Negative-Approach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

397

Trades

1,689

lifetime

Volume

$245.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$866

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 87% +$1,283

Politics

0% 100% +$11

Other

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+585	$538	92¢	$535	-$3	10-30 19:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,204	$325	28¢	$331	+$6	10-30 23:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	19	$5.4K	2,790	2,790	+0	No	-$12	03-01 02:02
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	24	$5.2K	2,982	2,982	+0	No	+$36	06-29 21:15
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	39	$4.1K	3,539	3,539	+0	Yes	+$111	03-17 05:11
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	18	$3.6K	1,922	1,922	+0	No	+$9	03-26 05:37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	25	$3.5K	1,876	1,872	+4	No	+$6	04-28 13:13
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	13	$3.4K	1,757	1,757	+0	No	+$10	03-30 12:38
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	30	$3.3K	2,148	2,140	+8	Yes	-$1	04-14 14:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	53	$3.2K	2,056	2,028	+27	No	-$57	04-28 17:06
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	8	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	No	+$19	02-27 07:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	12	$2.6K	1,351	1,351	+0	No	+$2	05-28 04:20
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	21	$2.6K	1,919	1,136	+783	No	-$21	07-30 13:42
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	16	$2.6K	1,438	1,282	+156	No	+$32	01-20 02:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	6	$2.4K	1,245	1,245	+0	No	+$13	10-10 22:08
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	21	$2.4K	1,306	1,306	+0	No	+$9	06-30 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	16	$2.4K	1,213	1,345	-132	No	-$16	05-28 00:42
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	18	$2.4K	1,316	1,316	+0	No	+$15	07-26 02:31
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	12	$2.4K	1,295	1,295	+0	No	+$8	06-24 19:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	18	$2.4K	1,253	1,253	+0	No	-$11	01-31 06:45
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	20	$2.2K	1,858	1,858	+0	No	-$47	02-19 13:19
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	6	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	+$11	06-30 21:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	12	$2.2K	1,667	913	+754	No	+$16	03-31 00:38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	9	$2.2K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$37	09-24 22:51
will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	12	$2.1K	1,236	1,236	+0	Yes	-$218	07-22 15:20
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 7	5	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$14	06-08 01:22
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	18	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	No	+$22	03-17 03:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	12	$1.9K	1,044	1,044	+0	No	+$31	08-28 11:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$473	06-03 16:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	25	$1.9K	1,273	1,116	+158	No	+$5	05-27 07:05
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	13	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$32	06-19 16:53
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	15	$1.8K	936	936	+0	No	-$2	01-31 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:33:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xadf48f…
10-30 23:32:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,174	27¢	$317	0x14a41d…
10-30 23:28:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x080a7a…
10-30 23:26:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x77fee9…
10-30 23:25:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xacfab1…
10-30 19:04:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	375	92¢	$345	0x494cea…
10-30 18:52:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	92¢	$193	0xd01033…
10-30 02:02:51	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	439	99¢	$435	0x9e3562…
10-30 02:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$419	0xb1a191…
10-30 02:02:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	240	96¢	$230	0xcee13d…
10-30 01:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	240	95¢	$229	0xdc94c2…
10-29 04:35:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x58b381…
10-29 04:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x90d49c…
10-29 00:54:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$415	0x2e0459…
10-29 00:53:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xaf1ddf…
10-29 00:50:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	540	99¢	$536	0xec04ec…
10-28 10:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x2aff7f…
10-28 10:31:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x80fa71…
10-27 15:54:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	328	96¢	$313	0x60b9be…
10-27 01:15:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	329	96¢	$315	0x50f77b…
10-24 07:02:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	329	94¢	$309	0x93b986…
10-24 06:46:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8f7edb…
10-24 06:44:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xacd506…
10-23 22:33:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 23?	No	BUY	512	100¢	$510	0xa1c24b…
10-23 22:32:11	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	513	99¢	$509	0xbd1edb…
10-22 23:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	79	92¢	$73	0xd632b7…
10-22 22:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xb1a62a…
10-22 22:44:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x371c29…
10-22 16:16:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	160	89¢	$142	0xc255a2…
10-22 15:15:18	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	513	98¢	$500	0xbe1e18…
10-22 14:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x5ac062…
10-22 12:05:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2adc82…
10-22 11:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0xf25d42…
10-22 11:09:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	477	85¢	$405	0x8163c9…
10-22 10:26:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	83	88¢	$73	0x8498c5…
10-22 02:27:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	191	88¢	$169	0xd73988…
10-22 02:25:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x3ab4b8…
10-22 02:24:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xfc568a…
10-22 02:24:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x813c08…
10-21 22:11:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0xa10dec…
10-21 22:08:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	246	99¢	$243	0x781390…
10-21 15:27:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x5e8201…
10-21 13:38:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	477	90¢	$429	0xa703e7…
10-21 10:34:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$242	0x41c82d…
10-21 10:31:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x3b11ae…
10-20 22:03:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	871	96¢	$836	0x7bb711…
10-20 15:33:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	221	98¢	$216	0x4175d1…
10-19 22:29:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	221	97¢	$214	0xb49b22…
10-19 05:20:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x496ca7…
10-19 01:48:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x9cca5f…
10-19 01:34:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xeaead1…
10-18 08:37:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	211	98¢	$208	0xd1eb8d…
10-18 08:36:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xf40a0e…
10-13 05:53:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	210	97¢	$203	0xa0f6c1…
10-13 02:57:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$203	0xb346ad…
10-13 01:10:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x8ecc15…
10-13 01:09:50	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x6ca772…
10-12 16:42:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	647	91¢	$588	0x99bd65…
10-12 07:32:44	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0xc26925…
10-12 07:20:13	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x6ab058…
10-12 06:56:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$110	0x077098…
10-12 06:04:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x88da37…
10-11 16:09:39	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	179	94¢	$169	0x9a1bdb…
10-11 13:59:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x4d9e84…
10-11 13:59:18	will ethereum reach 2700 october 5 11 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf0b020…
10-11 13:58:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x2b5f4b…
10-10 22:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	174	97¢	$168	0x314d29…
10-10 22:09:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd86765…
10-10 22:09:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x2e5ed2…
10-10 22:08:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	472	99¢	$469	0xf86780…
10-10 12:36:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0x6a2a23…
10-10 12:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0x4b6332…
10-10 03:16:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	472	99¢	$466	0x723abd…
10-10 03:15:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc56899…
10-10 03:15:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xe22050…
10-10 03:08:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	311	99¢	$309	0xce749a…
10-10 03:08:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x90f391…
10-10 03:08:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	450	99¢	$446	0xbdf355…
10-09 21:29:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x96935f…
10-09 21:29:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x99554a…
10-09 11:27:54	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x494fdb…
10-09 11:27:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	450	99¢	$444	0x42b161…
10-09 09:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0xa97c0c…
10-09 05:34:26	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x2d7b42…
10-09 05:01:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x30d0f9…
10-09 05:00:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x506f8b…
10-09 04:57:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xd70c17…
10-09 04:57:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	485	99¢	$482	0x20e063…
10-09 04:29:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	No	SELL	487	99¢	$483	0x074238…
10-08 16:04:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	487	99¢	$482	0x0c45c8…
10-08 11:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0x62df72…
10-07 22:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	483	99¢	$476	0x23caba…
10-07 13:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xba9675…
10-07 13:11:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x771ab2…
10-07 11:03:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xa790ee…
10-07 11:02:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x1fd7cf…
10-07 10:59:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0xaa3b23…
10-07 10:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x29a0a6…
10-07 10:58:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc62f66…
10-07 10:55:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	661	98¢	$649	0xe83e2f…