Rare-Papa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

112

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

95% 52% +$4

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:36
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 04:53
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:07
will mrbeasts video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	04-21 08:07
Will "Thrash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:33
Will Raafat Bazo as Yuri Briar (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-23 08:23
iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-28 23:11
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:46
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:06
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	4	$15	45	0	+45	No	$0	06-02 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	$0	06-15 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 11:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 00:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 21c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 4?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 13:42
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 70 71f	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-30 06:01
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 23c	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 04:17
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 14c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 08:15
highest temperature in istanbul on april 23 2026 16c	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-22 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 02:37:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc1ba89…
06-29 00:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbf25ec…
06-28 23:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdd747e…
06-28 23:11:19	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa66de1…
06-28 08:54:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xff00d7…
06-28 04:01:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe4419c…
06-28 04:00:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x39e10d…
06-28 03:56:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc99ecd…
06-27 16:02:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x06fc61…
06-26 13:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3fb660…
06-26 12:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e42b3…
06-25 12:46:23	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d1050…
06-25 05:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf6346e…
06-25 05:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7427d9…
06-24 14:02:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x11371b…
06-24 12:05:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa8348…
06-24 04:53:58	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe0f1b6…
06-23 13:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0f5792…
06-23 12:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 24?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xad2693…
06-22 03:28:07	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x79b2a1…
06-20 14:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x65806e…
06-20 14:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x953c69…
06-20 14:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x583960…
06-20 01:36:41	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x107502…
06-19 18:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd02ca8…
06-19 17:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f486d…
06-18 08:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2bd9b7…
06-18 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d2344…
06-16 13:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xd7a502…
06-16 12:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x94269a…
06-15 05:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x20a7ed…
06-15 05:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6df393…
06-14 01:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x305735…
06-14 01:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a9f7a…
06-13 08:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7caccd…
06-13 08:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde45eb…
06-12 17:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1d4e56…
06-12 16:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9b58de…
06-12 16:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd12488…
06-12 12:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x323681…
06-12 04:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8c5dc9…
06-12 04:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x595b95…
06-11 16:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7e3a49…
06-11 12:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc82c61…
06-10 12:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe6d0fa…
06-09 02:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4d98b4…
06-09 02:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4af96b…
06-08 20:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6d22a7…
06-08 14:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 9?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc28f2c…
06-08 06:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4bc705…
06-07 21:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xbf50ad…
06-07 21:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe588d…
06-07 21:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x457634…
06-07 12:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe77566…
06-07 00:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x82f96e…
06-06 23:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x17b094…
06-06 14:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcef61f…
06-06 02:50:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc096a3…
06-06 02:48:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59529b…
06-05 06:05:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x36b0f8…
06-05 05:35:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x38bc11…
06-04 09:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x049f12…
06-04 09:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x2266ac…
06-04 09:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc69615…
06-03 08:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe23bd3…
06-03 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e534b…
06-02 13:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2db596…
06-02 13:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7a07aa…
06-02 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdec70c…
06-02 06:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb79921…
06-02 06:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb3b43f…
06-01 20:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb2bc93…
06-01 19:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa8d8a2…
06-01 08:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xea174a…
06-01 08:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8ce26e…
05-31 19:33:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe50315…
05-31 19:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc26244…
05-31 16:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9768b6…
05-31 16:07:13	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x38d291…
05-31 08:30:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2f23f4…
05-31 04:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9debaa…
05-30 19:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x15502d…
05-30 06:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7ad046…
05-30 05:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2e20b1…
05-29 18:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x520136…
05-29 18:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd2b9a8…
05-29 06:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x81d450…
05-29 06:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fbe10…
05-28 19:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc23224…
05-28 17:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x622260…
05-28 15:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x86e854…
05-28 12:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4857fb…
05-28 08:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8d6ac0…
05-28 06:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x20ed26…
05-28 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xef87e1…
05-27 16:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x35083d…
05-27 12:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe9fbf5…
05-27 12:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe891f1…
05-27 08:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5e2c06…
05-26 16:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfe91d5…