Realized P&L
-$5.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.94K
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
197
Trades
2,808
lifetime
Volume
$322.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$33.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 10-27 03:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
60% 53% +$450
Other
38% 26% -$6,403
Crypto
1% 100% +$80
Sports
1% 100% +$251
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,139 $10,516 68¢ $11.7K +$1,224 10-16 15:33
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10,068 -$9,671 98¢ $-9837 -$166 10-16 06:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $4,037 42¢ $4.2K +$213 10-27 04:18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5,116 $3,911 83¢ $4.2K +$335 10-26 22:59
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,942 $1,709 90¢ $1.8K +$48 10-15 15:20
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,236 $752 22¢ $1.1K +$374 09-22 08:09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +2,000 $340 4¢ $90 -$250 10-10 13:42
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +62 $51 89¢ $55 +$4 10-20 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4 $3 69¢ $3 $0 10-10 06:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$22 92¢ $0 +$22 10-19 20:28
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 -$95 82¢ $0 +$95 10-03 13:38
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +0 -$34 99¢ $0 +$34 10-01 21:01
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +0 -$2,052 92¢ $0 +$2,052 07-07 13:27
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 Yes +0 $47 1¢ $0 -$47 10-01 23:05