Definitive-Cake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

3,808

Trades

9,526

lifetime

Volume

$137.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-21 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$1,364

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	580	579	+1	Down	+$4	02-12 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	5	$1.0K	735	366	+368	Up	+$59	02-04 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:45 UTC	5	$1.0K	543	543	+0	Down	-$35	02-04 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:15 UTC	6	$976	506	506	+0	Down	+$16	02-04 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:15 UTC	30	$901	769	251	+518	Down	+$9	02-08 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	7	$842	907	0	+907	Up	-$842	02-13 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 17:15 UTC	10	$827	555	554	+1	Down	-$213	01-29 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 16:30 UTC	17	$815	1,095	518	+577	Down	+$18	02-02 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:15 UTC	6	$808	533	533	+0	Down	-$192	02-06 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 11:00 UTC	6	$797	828	0	+828	Down	+$31	02-13 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 09:45 UTC	6	$787	531	380	+150	Down	-$32	02-10 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:15 UTC	2	$700	707	0	+707	Down	+$7	02-04 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:45 UTC	6	$700	720	0	+720	Down	+$20	02-12 01:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:30 UTC	17	$693	491	327	+164	Up	-$36	03-04 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	7	$692	737	33	+704	Down	+$35	02-04 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	5	$690	358	358	+0	Down	+$11	02-04 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:00 UTC	8	$658	751	0	+751	Down	+$93	02-11 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:15 UTC	3	$620	625	0	+625	Down	+$5	02-11 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:45 UTC	3	$600	640	0	+640	Down	+$40	02-06 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:00 UTC	5	$600	621	0	+621	Up	+$21	02-05 01:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:00 UTC	5	$597	415	209	+205	Up	+$2	02-04 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:45 UTC	10	$590	1,130	571	+559	Up	+$3	02-10 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:00 UTC	6	$582	310	310	+0	Up	-$18	02-05 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:15 UTC	6	$556	348	236	+112	Down	-$4	02-05 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:15 UTC	3	$549	570	0	+570	Up	+$21	02-05 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:00 UTC	3	$525	599	0	+599	Down	+$74	02-06 18:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:30 UTC	5	$515	437	113	+324	Up	-$2	02-12 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:30 UTC	7	$515	351	328	+22	Up	-$71	02-07 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	3	$500	554	0	+554	Down	+$54	02-04 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 17:00 UTC	2	$500	532	0	+532	Up	+$32	02-08 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 12:04:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x5426dc…
08-21 12:03:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe47f87…
08-21 11:56:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x5f2ba1…
08-21 11:54:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd83c43…
08-21 11:41:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf49670…
08-21 09:54:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xe237f9…
08-20 23:31:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5934ac…
08-20 23:31:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb730f8…
08-20 23:31:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2de0e2…
08-20 22:58:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xde2374…
08-20 22:53:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x879bae…
08-20 22:53:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x15e71d…
08-20 22:53:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6ff727…
08-20 22:50:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x4603c1…
08-20 21:26:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x54a43a…
08-20 21:25:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3b06d8…
08-20 21:13:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xfe5d19…
08-20 21:12:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x92865f…
08-20 21:11:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe68b0f…
08-20 21:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xdfd225…
08-20 21:04:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x99f876…
08-20 20:51:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb39d87…
08-20 20:50:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x101fba…
08-20 20:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xab2069…
08-20 20:43:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x64234c…
08-20 20:42:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd80198…
08-20 20:42:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x877187…
08-20 20:40:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe2ddde…
08-20 20:40:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4b5e2b…
08-20 20:40:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf92f61…
08-20 20:38:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x9f40f2…
08-20 20:33:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xef2704…
08-20 20:23:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5e366b…
08-20 20:23:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3de38b…
08-20 20:23:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5e5b9a…
08-20 20:19:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x3b07d6…
08-20 20:17:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc8b4d8…
08-20 20:13:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6934e7…
08-20 20:13:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe768be…
08-20 20:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x32e52c…
08-20 19:54:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x9488ea…
08-20 19:37:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x039f5a…
08-20 19:17:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xfd563f…
08-20 19:12:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3d6660…
08-20 19:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xe8bec3…
08-20 18:54:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xb016ea…
08-20 18:54:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xddb2b1…
08-20 18:51:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xf824c8…
08-20 18:51:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc3ccee…
08-20 18:36:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x556798…
08-20 18:36:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xdb9640…
08-20 18:36:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8403d1…
08-20 18:36:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6732d8…
08-20 18:36:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x26f22b…
08-20 15:54:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xed354b…
08-20 15:54:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbdfd3e…
08-20 15:50:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc939cb…
08-20 15:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x327d00…
08-20 15:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x64f869…
08-20 15:39:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xeaa782…
08-20 15:39:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7fcd62…
08-20 15:35:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfca525…
08-20 12:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x072b35…
08-20 12:11:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaee63c…
08-20 12:07:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed16ac…
08-20 12:07:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeeca4b…
08-20 12:07:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x60d235…
08-20 12:07:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc579f9…
08-20 11:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4a695f…
08-20 11:12:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x055bcf…
08-20 11:10:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc56a1f…
08-20 11:10:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa4b2b4…
08-20 11:09:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2141de…
08-20 11:09:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x01b69f…
08-20 11:08:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6118a7…
08-20 11:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x43a325…
08-20 10:29:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x77f7ae…
08-20 10:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a48dc…
08-20 10:28:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf66538…
08-20 10:26:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd1f117…
08-20 10:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x0c65a3…
08-20 10:23:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x43f431…
08-20 10:23:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x703c07…
08-20 10:23:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbffefd…
08-20 10:23:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x99e993…
08-20 10:21:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x905b59…
08-20 10:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2e8bb5…
08-20 10:21:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x805329…
08-20 10:09:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x67fcab…
08-20 01:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5a959b…
08-20 01:12:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x967f94…
08-20 01:12:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb8a77b…
08-20 01:10:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc11bf9…
08-20 01:09:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x073152…
08-20 01:09:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4cb4b9…
08-19 22:50:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x26470a…
08-19 22:50:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x24eb6d…
08-19 22:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb6d795…
08-19 22:38:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd35f99…
08-19 22:37:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7683b2…