Prudent-Cohort — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$899

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved (30d)

330

Trades (30d)

725

1,734 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$20.8K

$60.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-30 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% -$5,094

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:50 UTC	4	$757	733	733	+0	Down	+$77	06-07 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:25 UTC	2	$626	454	454	+0	Up	+$226	06-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	2	$531	334	334	+0	Up	+$131	06-07 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$529	464	323	+141	Down	-$71	10-22 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$527	482	482	+0	Down	+$27	06-07 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	6	$527	319	319	+0	Down	+$63	10-14 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:50 UTC	3	$516	888	306	+582	Down	+$66	06-07 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:40 UTC	4	$514	386	386	+0	Down	+$204	06-05 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	2	$505	308	308	+0	Down	+$105	06-07 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:05 UTC	1	$500	1,396	0	+1,396	Down	-$500	06-06 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	2	$478	375	375	+0	Down	+$78	06-07 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	4	$461	296	296	+0	Down	+$61	10-14 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$447	462	462	+0	Down	+$155	06-05 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	4	$447	342	342	+0	Up	+$147	06-05 13:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 16:15 UTC	2	$440	400	400	+0	Up	+$40	06-07 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$439	292	292	+0	Down	+$139	06-03 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	4	$417	325	325	+0	Down	+$17	10-14 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:40 UTC	2	$400	202	202	+0	Up	+$0	06-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$394	363	363	+0	Down	+$54	10-08 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:45 UTC	7	$392	415	324	+91	Up	+$72	06-06 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:30 UTC	2	$389	257	257	+0	Down	+$89	06-05 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$388	542	542	+0	Up	+$48	10-09 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	2	$365	237	237	+0	Down	+$85	06-07 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$360	265	265	+0	Down	+$60	10-22 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$358	312	312	+0	Down	+$258	06-02 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:25 UTC	3	$358	311	311	+0	Down	+$258	06-06 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	3	$346	277	277	+0	Down	+$186	06-06 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:45 UTC	3	$339	428	246	+182	Up	-$1	06-05 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$331	540	195	+345	Down	-$69	06-06 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:50 UTC	4	$326	284	284	+0	Up	+$176	06-30 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	57	22¢	$13	0x37b4ac…
10-30 04:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x8a2516…
10-30 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x3d0349…
10-30 04:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x908996…
10-30 04:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x92960e…
10-30 04:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xc72f5a…
10-30 04:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x37b542…
10-30 04:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x716b03…
10-30 04:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x43e5bf…
10-30 04:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xa3a564…
10-30 04:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x45600e…
10-30 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0x406e1d…
10-30 04:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	103	41¢	$42	0x6ce74f…
10-30 04:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x1ead2c…
10-30 04:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xe078b1…
10-30 04:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xed57a4…
10-30 04:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	235	23¢	$54	0x6f2bb2…
10-30 04:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x159f49…
10-30 04:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x42523b…
10-30 04:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	525	3¢	$16	0xc8fcf8…
10-30 04:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x3bc259…
10-30 04:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	555	9¢	$50	0xbba14c…
10-30 04:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xf17c00…
10-30 04:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0xf7d2d6…
10-30 04:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xa6ce9e…
10-30 04:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xae0a60…
10-30 03:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	23¢	$4	0x86001d…
10-30 03:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x58a42b…
10-30 03:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	57	44¢	$25	0xc1390f…
10-30 03:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xcaeb9e…
10-30 03:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x5686fd…
10-30 03:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x6a2e7e…
10-30 03:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x931e01…
10-30 03:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x45f244…
10-30 03:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	59¢	$33	0x3d4772…
10-30 03:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xe83a28…
10-30 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0xf6453f…
10-30 03:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	205	24¢	$50	0x9df8d4…
10-30 03:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x9be095…
10-30 03:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x8dc1cd…
10-30 03:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x5fb71e…
10-30 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	208	58¢	$121	0xa8c7d8…
10-30 03:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xe25859…
10-30 03:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	278	23¢	$64	0xacdedc…
10-30 03:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x8266bc…
10-30 03:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa100ed…
10-30 03:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	328	15¢	$50	0xb4eb52…
10-30 02:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xaae569…
10-30 02:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	278	35¢	$97	0x199474…
10-30 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xf997ba…
10-30 02:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	101	44¢	$44	0xbec3f0…
10-30 02:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0xbf61c6…
10-30 02:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x367661…
10-30 02:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8289ef…
10-30 02:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb50806…
10-30 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1430be…
10-30 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xc342ef…
10-30 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	74	49¢	$36	0xff46a1…
10-30 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x9b3a99…
10-30 02:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xa1a9b5…
10-30 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	65¢	$34	0xf7544a…
10-30 02:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe7f2c4…
10-30 02:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x4fc20e…
10-30 02:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x72ddd2…
10-30 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x265c3a…
10-30 02:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8c3909…
10-30 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	105	39¢	$41	0x9b20bc…
10-30 02:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x08b435…
10-30 02:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	158	18¢	$28	0x29ea5b…
10-30 02:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6ce7ce…
10-30 02:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x6383fb…
10-30 02:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3a3f96…
10-30 02:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	81¢	$25	0xa87803…
10-30 02:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x05f4ea…
10-30 01:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x16432d…
10-30 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x21f1b2…
10-30 01:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x34385d…
10-30 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x0c99bb…
10-30 01:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x99f1e8…
10-30 01:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x2b05cf…
10-30 01:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x781409…
10-30 01:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x0d72ee…
10-30 01:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xdfeb91…
10-30 01:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0xf60633…
10-30 01:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x753514…
10-30 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	104	17¢	$18	0x2adb14…
10-30 01:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x3dd131…
10-30 01:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x0a078b…
10-30 01:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x231890…
10-30 01:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xd48d7a…
10-30 01:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf181e2…
10-30 01:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	140	26¢	$36	0x9eafa5…
10-30 01:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x609fd0…
10-30 01:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xf8a996…
10-30 00:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x0d2285…
10-30 00:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb67bdd…
10-30 00:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4351f3…
10-30 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x705b68…
10-30 00:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa94907…
10-30 00:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0x848b69…