Warmhearted-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.59K

Unrealized P&L

+$366

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

142

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$147.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

$1.03K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-05 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

61% 68% +$2,579

Politics

19% 67% +$643

Sports

10% 53% -$2,426

Crypto

10% 59% +$3,789

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-1,000	-$500	68¢	$-675	-$175	06-11 20:06
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+472	-$190	74¢	$351	+$541	11-05 09:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$7	70¢	$7	$0	10-27 06:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	25	$22.6K	16,190	11,034	+5,156	Yes	+$769	07-29 07:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$17.0K	18,500	0	+18,500	Yes	+$1,462	10-28 17:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$9.6K	4,800	4,800	+0	Yes	+$5	03-01 07:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$7.4K	7,900	0	+7,900	Yes	+$482	11-02 08:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$6.4K	5,000	4,900	+100	Yes	+$35	10-25 20:28
lol tes we 2026 02 10	5	$5.1K	5,108	0	+5,108	Top Esports	+$42	02-09 10:47
cs2 fut 3dmax 2026 03 08 game2	6	$4.9K	4,883	0	+4,883	3DMAX	+$18	03-08 15:06
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1,470	04-30 23:26
cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	PARIVISION	+$4	02-14 12:56
will another team win pgl cluj napoca 2026	5	$3.0K	3,018	0	+3,018	No	+$3	02-20 18:21
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	5	$3.0K	3,005	0	+3,005	Invictus Gaming	+$3	02-15 07:56
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	02-25 05:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$2.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$290	07-02 23:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$210	11-02 18:16
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$2.6K	2,108	1,636	+472	open	—	11-05 09:16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	06-29 17:48
will uk strike iran by march 31	6	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$85	03-01 10:44
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Invictus Gaming	+$2	02-16 06:56
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	02-09 05:07
will tyloo win blast open rotterdam 2026	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$6	03-20 22:31
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	02-24 17:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$30	05-15 13:51
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$1.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$430	06-28 06:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$470	09-14 17:15
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 12c	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	+$1	03-16 09:40
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3	2	$1.3K	1,302	0	+1,302	Invictus Gaming	+$1	02-15 14:20
will natus vincere win pgl cluj napoca 2026	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$2	02-20 14:58
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$1.1K	1,200	132	+1,068	Sean Strickland	-$860	05-10 04:44
cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	11	$1.0K	1,000	500	+500	FUT Esports	+$150	06-06 15:31
nba mem mia 2026 02 21	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Heat	+$1	02-22 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 09:16:16	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xcb9e9f…
11-05 09:16:09	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xd4fb66…
11-05 09:15:46	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x6e71a5…
11-05 06:38:15	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	131	68¢	$89	0x88b573…
11-05 04:44:01	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	473	72¢	$341	0xecf057…
11-05 01:43:42	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Cavaliers	BUY	243	11¢	$27	0xeb90de…
11-05 01:43:27	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Cavaliers	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x7a145e…
11-05 01:43:22	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Cavaliers	BUY	244	11¢	$27	0x1ebe01…
11-05 01:43:10	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Cavaliers	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x9049cd…
11-02 18:16:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	3,000	93¢	$2,790	0x944da7…
11-02 08:50:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0xc68053…
10-28 19:22:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,900	92¢	$2,668	0xd45db4…
10-28 17:08:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	95¢	$2,382	0xe7dc69…
10-28 16:21:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,856	0x278c61…
10-27 06:33:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcd03d7…
10-26 17:12:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x93b2c8…
10-25 20:28:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	150	65¢	$98	0xec4d0a…
10-25 20:27:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	750	65¢	$488	0xf3b8c3…
10-25 20:25:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,000	65¢	$2,600	0xe6734d…
10-25 20:06:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0x34f76f…
10-25 03:26:00	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x0c8f46…
10-25 03:25:57	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x5f9477…
10-25 03:25:54	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x9f4435…
10-25 03:05:56	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x2c3ae5…
10-25 02:36:32	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	161	15¢	$24	0xb02763…
10-25 02:36:32	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0x9f4283…
10-25 02:36:29	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	202	15¢	$30	0xc3b5b6…
10-24 18:07:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xb424ef…
10-24 18:06:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0x0eac74…
10-24 18:06:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xaa7f80…
10-24 17:51:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x65403d…
10-24 17:50:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x57d190…
10-24 17:50:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x331610…
10-24 17:50:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcf453…
10-24 17:00:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0x7378b6…
10-22 08:44:20	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	685	85¢	$583	0x0d8658…
10-22 08:06:51	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8e24e2…
10-21 18:58:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,900	87¢	$4,263	0xf245d9…
10-21 18:52:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xc7ff2c…
10-21 18:36:03	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	790	85¢	$672	0x19dad0…
09-25 11:57:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	494	34¢	$168	0xff5346…
09-25 11:10:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0x0f3b5c…
09-25 08:49:59	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	34¢	$11	0xbcdbfb…
09-14 17:15:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x692c3e…
09-06 18:25:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,059	5¢	$103	0xc872f8…
09-06 17:08:31	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xb44e6a…
09-06 16:38:42	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb25ba6…
09-06 14:25:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xb0ea7e…
09-06 14:05:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x411d9a…
09-06 12:58:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x7c6691…
09-06 12:40:10	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xbc7875…
09-06 12:24:04	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x7ef32d…
09-06 12:11:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xd4574a…
09-06 11:29:48	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x5ca881…
09-06 11:25:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	5¢	$10	0xc3dc81…
09-06 11:08:55	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x2d7d02…
09-06 11:08:45	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x8a1dfd…
09-04 13:12:07	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xd549e4…
09-02 08:04:55	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	224	50¢	$112	0x2ebdd2…
09-02 08:04:40	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	376	50¢	$188	0x221cdc…
08-31 18:16:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	41¢	$410	0x9d5dc2…
08-30 02:21:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	52¢	$1,040	0x4ed702…
08-10 10:49:46	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x889cad…
08-08 13:53:36	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	781	5¢	$39	0x6e0513…
08-08 11:40:13	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc62e34…
08-08 01:36:15	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe3f520…
08-07 22:02:58	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb5c419…
08-07 22:02:51	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xee9416…
07-29 07:45:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,153	79¢	$1,710	0x686458…
07-29 07:40:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	203	79¢	$161	0xb488b8…
07-29 07:31:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x5d09b2…
07-29 07:31:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0xa6ad7b…
07-29 07:31:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	79¢	$19	0xb96b04…
07-29 07:29:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	79¢	$28	0x7869c2…
07-29 07:29:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x681992…
07-29 07:21:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,444	79¢	$3,520	0x2a992b…
07-22 10:12:25	cs2 eye faze 2026 07 22	EYEBALLERS	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x605f30…
07-22 09:47:39	cs2 eye faze 2026 07 22	EYEBALLERS	BUY	800	24¢	$192	0xb19a40…
07-21 15:23:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,934	88¢	$3,458	0xe81131…
07-21 15:23:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x79eaf5…
07-21 15:22:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0xd4698f…
07-21 15:22:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xbd17e4…
07-21 15:22:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x1d49d0…
07-21 14:49:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	88¢	$3,520	0x9206e3…
07-17 12:42:15	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17	TYLOO	SELL	255	81¢	$206	0x5e65bb…
07-17 11:10:36	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17	TYLOO	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0x0c775b…
07-17 10:18:09	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17	TYLOO	BUY	141	63¢	$89	0xeb48ac…
07-17 10:18:09	val tyloo fpx 2026 07 17	TYLOO	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x02fba8…
07-17 08:53:15	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0x206ce1…
07-16 13:02:13	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x91c633…
07-16 10:45:47	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	SELL	577	55¢	$317	0x010ec2…
07-16 10:44:26	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	SELL	223	55¢	$123	0x30abe1…
07-16 10:30:10	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaa4593…
07-16 10:30:10	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9db1b…
07-16 10:30:10	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	BUY	123	55¢	$67	0x74f771…
07-16 10:30:08	lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	AG.AL	BUY	663	55¢	$365	0xb539ad…
07-14 09:52:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0xde140e…
07-13 04:16:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x4a005a…
07-13 00:05:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	77¢	$2,310	0x021f2f…
07-10 16:41:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	81¢	$2,430	0xc6b341…