Leading-Cowbell-Lieu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

4,682

Trades

6,768

lifetime

Volume

$27.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-13 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 70% -$273

Sports

1% 0% -$16

Other

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$198	1,613	1,613	+0	No	-$2	07-04 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:15 UTC	2	$62	37	36	+0	Down	+$2	04-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	4	$45	52	0	+52	Up	-$6	04-22 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC	2	$43	53	0	+53	Down	-$37	04-24 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$43	69	18	+50	Up	-$23	05-19 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 04:10 UTC	1	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	06-29 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:35 UTC	1	$37	38	0	+38	Down	+$2	06-29 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$35	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	05-18 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 08:30 UTC	16	$34	70	0	+70	Down	-$24	06-14 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 19:45 UTC	6	$32	21	21	+0	Up	-$2	04-03 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 15:00 UTC	11	$31	55	0	+55	Up	-$1	06-13 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC	12	$31	55	0	+55	Up	+$9	06-14 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 00:45 UTC	12	$30	60	0	+60	Up	-$6	06-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	05-21 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:20 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	06-28 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:30 UTC	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	-$30	06-29 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$28	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-22 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 05:45 UTC	13	$28	55	0	+55	Down	+$2	06-14 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 17:45 UTC	9	$28	45	0	+45	Down	-$3	06-13 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:40 UTC	4	$27	30	29	+1	Up	+$3	04-12 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 18:00 UTC	9	$26	48	0	+48	Up	-$2	06-23 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	10	$26	50	0	+50	Down	-$1	06-13 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 01:45 UTC	11	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$5	06-14 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:10 UTC	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	06-28 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 22:30 UTC	11	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	06-13 22:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC	10	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	06-14 00:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC	8	$23	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	06-13 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC	2	$23	24	0	+24	Down	+$1	04-23 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC	4	$22	33	12	+21	Up	+$4	04-22 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 23:45 UTC	10	$22	45	0	+45	Down	-$2	06-13 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 16:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8f38a3…
09-13 14:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x18ea19…
09-13 14:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x332496…
09-13 08:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb84e18…
09-12 22:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7c666f…
09-12 09:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb02192…
09-12 09:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9147cb…
09-12 01:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x17bd90…
09-11 22:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa61336…
09-11 19:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7ea846…
09-11 19:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8e38b1…
09-11 18:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf1d256…
09-11 17:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6f7b24…
09-11 16:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x658de1…
09-11 15:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x414d34…
09-11 15:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcf2f28…
09-11 15:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5925ce…
09-11 14:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xaf7646…
09-11 14:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeba8d7…
09-11 12:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x370604…
09-11 09:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x826554…
09-11 08:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbd3708…
09-11 00:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xefb125…
09-10 23:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa20c1a…
09-10 23:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4941b8…
09-10 20:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x33c4c5…
09-10 16:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf1f965…
09-10 15:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x6f4398…
09-10 15:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x57644c…
09-10 14:38:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa9674c…
09-10 14:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb19831…
09-10 13:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x258b5b…
09-10 13:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2d2c7d…
09-10 13:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x550464…
09-10 12:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4e0a4b…
09-10 12:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf0259d…
09-10 11:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c065c…
09-10 11:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xed7f0d…
09-10 10:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb6b300…
09-10 09:09:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x59c817…
09-10 08:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa06a61…
09-10 07:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc644e8…
09-10 04:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xf77d02…
09-10 04:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x1b51e8…
09-10 02:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3ad172…
09-10 02:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe5ad5e…
09-10 01:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf71ed8…
09-10 00:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4809ea…
09-10 00:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x63f23e…
09-09 22:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc5d1fb…
09-09 22:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x22da91…
09-09 21:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xea7116…
09-09 19:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe53d87…
09-09 17:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf00a89…
09-09 16:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa4539b…
09-09 16:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x21e811…
09-09 15:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaf87f2…
09-09 15:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa630fb…
09-09 14:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe41e37…
09-09 14:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe722ec…
09-09 14:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc8a79f…
09-09 14:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x07f508…
09-09 13:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8f2361…
09-09 13:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a89d3…
09-09 11:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x99bfff…
09-09 10:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x101928…
09-09 08:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x963587…
09-09 08:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfbe18d…
09-09 07:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7083c9…
09-09 04:48:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb3286a…
09-09 01:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x05acbc…
09-09 01:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca5e8b…
09-08 21:04:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa3a522…
09-08 19:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9e9b64…
09-08 19:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa4fdfe…
09-08 16:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc1fbfe…
09-08 16:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa22e33…
09-08 15:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbb4de3…
09-08 15:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x504976…
09-08 15:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xe2dcdb…
09-08 15:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x785037…
09-08 14:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa57a65…
09-08 09:19:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x76e6ff…
09-08 08:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdd1470…
09-08 05:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf9695a…
09-08 05:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9aa0ab…
09-08 03:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4f70b4…
09-08 03:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x37d5c3…
09-07 16:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8e2cfb…
09-07 16:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc2aec…
09-07 15:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xb5fb26…
09-07 15:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc11b68…
09-07 14:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xedfa4d…
09-07 14:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x9005a7…
09-07 14:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4663f4…
09-07 14:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x598dc1…
09-07 14:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x6244a5…
09-07 14:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x43688f…
09-07 03:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x160a8e…
09-07 03:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe60e8b…