Short-Term-Corps — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

177

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-14 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$7

Other

45% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	No		+28	$28	100¢	$28	$0	11-14 14:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 9-15?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	11-13 05:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	3	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	2	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-20 05:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-23 07:09
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	1	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$0	10-26 21:32
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	07-04 12:03
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-29 10:46
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	1	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$0	10-04 16:18
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	08-11 22:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 12?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	11-12 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	07-07 23:36
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-22 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	10-13 18:10
ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	1	$47	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	07-20 06:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	09-24 09:41
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	07-22 18:11
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	3	$47	33	14	+19	No	+$0	04-15 16:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	10-29 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-21 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	04-25 22:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-13 10:40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	06-23 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$0	10-06 05:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-19 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-12 02:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-11 05:23
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	06-01 19:12
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	11-05 23:14
will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-05 17:10
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	07-16 09:03
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-22 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:21:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x32a9b3…
11-13 05:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x126cc0…
11-12 15:08:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x14616c…
11-05 23:14:27	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe0fceb…
11-05 11:41:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcb9e97…
10-29 16:09:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0xa145af…
10-29 00:30:38	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff79ce…
10-27 10:33:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfd4792…
10-26 21:32:44	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0x9bf574…
10-23 10:13:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83ee77…
10-23 07:09:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xfdcc5a…
10-15 18:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb55dd8…
10-15 10:03:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbb0e69…
10-13 18:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x02eb4c…
10-06 05:24:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x7b0d70…
10-05 20:08:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2394aa…
10-04 16:18:02	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$53	0x941622…
09-30 16:57:32	will ethereum reach 2900 in september 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7bafb8…
09-29 10:46:32	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x45accd…
09-27 23:40:51	will ethereum dip to 2600 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x446f9f…
09-24 09:41:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x916538…
09-22 00:52:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2cada7…
09-20 14:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xba6893…
09-19 14:18:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x331654…
09-06 09:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6fc976…
09-03 21:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x504efd…
09-03 06:06:30	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe7814c…
08-29 18:01:58	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2dcf69…
08-29 01:26:57	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9d4b8a…
08-26 11:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf89458…
08-26 02:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb59224…
08-21 18:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb43517…
08-20 15:11:07	bitcoin above 66k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x256b37…
08-15 10:39:39	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x18d889…
08-13 10:40:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5aeb57…
08-12 17:07:52	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c49e2…
08-11 22:46:55	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x2476a2…
08-08 05:42:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4cf329…
08-05 17:10:26	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9b9151…
08-02 19:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x99d318…
07-31 23:06:54	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x22c424…
07-31 14:27:50	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5a8bfb…
07-30 13:36:51	Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x329331…
07-29 02:42:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x47a3fe…
07-25 00:55:39	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5469ff…
07-23 08:45:21	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x76585b…
07-22 18:11:42	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xce1add…
07-20 06:51:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0x8cb9c1…
07-17 16:26:39	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3227a2…
07-16 09:03:14	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x49e4c3…
07-15 12:19:47	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34e5ea…
07-13 11:36:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2fff91…
07-12 18:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcedc34…
07-12 07:03:13	ethereum above 1900 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x842e54…
07-12 02:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x1e49b9…
07-11 15:02:17	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0a7bcb…
07-08 19:01:56	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe5c8b9…
07-08 09:43:23	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1e600b…
07-07 23:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb133a6…
07-07 18:26:46	bitcoin above 70k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x61f194…
07-05 16:03:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x585635…
07-04 12:03:22	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5f8773…
07-03 21:45:56	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2fe3d0…
07-03 18:48:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd86987…
07-03 06:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb570ca…
07-02 07:17:10	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd6f395…
07-02 04:09:14	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8c405f…
07-01 20:34:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc73bba…
07-01 01:37:31	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x508702…
06-25 08:19:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6a009a…
06-23 21:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf533fe…
06-23 08:03:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x139fa5…
06-22 23:08:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9fc109…
06-22 02:56:13	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc921cc…
06-03 03:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc29c69…
06-02 20:49:04	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0c1410…
06-02 03:27:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x26a5f4…
06-01 19:12:32	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x07dd0d…
06-01 01:39:42	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x398b55…
05-31 15:46:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca4928…
05-30 23:45:51	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x872866…
05-30 17:15:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xb5ae9b…
05-30 06:26:19	Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3eef4e…
05-29 22:57:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x85d03f…
05-29 01:36:20	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x904ca9…
05-28 17:40:27	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3e286f…
05-28 09:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x160708…
05-28 02:29:48	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe5c417…
05-28 00:34:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x670b1d…
05-27 07:58:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa5ee56…
05-27 00:35:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd02815…
05-26 09:28:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9df8cd…
05-26 01:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2e1ce8…
05-25 19:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x6c5a27…
05-25 00:30:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf3f080…
05-24 15:16:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x946e67…
05-24 12:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9ccc3c…
05-23 23:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ab160…
05-23 16:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x45d3b0…
05-22 19:58:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2d8e8a…