Productive-Oil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

855

Trades

3,418

lifetime

Volume

$329.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$725

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

78% 90% +$3,895

Tech

17% 88% +$7,269

Sports

4% 93% +$180

Politics

1% 60% -$29

Crypto

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No		+478	$452	94¢	$448	-$4	11-07 13:27
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No		+300	$254	92¢	$278	+$24	10-31 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	28	$6.3K	7,934	948	+6,986	Yes	+$935	02-09 03:51
will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	9	$5.6K	5,581	0	+5,581	Yes	+$15	01-16 17:08
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 15 265	13	$5.2K	5,172	9	+5,163	No	+$15	03-16 06:25
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 31 135	7	$5.1K	4,359	796	+3,563	No	+$18	04-01 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 1?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$10	07-01 05:38
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	10	$4.9K	5,097	200	+4,897	Yes	+$145	03-10 15:59
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	13	$4.8K	4,459	375	+4,084	Yes	+$31	04-24 19:08
will anna kalinskaya win the 2026 womens australian open	2	$4.7K	4,655	0	+4,655	No	+$5	01-24 11:10
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	45	$4.4K	3,871	1,732	+2,139	Yes	-$241	01-09 17:06
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	38	$4.1K	4,710	2,309	+2,401	No	+$2,633	06-12 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	2	$4.0K	4,023	100	+3,923	No	+$4	08-28 02:32
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	40	$3.8K	2,546	1,473	+1,073	No	+$98	06-19 09:47
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 31 994	7	$3.5K	3,503	0	+3,503	No	+$10	04-01 04:30
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	29	$3.5K	3,517	0	+3,517	No	+$29	10-30 16:00
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	3	$3.3K	3,342	0	+3,342	No	+$27	06-14 12:43
will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	1	$3.2K	3,168	0	+3,168	No	+$16	04-09 23:55
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	15	$3.1K	2,393	1,339	+1,054	No	+$186	10-02 13:28
will amanda anisimova win the 2026 womens australian open	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$3	01-28 05:02
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	17	$3.0K	3,525	832	+2,694	Yes	-$88	01-30 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15?	30	$2.9K	2,050	1,000	+1,050	No	+$95	06-15 08:03
will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	2	$2.9K	2,879	0	+2,879	No	+$20	04-09 23:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?	24	$2.6K	1,804	1,804	+0	Yes	-$7	05-22 10:00
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$3	01-08 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?	6	$2.4K	2,424	0	+2,424	No	+$56	06-15 03:43
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	5	$2.3K	2,414	0	+2,414	No	+$70	05-16 13:35
will elina svitolina win the 2026 womens australian open	6	$2.3K	2,250	62	+2,188	No	+$5	01-29 10:00
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	4	$2.2K	2,246	0	+2,246	No	+$14	04-04 10:58
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 20	3	$2.2K	2,289	0	+2,289	Yes	+$89	03-19 04:29
will the boston celtics finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	4	$2.2K	2,100	100	+2,000	No	+$40	04-01 02:43
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$44	06-26 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:25:43	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xd9fdce…
11-14 14:22:59	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8962f0…
11-13 08:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xeee273…
11-13 07:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x813874…
11-13 07:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x2f879b…
11-13 06:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xabfa77…
11-13 06:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4db8ed…
11-13 06:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x808a30…
11-13 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x463ed5…
11-13 05:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe0d1d5…
11-13 05:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x25e074…
11-13 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xb9bdc7…
11-13 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4292dd…
11-13 05:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xcd8e9f…
11-13 05:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xd66474…
11-13 05:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x32377b…
11-13 05:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x44fa4a…
11-13 05:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x156c37…
11-13 05:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x05960d…
11-13 05:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x7d822f…
11-13 05:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x7a4509…
11-13 05:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9031fe…
11-13 05:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xfe7cc0…
11-13 05:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	No	SELL	44	90¢	$39	0xf4d025…
11-13 05:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x77581d…
11-13 05:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1a43ae…
11-13 04:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4ed680…
11-13 04:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x4f02cd…
11-13 03:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x11e894…
11-13 03:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5ba4ce…
11-07 13:28:54	Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xac6f67…
11-07 13:27:31	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	295	95¢	$280	0x2d5670…
11-07 12:25:13	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	88	77¢	$68	0x907556…
11-07 12:18:54	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8eb0e6…
11-07 11:38:42	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	212	77¢	$163	0x3d9363…
11-06 23:22:42	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	Yes	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0x00fe08…
11-06 23:22:21	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	Yes	BUY	175	35¢	$62	0xc17425…
11-06 23:21:03	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	135	88¢	$119	0x0b9d85…
11-06 23:20:07	Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	98	75¢	$73	0x9cadc2…
11-06 14:47:58	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xbd5a69…
11-06 14:46:39	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xdba904…
11-06 14:43:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xb42596…
11-06 04:47:27	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd46c27…
11-05 23:56:13	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x356232…
11-05 17:25:39	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0xbf1ea4…
11-05 17:22:10	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x80d5a6…
11-05 17:01:49	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xad6357…
11-05 16:07:03	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x3c5274…
11-05 16:03:31	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	494	31¢	$153	0xb10577…
11-05 16:01:25	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x7df6c5…
11-05 15:58:16	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xcfd2a5…
11-05 15:23:07	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	493	30¢	$148	0xa36d8f…
11-05 15:19:54	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x6e7987…
11-05 15:04:36	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x836fe9…
11-05 12:09:25	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe3f31e…
11-05 08:45:21	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0x8c8e00…
11-05 08:44:19	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x92d034…
11-05 07:59:25	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	55	53¢	$29	0x74663e…
11-05 07:48:49	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	52	47¢	$24	0x0c748b…
11-05 07:47:54	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	782	44¢	$345	0x32d8be…
11-05 02:28:36	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	41	59¢	$24	0x3c1b9d…
11-05 02:27:52	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8af724…
11-05 00:43:57	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	429	54¢	$231	0xdb15cd…
11-04 16:20:34	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	140	91¢	$127	0x09fe21…
11-04 16:20:24	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc29d66…
11-04 15:16:40	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2edcb6…
11-04 15:15:46	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa9542b…
11-04 12:46:42	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	529	47¢	$250	0x0e2633…
11-04 11:40:13	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc13ec4…
11-04 11:40:13	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x74b051…
11-04 07:14:33	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x1ee234…
11-04 07:12:31	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	81	69¢	$56	0x981558…
11-04 06:50:39	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	82	69¢	$57	0x6a6a59…
11-04 04:40:12	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xc80885…
11-04 04:40:03	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	107	70¢	$75	0xe53d90…
11-04 04:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 4?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xdc2f20…
11-04 03:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xaf223e…
11-04 03:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x29a8ae…
11-04 03:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x045c01…
11-04 03:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xd1bf6c…
11-04 03:25:28	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9d3469…
11-04 03:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xb542eb…
11-04 03:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x112e8a…
11-04 03:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	SELL	51	87¢	$44	0xb90b73…
11-04 02:54:40	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	252	83¢	$210	0xc8c107…
11-04 02:08:46	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x869ba1…
11-04 02:08:45	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7e8818…
11-04 02:01:30	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	296	63¢	$187	0x7699d5…
11-04 01:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb67360…
11-03 23:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x665778…
11-03 23:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfc5620…
11-03 23:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbfdc7e…
11-03 23:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x22880d…
11-03 23:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xb36a1b…
11-03 23:04:00	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	399	77¢	$308	0x99647e…
11-03 16:12:46	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xb7ef96…
11-03 16:11:21	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x970124…
11-03 15:57:00	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbcbd3f…
11-03 15:54:12	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x4c1fec…
11-03 15:53:28	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0a8662…