Prudent-Cohort — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$594

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved (90d)

283

Trades (90d)

618

1,627 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.6K

$57.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-25 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% -$4,789

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:50 UTC	4	$757	733	733	+0	Down	+$77	06-07 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:25 UTC	2	$626	454	454	+0	Up	+$226	06-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	2	$531	334	334	+0	Up	+$131	06-07 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$529	464	323	+141	Down	-$71	10-22 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	4	$527	482	482	+0	Down	+$27	06-07 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	6	$527	319	319	+0	Down	+$63	10-14 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:50 UTC	3	$516	888	306	+582	Down	+$66	06-07 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:40 UTC	4	$514	386	386	+0	Down	+$204	06-05 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	2	$505	308	308	+0	Down	+$105	06-07 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:05 UTC	1	$500	1,396	0	+1,396	Down	-$500	06-06 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	2	$478	375	375	+0	Down	+$78	06-07 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	4	$461	296	296	+0	Down	+$61	10-14 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$447	462	462	+0	Down	+$155	06-05 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	4	$447	342	342	+0	Up	+$147	06-05 13:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 16:15 UTC	2	$440	400	400	+0	Up	+$40	06-07 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$439	292	292	+0	Down	+$139	06-03 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	4	$417	325	325	+0	Down	+$17	10-14 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:40 UTC	2	$400	202	202	+0	Up	+$0	06-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$394	363	363	+0	Down	+$54	10-08 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:45 UTC	7	$392	415	324	+91	Up	+$72	06-06 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:30 UTC	2	$389	257	257	+0	Down	+$89	06-05 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$388	542	542	+0	Up	+$48	10-09 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	2	$365	237	237	+0	Down	+$85	06-07 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$360	265	265	+0	Down	+$60	10-22 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$358	312	312	+0	Down	+$258	06-02 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:25 UTC	3	$358	311	311	+0	Down	+$258	06-06 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	3	$346	277	277	+0	Down	+$186	06-06 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:45 UTC	3	$339	428	246	+182	Up	-$1	06-05 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$331	540	195	+345	Down	-$69	06-06 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:50 UTC	4	$326	284	284	+0	Up	+$176	06-30 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x372966…
10-25 03:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x71419a…
10-25 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb6558b…
10-25 03:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xc75240…
10-25 03:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x28a205…
10-25 03:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf284fa…
10-25 03:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1b726f…
10-25 03:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x47fc0c…
10-25 03:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x757d9d…
10-25 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xe9a93c…
10-25 03:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x75bb8c…
10-25 01:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x9ff32a…
10-25 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbc7362…
10-25 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x38dad0…
10-25 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x7c8eeb…
10-25 00:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa9c27a…
10-25 00:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xfc4ba2…
10-25 00:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ecfc2…
10-25 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xf1828a…
10-25 00:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0x065ef7…
10-25 00:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe7bfe5…
10-25 00:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8f6da…
10-24 23:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xe5b6c5…
10-24 23:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc8661a…
10-24 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6545a3…
10-24 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe002a5…
10-24 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0e4278…
10-22 03:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xfd046d…
10-22 03:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0x6475db…
10-22 03:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	33¢	$14	0xb6e95e…
10-22 03:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x00958b…
10-22 03:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc12324…
10-22 03:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x9b90e8…
10-22 03:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	119	51¢	$61	0xbc14a3…
10-22 03:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x518d75…
10-22 03:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x5ef070…
10-22 03:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x69466e…
10-22 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfb23b8…
10-22 03:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x301478…
10-22 03:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4ecdf9…
10-22 03:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xdabc44…
10-22 03:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x1551c1…
10-22 03:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	85	34¢	$29	0x6b1723…
10-22 03:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	85	22¢	$19	0x631b62…
10-22 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xa0613c…
10-22 03:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	182	65¢	$119	0x160a3e…
10-22 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xcf2ef6…
10-22 03:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	141	78¢	$110	0xa758d9…
10-22 03:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4f9a03…
10-22 03:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0xe92309…
10-22 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xfab8e8…
10-22 03:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	149	71¢	$106	0xeaad24…
10-22 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x52368e…
10-22 03:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	93	88¢	$82	0xdbdb42…
10-22 03:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0x586e1a…
10-22 02:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	122	84¢	$103	0x62a22e…
10-22 02:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	122	53¢	$65	0x9cb986…
10-22 02:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	123	56¢	$69	0x9adc49…
10-22 02:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0x33f456…
10-22 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x388dc3…
10-22 02:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x40438a…
10-22 02:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	85	87¢	$74	0x945811…
10-22 02:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x4a9bbc…
10-22 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	68¢	$70	0x761230…
10-22 02:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x08a3bf…
10-22 02:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x4bf907…
10-22 02:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	108	32¢	$34	0xebe2d9…
10-22 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x60ec21…
10-22 02:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x94ca0a…
10-22 02:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x86d792…
10-22 02:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x40279c…
10-22 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	179	1¢	$2	0xe2c54a…
10-22 02:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x03333b…
10-22 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xcce8fc…
10-22 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe5c073…
10-22 02:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	158	41¢	$64	0x032b5a…
10-22 02:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	158	32¢	$50	0x7ac31f…
10-22 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x1fefdf…
10-22 02:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xc51a5d…
10-22 02:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0x685782…
10-22 02:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x64a65d…
10-22 02:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x22c124…
10-22 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x39f628…
10-22 02:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	101	82¢	$83	0x4c3286…
10-22 02:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x3a3aae…
10-22 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x997b69…
10-22 01:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x814edb…
10-22 01:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xcd971b…
10-22 01:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x60bdc7…
10-22 01:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x223b26…
10-22 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xf76b82…
10-22 01:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x022391…
10-22 01:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x2ae175…
10-22 01:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x34977f…
10-22 01:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x455cfb…
10-22 01:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbe442c…
10-22 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x059943…
10-22 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x063ae8…
10-22 01:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x39e90c…
10-22 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x89b19d…