Dead-Hazel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

123

Trades

352

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$78

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-15 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

91% 32% +$4,232

Politics

7% 16% -$588

Sports

3% 27% +$13

Crypto

0% 25% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		-100	-$44	74¢	$-74	-$30	05-11 23:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-29	-$7	15¢	$-4	+$2	05-11 23:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	23	$4.7K	5,158	0	+5,158	Yes	+$445	02-05 01:05
aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 0pt4	24	$2.2K	2,591	0	+2,591	No	+$356	01-27 08:07
wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt68	19	$1.2K	1,331	0	+1,331	No	+$175	01-14 09:34
way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	18	$1.0K	2,385	0	+2,385	No	+$1,355	02-17 10:28
roku quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt28	14	$961	1,211	0	+1,211	Yes	+$250	02-12 18:12
arm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 0pt41	12	$805	910	50	+860	Yes	+$62	02-04 19:50
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	9	$605	1,922	0	+1,922	Yes	+$1,317	01-28 20:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$538	6,032	0	+6,032	Yes	-$538	02-28 21:05
tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt07	6	$399	914	0	+914	No	+$515	02-11 09:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$382	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-07 00:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$356	200	200	+0	No	+$44	05-03 19:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$283	2,027	2,027	+0	Yes	-$17	02-28 21:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	19	$230	3,040	100	+2,940	Yes	-$102	02-01 04:04
nba nyk det 2026 02 06 total 224pt5	3	$165	100	100	+0	Under	+$29	02-07 02:33
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	1	$151	0	163	-163	No	-$11	03-31 20:20
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	3	$74	110	110	+0	South Africa	-$24	02-11 09:25
tsla up or down on april 13 2026	1	$50	80	0	+80	Up	-$50	04-13 08:27
aapl up or down on april 13 2026	1	$50	78	0	+78	Down	+$28	04-13 08:45
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$50	250	0	+250	No	-$50	01-20 23:27
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$50	883	0	+883	Yes	-$50	02-17 09:08
msft up or down on april 13 2026	1	$50	75	0	+75	Up	-$50	04-13 08:46
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$50	73	0	+73	Yes	+$23	02-02 07:33
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	1	$47	60	0	+60	Yes	+$13	02-22 21:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$44	0	100	-100	open	—	05-11 23:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$42	66	0	+66	No	+$23	04-20 00:30
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	2	$40	90	0	+90	Yes	+$50	01-20 21:00
bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	1	$36	50	0	+50	Yes	+$14	02-22 21:43
dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	2	$35	50	0	+50	No	-$35	02-22 22:00
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09 total 223pt5	4	$34	30	30	+0	Over	+$0	02-10 01:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$32	74	0	+74	No	+$42	05-06 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 19:44:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x4d3e55…
07-15 19:43:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaa9aa0…
07-15 19:42:35	England to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0d7467…
07-15 19:40:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x708c9e…
07-11 22:24:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x0a9339…
07-11 21:29:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc027e4…
07-11 21:29:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x34b73a…
07-11 21:27:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfedf05…
07-11 21:27:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x943ad6…
07-11 21:26:02	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x6b754f…
07-06 01:23:58	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x58eec1…
07-05 21:50:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x09fe2a…
07-05 21:47:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xccff19…
05-19 21:34:26	Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	388	2¢	$7	0x36b5a5…
05-11 23:39:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x529de1…
05-11 23:38:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0xba8428…
05-11 18:01:58	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x09ae45…
05-11 17:34:21	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x13083b…
05-11 17:09:51	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xe4f458…
05-11 07:30:06	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe32c0e…
05-11 07:30:04	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x8ea495…
05-07 08:26:59	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xfa6e62…
05-07 00:26:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xb6790c…
05-07 00:01:17	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xa6dbd3…
05-06 23:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xcb3bba…
05-06 21:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xc0e3fc…
05-06 21:54:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$178	0xf88dfe…
05-06 21:53:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xc82480…
05-06 21:50:21	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x0dd428…
05-05 20:01:04	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0x0dd672…
05-05 19:00:32	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x41c308…
05-05 18:41:42	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x8debf9…
05-05 08:32:36	Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x827a66…
05-05 08:28:08	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0xf31d12…
05-03 19:01:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1521e8…
04-28 09:05:16	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	167	5¢	$8	0x7ab34b…
04-28 09:04:28	Will Booking Holdings Inc (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	212	6¢	$12	0x7c5640…
04-28 09:03:54	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x046e89…
04-20 00:30:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x139cb7…
04-20 00:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x3654ee…
04-18 04:17:48	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc2b110…
04-17 09:47:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfd115d…
04-17 09:47:24	infy quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt21	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x944a7b…
04-17 09:41:00	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x612bf1…
04-17 09:40:42	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x4aef9e…
04-17 09:40:36	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7cb4fc…
04-17 09:40:30	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xfea6ad…
04-13 08:46:01	msft up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x1c8180…
04-13 08:45:07	aapl up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xc156f9…
04-13 08:27:43	tsla up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x41c51a…
04-09 09:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x728823…
04-09 09:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x82f6da…
04-08 10:30:05	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0x4d581e…
04-08 08:30:39	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xa5aca4…
04-08 01:38:27	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xeedcb0…
04-07 20:01:59	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xab50b3…
04-07 18:15:41	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xfb782b…
04-07 08:16:09	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x1d7281…
03-31 20:20:45	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	SELL	163	93¢	$151	0x7f8995…
03-17 19:11:39	docu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 17 2026 0pt95	No	BUY	162	4¢	$7	0x4ed291…
03-17 08:38:51	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0158f9…
03-17 08:34:41	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xe38630…
03-17 08:34:29	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xb997f3…
03-17 08:34:17	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9644bd…
03-17 08:30:05	five quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 4	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xc524ec…
03-16 08:44:43	five quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 4	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x8d4fea…
02-28 21:05:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,566	9¢	$138	0x633627…
02-28 21:03:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,027	7¢	$133	0x273691…
02-28 21:03:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x5e2ce0…
02-28 21:01:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,634	9¢	$150	0x786fa4…
02-28 21:00:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,582	9¢	$150	0x98ca1d…
02-28 21:00:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,027	7¢	$150	0xcab280…
02-24 19:31:40	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	No	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xc435e2…
02-24 19:27:24	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x18d7ea…
02-24 18:23:16	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x92d077…
02-24 17:51:32	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x666bd4…
02-24 00:01:08	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd7f1f4…
02-22 22:00:18	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xd63970…
02-22 21:45:28	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	Yes	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xc24d4f…
02-22 21:43:52	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xb3d351…
02-22 21:30:52	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x688615…
02-17 10:28:27	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	214	67¢	$143	0xd6ea14…
02-17 10:28:07	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	105	64¢	$68	0x531e62…
02-17 10:25:03	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xf523ad…
02-17 10:01:31	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xadab01…
02-17 10:00:43	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x09c1ee…
02-17 09:15:53	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xf450bb…
02-17 09:08:43	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	No	BUY	883	6¢	$50	0xc921a1…
02-17 08:37:39	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 1pt62	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x65d8bd…
02-16 04:24:55	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	984	48¢	$475	0xf034b2…
02-14 12:15:15	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd8fec4…
02-14 11:44:35	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xcde1fa…
02-14 10:20:07	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc5e41a…
02-14 07:31:43	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb19703…
02-14 03:51:27	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbc5f21…
02-14 02:22:25	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2d0194…
02-14 02:08:37	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x714c37…
02-14 01:58:45	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x365721…
02-14 01:54:55	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2e4ea2…
02-13 21:34:41	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x0d0f24…