Bold-Draft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

131

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-01 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 47% +$81

Politics

26% 0% $-1

Other

4% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	27	$141	184	184	+0	open	—	05-25 09:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	15	$107	248	248	+0	open	—	05-27 06:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$73	246	246	+0	open	—	05-26 11:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$67	1,082	723	+359	open	—	05-26 21:53
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	18	$47	104	116	-13	open	—	05-23 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$28	23	20	+3	open	—	05-18 15:24
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	$-4	05-06 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	11	$27	35	26	+9	open	—	05-18 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	9	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-18 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$25	31	31	+0	open	—	05-15 06:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$24	89	89	+0	open	—	05-24 07:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$23	50	50	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 12:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$23	21	10	+11	open	—	05-15 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$22	13	11	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	8	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 18:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 11:19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	3	$19	107	107	+0	Yes	$-1	05-07 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$19	20	9	+11	open	—	05-15 07:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 15:18
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	6	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	05-18 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$13	13	8	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$12	34	17	+17	open	—	05-18 18:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	12	$11	8	7	+1	open	—	05-17 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$11	11	9	+2	open	—	05-15 12:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$11	11	9	+2	open	—	05-15 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 13:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb5876…
06-01 17:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b9e88…
06-01 11:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51000a…
06-01 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x33c52c…
06-01 11:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x394ebc…
05-30 15:43:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xddf1c2…
05-29 22:36:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x0e4dfd…
05-27 06:14:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xac924c…
05-26 21:54:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x20cd9c…
05-26 21:53:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	381	1¢	$2	0x4922fa…
05-26 19:44:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	241	1¢	$2	0x478cce…
05-26 11:22:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	507	1¢	$4	0x6ea468…
05-26 11:22:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x7d3a0f…
05-26 11:22:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xe81ebe…
05-26 11:22:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	269	1¢	$2	0x4b1771…
05-26 11:04:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x79ee00…
05-26 11:04:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x0f3db6…
05-26 11:00:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd7dd8b…
05-25 22:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x64eeb5…
05-25 21:59:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x1d1226…
05-25 21:50:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0x2d971e…
05-25 21:43:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1ea3f4…
05-25 21:42:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5574eb…
05-25 11:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbd1561…
05-25 11:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa6289d…
05-25 11:19:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x711d92…
05-25 09:09:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xd5096a…
05-24 19:50:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x93627d…
05-24 14:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xfda6f2…
05-24 14:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8de689…
05-24 14:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x29dacb…
05-24 14:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xaa2602…
05-24 14:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9e051d…
05-24 14:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb14a6f…
05-24 14:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc0b562…
05-24 12:44:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x84bccb…
05-24 12:44:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x27d8d3…
05-24 07:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	89	11¢	$10	0xc534a7…
05-24 06:44:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x28eca6…
05-23 21:03:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xc30e96…
05-23 19:08:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xdb2087…
05-23 19:06:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x83f0db…
05-23 16:14:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xa1e949…
05-23 16:13:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0x213499…
05-23 15:10:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x61d5aa…
05-23 15:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x79ff57…
05-23 14:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf92100…
05-23 14:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac6aea…
05-23 14:41:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xdf6f39…
05-23 14:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x74c126…
05-23 14:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x35a7d3…
05-23 14:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6ef6e9…
05-23 14:25:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x713139…
05-23 14:20:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcf8c62…
05-23 14:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x25b248…
05-23 14:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc87c00…
05-23 13:32:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x7eb374…
05-23 13:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x540b8d…
05-23 12:21:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0xd0c84c…
05-23 12:20:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x353628…
05-23 12:20:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x97ff9a…
05-23 12:20:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x43dce1…
05-23 11:59:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	81	48¢	$39	0xcb31a5…
05-23 11:57:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	38	59¢	$22	0x38ad8a…
05-23 11:57:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	76	59¢	$45	0x4a8064…
05-23 11:57:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	27	68¢	$19	0xd0a123…
05-23 08:40:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x661179…
05-23 08:20:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0x2b00ba…
05-23 00:08:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd16f56…
05-22 23:58:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	112	2¢	$3	0xc052d2…
05-22 23:40:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x1cc97d…
05-22 23:37:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x80d4f4…
05-22 23:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32b2ba…
05-22 23:01:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x93c12d…
05-22 23:00:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xe43a12…
05-22 22:59:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x0368d5…
05-22 22:59:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x80050f…
05-22 22:44:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x811017…
05-22 22:33:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x86e5d0…
05-22 22:33:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xff7539…
05-22 22:24:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x5cf8d0…
05-22 22:23:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb7bf06…
05-22 22:19:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb89761…
05-22 22:08:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x9a1509…
05-22 22:01:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xc1e06e…
05-22 22:01:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x73a2f9…
05-22 21:54:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3c8dd0…
05-22 21:48:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe74ecf…
05-22 21:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xcddffe…
05-22 21:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xded8ae…
05-22 15:30:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x139684…
05-22 14:44:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xff9328…
05-21 13:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x09cf49…
05-21 13:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x1807da…
05-21 13:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x93a7b1…
05-21 13:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b7a21…
05-21 13:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x09d8b0…
05-21 13:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x562013…
05-21 13:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63613f…
05-21 12:46:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x516b6b…