Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
111
Trades
243
lifetime
Volume
$1.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1
6 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-11 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
99% 58% -$35
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +19 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 09-18 11:34
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-22 10:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-18 13:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 09-27 14:34
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 10-11 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 09-24 16:29