Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

1,064

Trades

5,797

lifetime

Volume

$51.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-17 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

86% 82% +$89

Politics

8% 74% -$12

Tech

5% 73% +$2

Pop-Culture

1% 92% +$2

Sports

0% 75% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	48	$546	238	322	-84	No	+$0	04-05 20:05
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	37	$478	154	343	-189	No	-$5	04-29 10:29
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 140 164	33	$391	116	282	-166	No	-$1	04-10 20:39
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 0 39	39	$357	156	212	-56	No	$0	04-07 06:06
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	36	$333	140	203	-63	No	+$0	02-14 06:51
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	29	$314	84	235	-151	No	$0	02-14 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	31	$294	154	147	+7	No	+$2	05-10 01:05
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	30	$284	126	168	-42	No	$0	02-15 00:38
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	33	$283	120	174	-55	No	+$0	02-02 20:04
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	26	$283	91	196	-105	No	+$0	03-13 03:27
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	25	$273	84	196	-112	No	-$2	04-18 04:18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	30	$273	140	140	+0	No	+$1	06-03 15:32
will iran strike bahrain in march	23	$262	84	182	-98	Yes	-$1	03-04 01:45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	31	$252	133	126	+7	No	+$1	05-09 04:55
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	28	$246	119	133	-14	Yes	+$1	02-24 11:20
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	29	$246	123	133	-10	Yes	+$11	02-05 16:51
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 43m and 47m	22	$243	68	179	-111	No	-$1	02-16 10:57
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	28	$242	119	126	-7	No	+$1	04-10 16:18
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	22	$241	107	145	-38	Yes	$0	04-10 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	25	$235	119	119	+0	No	+$1	05-10 05:10
will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	18	$231	51	184	-133	No	-$1	04-03 15:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	23	$229	89	147	-58	No	-$1	04-28 05:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	26	$221	126	98	+28	No	+$1	06-01 16:19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	22	$219	112	112	+0	No	+$1	06-09 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	23	$218	112	112	+0	No	+$1	05-01 09:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	25	$218	112	112	+0	No	+$1	05-02 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	24	$214	93	126	-33	No	+$1	04-25 02:25
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1 789	25	$213	69	147	-78	No	+$0	02-25 08:28
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	24	$210	79	133	-54	No	+$0	04-16 02:40
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	27	$209	75	145	-70	No	-$1	04-09 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 05:37:16	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x54a368…
07-15 18:30:38	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x821435…
07-15 17:24:28	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xb7df6f…
07-15 04:42:04	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x647133…
07-15 01:36:47	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfd8cd4…
07-13 20:49:22	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x2baa7a…
07-13 16:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc5bfcd…
07-13 15:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8e74b7…
07-13 05:03:14	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x2b31db…
07-13 04:52:16	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeaffda…
07-13 04:52:16	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8f7a33…
07-13 04:52:16	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x5ad7c8…
07-13 04:12:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x27e52e…
06-15 23:24:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x03ebcf…
06-13 15:05:18	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xcdaa33…
06-13 13:57:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe30b5c…
06-13 09:13:54	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x23bd56…
06-13 08:59:30	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ab6af…
06-13 07:54:57	Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3eeb40…
06-13 05:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x4df9c7…
06-12 19:40:21	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9e0a8f…
06-12 18:29:06	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x317345…
06-12 18:25:22	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04bc2b…
06-12 13:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x19c0af…
06-12 10:13:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe1f1ff…
06-12 08:06:06	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe55ad0…
06-12 07:54:30	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc1fb09…
06-12 05:06:57	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xfea411…
06-12 04:48:13	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xad6d7e…
06-12 03:03:48	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xfe6b20…
06-11 18:54:01	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x4ec4af…
06-11 18:15:36	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeeb44e…
06-11 16:17:45	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd5cec3…
06-11 12:38:19	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x0a260d…
06-11 09:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x84915f…
06-11 03:52:00	Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x2bf65a…
06-11 02:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9eed93…
06-11 02:02:36	Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa63567…
06-11 01:53:13	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb22ff3…
06-10 22:24:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x42e412…
06-10 22:23:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x15c99c…
06-10 20:51:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x39265c…
06-10 15:50:31	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 1pt0t	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c624d…
06-10 15:46:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb9c4f0…
06-10 15:19:54	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f9032…
06-10 14:54:43	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf1eac2…
06-10 14:53:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5df91c…
06-10 14:05:12	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x928402…
06-10 13:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x36fb16…
06-10 13:45:12	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0b8961…
06-10 13:10:36	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2efcd4…
06-10 12:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x710045…
06-10 12:31:30	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8bfe61…
06-10 09:57:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfdfba9…
06-10 09:54:24	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf8ae7b…
06-10 09:52:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8c1de6…
06-10 09:51:13	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x904561…
06-10 08:22:42	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x5d28f0…
06-10 07:17:12	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcac619…
06-10 07:11:21	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x042959…
06-10 07:11:12	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d84a2…
06-10 07:11:09	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x454478…
06-10 07:11:07	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2994…
06-10 07:11:01	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x949e6a…
06-10 05:53:52	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9f162…
06-10 05:53:00	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14bf79…
06-10 05:21:51	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2ff25d…
06-10 04:58:09	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x1de5c8…
06-10 03:55:19	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5fc45b…
06-10 03:27:15	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xc28191…
06-10 03:20:06	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb34bce…
06-10 03:16:46	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x08c833…
06-10 02:54:36	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x644ae4…
06-10 02:53:37	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x138004…
06-10 00:53:22	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x0ff618…
06-09 21:24:55	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x9cd085…
06-09 21:09:03	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x13c9c5…
06-09 19:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xe93af2…
06-09 18:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x841916…
06-09 15:53:42	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcf4537…
06-09 15:46:21	will hasan piker be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212481	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe3bd05…
06-09 15:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x093645…
06-09 15:42:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf9f95c…
06-09 15:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x56b9a3…
06-09 15:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6ccb59…
06-09 15:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4ddda4…
06-09 15:07:33	will hasan piker be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212481	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x42fbac…
06-09 15:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x17489c…
06-09 14:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc4b221…
06-09 14:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd7ece0…
06-09 14:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf5b82a…
06-09 13:01:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x79a49b…
06-09 12:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8cd330…
06-09 12:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0882d5…
06-09 09:22:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x732e4a…
06-09 08:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc952ba…
06-09 07:25:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 12 20260607232722169	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x516680…
06-09 04:51:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5f1b73…
06-09 04:33:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd5ae2f…
06-09 04:03:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x120f9a…