Weary-Controversy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

96% 54% -$10

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-30 23:13
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:12
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-01 03:35
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-29 16:06
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:49
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 05:19
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-25 12:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 15:58
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 02:10
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	07-28 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-27 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 16?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on May 2?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-15 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 28?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 11:44
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 20c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-23 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 22:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 23:24
highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 26c	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	04-20 17:36
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 56 57f	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 3?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-03 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 4?	5	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-03 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:10:00	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07c158…
08-31 03:17:24	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x104888…
07-28 06:08:36	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1f1dcf…
07-01 03:35:29	Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb34c27…
06-29 05:53:35	Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc4791c…
06-29 02:41:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaa5013…
06-28 14:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb305ae…
06-28 12:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x367f3e…
06-28 02:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x865513…
06-28 02:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa47df3…
06-27 04:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf25d70…
06-27 03:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xce43ca…
06-25 17:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x891c8d…
06-25 16:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 26?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x97dfde…
06-25 12:50:14	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x281141…
06-25 06:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x107a09…
06-24 18:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xecaa04…
06-24 01:49:13	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7a2583…
06-23 23:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x287310…
06-23 22:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 24?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xca1706…
06-22 19:41:41	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2b4394…
06-21 09:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf0aaa5…
06-21 09:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf68ad3…
06-20 18:12:34	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x37b532…
06-20 05:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x63160a…
06-20 05:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe22851…
06-19 06:08:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf9a4b2…
06-19 05:50:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 19?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc61afc…
06-16 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x99bd81…
06-16 09:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7c3b4a…
06-16 02:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa7fc0f…
06-15 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x845fda…
06-14 10:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc259be…
06-14 08:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbfc5d4…
06-13 08:34:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe95966…
06-13 07:59:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x10ace4…
06-12 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8e100d…
06-12 08:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc13ecb…
06-11 16:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x10a982…
06-11 12:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x073282…
06-10 14:18:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf29743…
06-10 14:10:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9ff1f3…
06-08 17:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x3d8a97…
06-08 16:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb77a99…
06-08 04:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x06d07f…
06-08 03:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1fc90e…
06-08 01:23:03	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc41177…
06-07 13:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x88b41b…
06-07 12:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0ff92e…
06-07 12:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9435a5…
06-07 02:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6b00f7…
06-07 01:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x00ef0f…
06-06 09:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc4d1e2…
06-06 09:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5fe6f2…
06-06 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6ab8fb…
06-06 04:31:19	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2b2253…
06-05 12:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf7f37e…
06-05 12:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa5eae…
06-05 07:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb25bc5…
06-05 00:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f4ccb…
06-04 02:10:46	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37cdc6…
06-03 16:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0ecb77…
06-03 14:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x975f30…
06-03 12:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x513bf5…
06-02 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xecf448…
06-02 10:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8f6104…
06-02 10:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x62bac9…
06-02 00:00:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa5a67e…
06-01 11:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc065c3…
06-01 11:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xb4d231…
06-01 09:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc363c2…
06-01 03:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xdb7dd1…
06-01 03:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa4dbb9…
05-31 22:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x414509…
05-31 12:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd8b628…
05-31 03:23:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x810191…
05-30 23:13:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5f1d63…
05-30 22:44:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x292a74…
05-30 07:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8bd5c7…
05-30 07:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x81e24d…
05-30 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe8fd9f…
05-29 09:07:09	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x19f25e…
05-29 09:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7ed5de…
05-28 20:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3d915d…
05-28 11:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0af55c…
05-28 11:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb69c1c…
05-27 16:58:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x89b5aa…
05-27 14:49:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3c10b2…
05-27 10:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8cd97f…
05-27 09:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x95f80b…
05-27 08:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae4eb8…
05-27 05:19:04	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfd33ca…
05-27 02:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5659b3…
05-27 02:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x87f6cf…
05-27 02:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf41c23…
05-26 18:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 27?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaf52a1…
05-26 14:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb642f9…
05-26 12:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb9e526…
05-25 00:03:23	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf766e0…
05-22 00:35:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x38b140…