Loathsome-Pill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-10 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

36% — —

Politics

21% 50% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes		-89	$-3	3¢	$-3	+$0	06-10 21:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on february 25 2026	2	$441	231	231	+0	open	—	02-25 20:09
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	4	$185	132	132	+0	open	—	02-25 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$152	165	165	+0	open	—	05-25 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$148	148	148	+0	open	—	05-25 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$142	209	209	+0	open	—	05-26 10:01
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	2	$120	78	78	+0	open	—	03-04 15:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$86	73	73	+0	open	—	01-25 19:49
bitcoin up or down january 25 3pm et	5	$72	89	41	+48	open	—	01-25 20:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$70	87	87	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	05-26 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$63	81	81	+0	open	—	05-26 20:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$61	67	67	+0	open	—	05-28 07:01
cs2 fut 3dmax 2026 01 28	4	$60	70	70	+0	open	—	01-28 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$56	73	73	+0	open	—	05-29 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$56	44	44	+0	open	—	05-25 14:03
cs2 pain pssnua 2026 03 03	4	$54	66	66	+0	open	—	03-03 18:50
bitcoin up or down january 25 4pm et	2	$53	49	49	+0	open	—	01-25 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$52	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 20:37
cs2 pssnua g2 2026 01 28	1	$52	0	64	-64	open	—	01-28 21:24
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	03-01 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$51	114	114	+0	open	—	05-26 20:43
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	5	$48	90	90	+0	open	—	05-24 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$33	37	37	+0	open	—	05-29 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	05-24 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	05-26 09:55
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	03-04 18:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$28	77	77	+0	Yes	$-3	03-28 19:04
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	01-19 09:28
spx up or down on march 2 2026	3	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	03-02 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 21:57:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	89	4¢	$3	0x25487b…
05-30 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb3d474…
05-30 07:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xe148ad…
05-30 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	74	14¢	$11	0xe64a26…
05-30 07:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7eddad…
05-30 06:28:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x8c8903…
05-30 06:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd57d18…
05-29 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x414e11…
05-29 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x2c52ab…
05-29 16:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xec0378…
05-29 16:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xce9d3c…
05-29 16:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x161f1b…
05-29 16:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0x192d5b…
05-29 16:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x0a2cb8…
05-29 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x4ba208…
05-29 16:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3c14c1…
05-28 07:01:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	16¢	$11	0xaa1c79…
05-26 20:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0xcf91cf…
05-26 20:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd44f46…
05-26 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xb644db…
05-26 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7c375b…
05-26 20:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x252261…
05-26 20:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcdc43b…
05-26 20:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	69¢	$11	0xf79026…
05-26 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x93a0a4…
05-26 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	114	10¢	$11	0x8630fa…
05-26 20:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6c85e7…
05-26 20:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x34ecd9…
05-26 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	82	27¢	$22	0x147db7…
05-26 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0x645fb4…
05-26 20:36:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe077e0…
05-26 10:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	209	44¢	$92	0x06bbc8…
05-26 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0xa5ad9e…
05-26 09:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0xfc4c28…
05-26 09:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xb1983e…
05-26 09:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbcad0a…
05-25 20:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5772cf…
05-25 20:56:58	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc2b33f…
05-25 20:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	91	50¢	$45	0x76b6fc…
05-25 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x579fb7…
05-25 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	57	75¢	$42	0xa08d80…
05-25 20:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xea8e86…
05-25 14:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	105	58¢	$61	0xbd80dd…
05-25 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	105	22¢	$23	0x7677ef…
05-25 14:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x2548ec…
05-25 14:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xa218da…
05-25 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x471604…
05-25 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd3c5fa…
05-25 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x8d2d81…
05-25 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x713d39…
05-25 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x7072d1…
05-25 13:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe29d2d…
05-24 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x34a2ae…
05-24 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2ec90a…
05-24 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x7bd78c…
05-24 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x3d3549…
05-24 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1f7e30…
05-24 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07277b…
05-24 13:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x2f868b…
05-24 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x49244d…
05-24 13:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c4a12…
05-24 12:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08a1eb…
05-24 07:51:59	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x06fc1a…
05-23 22:44:05	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x05a78b…
05-23 22:43:34	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x6335e6…
05-23 19:34:08	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x49803c…
05-23 19:32:45	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9f402f…
04-12 18:04:31	cs2 eye unity 2026 04 12	EYEBALLERS	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x3a96f0…
04-12 17:59:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8c6fb6…
04-12 17:56:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x015e94…
04-02 08:42:37	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x3d19a3…
03-29 12:47:40	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x34044f…
03-29 07:16:20	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x2ed034…
03-28 20:04:04	cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28	Natus Vincere	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3fc8fb…
03-28 19:05:28	cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x370337…
03-28 19:04:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x3af86f…
03-19 18:17:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xb01fdd…
03-19 18:16:41	cs2 fav esc1 2026 03 19	Favbet	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd35636…
03-19 14:45:39	cs2 fav esc1 2026 03 19	Favbet	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ad7a0…
03-19 14:43:43	btc updown 5m 1773931200	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0dc71e…
03-19 14:41:47	btc updown 5m 1773931200	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0cc629…
03-19 14:41:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x816d65…
03-16 14:06:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x589083…
03-16 14:05:15	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x5f2c99…
03-06 22:19:23	cs2 furia b8 2026 03 06	FURIA	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x092455…
03-06 19:41:35	cs2 aur1 lgc 2026 03 06	Aurora Gaming	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5fdd5d…
03-06 13:15:43	cs2 aur1 lgc 2026 03 06	Aurora Gaming	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x921f0d…
03-06 13:14:49	cs2 navi mnte 2026 03 06	Natus Vincere	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb830fc…
03-06 11:42:33	cs2 navi mnte 2026 03 06	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x02cf65…
03-06 11:41:31	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x25f060…
03-05 15:57:51	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x57d171…
03-05 15:57:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xf32b5a…
03-05 15:57:39	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x932c0f…
03-05 15:57:33	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x24b96f…
03-05 15:57:29	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x7d1041…
03-05 15:57:25	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xcc08d1…
03-05 15:57:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$4	0x00b679…
03-05 15:57:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x26cdd9…
03-05 15:57:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xfa90e9…
03-05 15:57:05	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xa859fa…