Ideal-Stew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$365

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

472

Trades

1,278

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$200

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-12 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 36% -$737

Sports

20% 49% -$722

Other

17% 38% +$1,094

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-200	-$118	61¢	$-123	-$4	07-03 13:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-200	-$77	39¢	$-78	-$1	06-24 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	3	$889	860	860	+0	Yes	+$247	02-08 23:41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$752	5,761	2,823	+2,938	No	-$407	07-03 13:46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$600	2,282	0	+2,282	No	-$600	07-10 00:14
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	13	$593	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$77	02-09 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 22:00 UTC	2	$474	462	462	+0	Down	+$386	06-24 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 20:25 UTC	2	$355	314	314	+0	Down	+$267	06-25 20:30
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	3	$353	300	300	+0	No	+$133	06-18 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:45 UTC	3	$345	470	189	+281	Down	-$52	02-11 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:10 UTC	5	$298	275	275	+0	Up	+$130	07-16 22:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:45 UTC	2	$289	196	193	+3	Down	+$92	02-11 21:57
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	4	$280	190	190	+0	Patriots	+$40	01-25 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:25 UTC	4	$279	196	196	+0	Down	+$73	07-16 22:28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$275	784	784	+0	Yes	+$18	07-07 20:41
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	3	$272	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$68	01-25 20:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$262	862	862	+0	No	+$62	07-15 19:19
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	2	$255	455	455	+0	No	+$55	06-16 20:00
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$253	294	294	+0	Yes	+$53	06-16 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	3	$252	340	293	+46	Down	+$160	07-17 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC	6	$229	428	148	+280	Down	-$39	07-16 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:10 UTC	2	$228	215	215	+0	Down	+$140	06-24 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:35 UTC	3	$214	152	152	+0	Up	+$38	07-16 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:10 UTC	8	$212	166	166	+0	Down	+$62	06-24 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:30 UTC	4	$211	169	168	+1	Up	+$43	02-11 22:41
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	3	$209	162	162	+0	Yes	+$105	06-18 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:15 UTC	2	$208	158	156	+2	Down	+$34	02-11 19:20
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$207	222	222	+0	Seahawks	+$7	01-26 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$204	429	329	+100	Down	+$52	10-02 19:54
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	2	$203	490	490	+0	No	-$85	01-26 01:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$200	312	312	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:15 UTC	2	$200	385	0	+385	Down	-$200	02-11 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x37810d…
10-12 21:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb19282…
10-12 21:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x730e36…
10-12 21:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd63f97…
10-12 21:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xad4dfc…
10-12 21:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x98d813…
10-12 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xcfd011…
10-12 21:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	73	81¢	$59	0x60b6e5…
10-12 21:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6bbc70…
10-12 21:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb00b41…
10-12 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2ae41a…
10-12 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb79147…
10-12 20:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xdafe44…
10-12 20:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x32553d…
10-12 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8701c4…
10-12 20:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	77	72¢	$55	0x0d26c7…
10-12 20:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2bbe99…
10-12 20:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x544bc3…
10-12 20:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe2545b…
10-12 20:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3fcda5…
10-12 20:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5c24e1…
10-12 20:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0xec4c60…
10-12 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8d1d26…
10-12 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x5b933b…
10-12 20:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc17654…
10-12 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9fb813…
10-12 20:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9a8303…
10-12 20:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2d0563…
10-12 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	85	80¢	$68	0x5d545d…
10-12 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xe45638…
10-12 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xac015e…
10-12 20:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0x058432…
10-12 20:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0x7fc3c9…
10-12 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x10a0c0…
10-11 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x76bec2…
10-11 00:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3cbc78…
10-11 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc1ed95…
10-11 00:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8e448e…
10-11 00:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf3f735…
10-11 00:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0x608f99…
10-11 00:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x17b65a…
10-11 00:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x160094…
10-11 00:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	42	55¢	$23	0xf10c41…
10-11 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeabd2f…
10-11 00:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x49c94a…
10-11 00:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	37	44¢	$16	0xb1d559…
10-11 00:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xff7ff2…
10-11 00:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x0676a1…
10-11 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x662337…
10-11 00:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0x9d5c3f…
10-11 00:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0c7cd9…
10-11 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc76a6d…
10-11 00:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc2a05d…
10-11 00:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0xbedadd…
10-11 00:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4cb7c6…
10-11 00:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xe94ceb…
10-11 00:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0xe01305…
10-11 00:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfeef4b…
10-11 00:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	84	64¢	$54	0x5b36be…
10-11 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x172e19…
10-11 00:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x45ffdc…
10-11 00:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc52618…
10-11 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0x36ff43…
10-11 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb4e363…
10-11 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0xc78f93…
10-11 00:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x307cb8…
10-11 00:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1bd2df…
10-11 00:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x438f60…
10-11 00:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaf96cb…
10-09 23:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	64	61¢	$39	0x8cb0c4…
10-09 23:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x8fe984…
10-09 23:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3165f9…
10-09 23:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd9de62…
10-09 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd78e24…
10-09 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x061c78…
10-09 23:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf01194…
10-09 23:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1c6adb…
10-09 23:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbd8ec3…
10-09 20:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	382	7¢	$26	0x3b6a27…
10-09 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5d342f…
10-09 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc0ff3d…
10-09 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3b0cb8…
10-09 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1cb9f7…
10-09 20:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2cbd56…
10-09 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x615df9…
10-09 20:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xb58016…
10-09 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1759a3…
10-09 20:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	202	26¢	$52	0xe708fb…
10-09 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2ed728…
10-09 20:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5bb91b…
10-09 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	67	32¢	$21	0xdd2f53…
10-09 20:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0ae5f3…
10-09 19:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x30a416…
10-09 19:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	161	27¢	$44	0x8f4710…
10-09 19:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6454ec…
10-09 19:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x78af2e…
10-09 19:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4940f4…
10-09 19:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9a6dce…
10-09 19:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	85	37¢	$32	0x4fffa1…
10-09 19:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa6443f…