Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 02-12 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

53% 14% -$115

Politics

23% 27% +$39

Crypto

21% 38% -$23

Sports

2% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	2	$60	56	56	+0	Yes	+$50	01-30 16:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$46	5,309	0	+5,309	Yes	-$46	02-02 19:24
us bank failure by march 31 294	2	$46	36	36	+0	Yes	+$26	01-31 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	6	$16	115	10	+105	Down	+$4	02-05 21:58
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	5	$14	246	0	+246	Yes	-$14	01-31 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$13	321	321	+0	Yes	-$1	02-02 19:08
ice shooter fired by march 31	2	$12	42	42	+0	No	+$2	01-31 11:53
gc settle 4975 5100 jan 2026	2	$11	21	21	+0	No	+$1	01-30 12:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$10	43	43	+0	No	+$4	02-05 21:32
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$1	02-02 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	02-12 20:05
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$8	587	0	+587	Yes	-$8	01-30 16:27
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$8	338	338	+0	No	-$2	02-05 21:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:15 UTC	3	$7	28	0	+28	Up	-$1	02-06 21:20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$6	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$2	02-10 14:02
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$6	86	0	+86	Yes	-$6	01-31 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	6	$6	40	0	+40	Down	-$6	02-12 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	4	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	02-06 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:30 UTC	2	$6	46	0	+46	Down	-$6	02-06 21:36
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	5	$6	70	0	+70	Up	-$6	02-05 22:11
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	2	$5	44	44	+0	Yes	-$3	02-06 17:33
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	1	$5	312	0	+312	No	-$5	01-25 11:34
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$5	625	0	+625	No	-$5	01-24 17:59
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for finland by feburary 1	1	$5	417	0	+417	No	-$5	01-25 11:35
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	1	$5	357	0	+357	No	-$5	01-25 11:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$5	417	0	+417	Yes	-$5	01-30 10:14
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	1	$5	250	0	+250	No	-$5	01-25 11:34
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$5	442	0	+442	No	-$5	01-30 12:38
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the united kingdom by feburary 1	1	$5	361	0	+361	No	-$5	01-25 11:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 24	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	01-24 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-12 20:09:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8a43ff…
02-12 20:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x06d3ca…
02-12 20:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf8120b…
02-12 20:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c62ad…
02-12 20:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd05dea…
02-12 20:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd34d91…
02-12 20:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd9523d…
02-12 20:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7627bf…
02-10 14:02:35	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$4	0xda7a9c…
02-06 21:36:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x37da8e…
02-06 21:36:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa5ef2b…
02-06 21:20:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x9ee8a9…
02-06 21:15:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe923d4…
02-06 21:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8039eb…
02-06 21:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x84e503…
02-06 21:06:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfcbe09…
02-06 21:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x44a87b…
02-06 20:59:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52c721…
02-06 20:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x251393…
02-06 20:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9f749a…
02-06 20:40:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd5027d…
02-06 20:40:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe35ac7…
02-06 20:30:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xade988…
02-06 20:30:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32ee95…
02-06 20:17:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa45de7…
02-06 20:16:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd7ba31…
02-06 20:16:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd1158c…
02-06 20:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe218cf…
02-06 20:14:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4af265…
02-06 20:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa887b4…
02-06 19:46:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x435775…
02-06 19:32:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a0407…
02-06 19:17:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1b016e…
02-06 19:15:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f4824…
02-06 19:13:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd0243a…
02-06 18:32:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4b558f…
02-06 18:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa1e552…
02-06 17:33:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x37c510…
02-06 17:33:19	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x968ed3…
02-05 22:11:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdc5dfe…
02-05 22:10:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x33b88f…
02-05 22:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x970c5d…
02-05 22:09:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x107dd4…
02-05 22:09:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdfd748…
02-05 22:07:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb841b8…
02-05 22:04:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc9386c…
02-05 22:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x036571…
02-05 21:58:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x21d68b…
02-05 21:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x19cfc4…
02-05 21:57:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac7ba6…
02-05 21:47:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb300c0…
02-05 21:46:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2fd25b…
02-05 21:45:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6679d…
02-05 21:45:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8bfb8c…
02-05 21:43:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa008f2…
02-05 21:36:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x88e389…
02-05 21:35:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x927718…
02-05 21:35:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x52d3ce…
02-05 21:35:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1ac74c…
02-05 21:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa48e46…
02-05 21:34:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xebdcae…
02-05 21:32:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7edf6…
02-05 21:32:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0x02057e…
02-05 21:26:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9976c9…
02-05 21:26:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb3f555…
02-05 21:26:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xd33c8a…
02-05 21:25:53	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	SELL	338	1¢	$3	0x9d1fd7…
02-04 16:31:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x63922f…
02-04 16:31:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb06d50…
02-04 16:30:39	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2091d0…
02-02 19:24:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,377	0¢	$4	0x6355bf…
02-02 19:11:18	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x608226…
02-02 19:09:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,183	0¢	$7	0xfff291…
02-02 19:08:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	321	2¢	$6	0xe47560…
02-01 21:28:10	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x7b6653…
01-31 16:26:12	will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf7d68d…
01-31 16:26:02	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x89bac0…
01-31 13:30:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	459	1¢	$4	0xcebc80…
01-31 11:54:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x9aa0bd…
01-31 11:53:38	ice shooter fired by march 31	Yes	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0x88fe88…
01-31 11:52:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	288	0¢	$1	0xf30db4…
01-31 02:00:38	will michael jackson be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc6b56e…
01-31 01:59:54	will david copperfield be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x372072…
01-31 01:59:46	will woody allen be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xca962b…
01-31 01:59:42	will prince andrew be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x1cc990…
01-31 01:59:38	will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x61d754…
01-31 01:59:34	will hillary clinton be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x210eb8…
01-31 01:59:28	will donald trump be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x81f6b3…
01-31 01:59:26	will bill clinton be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x47d300…
01-31 01:59:20	will ehud barak be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x712fba…
01-31 01:39:50	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5e66ca…
01-31 01:36:44	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x138c9d…
01-31 01:34:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdfc09d…
01-31 01:34:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x568d6d…
01-31 01:34:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf6a3ed…
01-31 01:34:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x68e8b8…
01-31 01:31:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xf93fce…
01-31 01:30:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xdbf08d…
01-31 01:29:14	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa04abf…
01-31 01:29:12	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x129c49…