97ca…
05-24 20:38:29	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	293	93¢	$273	0xf35334…
05-24 16:53:38	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	126	86¢	$108	0xe37bcd…
05-24 16:30:50	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	126	92¢	$116	0x15c827…
05-24 11:09:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	37¢	$101	0xa5ffc4…
05-24 08:24:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	37¢	$101	0xa4b43b…