Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$797
$12 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$353
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 13:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $12
vs crowd: 3% YES on $762)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $229 | $229 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $19 | $496 | $478 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $3 | $196 | $193 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 12 | $0 | $285 | $284 |
| Below median | 21 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $219 | $219 |
| unranked | 6 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motionless-Fence 0xea60…83f5 | Yes | +302 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:59 |
| Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | Yes | +247 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 23:30 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +180 | $179 | $179 | 2 | 05-16 03:49 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +169 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-16 09:35 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | +137 | $124 | $124 | 3 | 05-15 02:43 |
| Elementary-Kangaroo 0x4516…9b59 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 17:14 |
| Regal-Melody 0x83ed…1ded | No | +97 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-15 09:44 |
| Utter-Exocrine-Loggia 0x9c83…5a53 | No | +74 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-16 04:21 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-16 05:11 |
| Arctic-Grammar 0x2b8c…4406 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-15 06:54 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 20:15 |
| Adolescent-Ebook 0x590c…db45 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 00:00 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 01:35 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-15 21:13 |
| Powerless-Congressperson 0xa151…ce04 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6138…8b75 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:35 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:44 |
| Reckless-Editing-Strait 0x35a6…87b1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 07:30 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 07:31 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 03:49 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 03:49 |
| Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 23:35 |
| Ugly-Brotherinlaw 0xdb5a…2c72 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 03:00 |
| Easy-Logic 0x8265…740b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 03:00 |
| Potable-Alloy 0x0c75…490e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 03:00 |
| Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 01:35 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:22 |
| Inborn-Chef 0xa685…c2b3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 17:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 13:11:45 | Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd493f9… |
| 05-16 11:46:44 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbacdf5… |
| 05-16 09:35:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bd742… |
| 05-16 09:35:03 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa10e4… |
| 05-16 08:01:13 | Automatic-Pillbox 0x5069…3079 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x290dab… |
| 05-16 07:31:33 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1c95b6… |
| 05-16 06:59:54 | Motionless-Fence 0xea60…83f5 | Yes | BUY | 302 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xedc8cf… |
| 05-16 06:24:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93fd15… |
| 05-16 05:11:05 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x63fc6f… |
| 05-16 05:04:40 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24c01f… |
| 05-16 05:04:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18bf34… |
| 05-16 04:21:11 | Utter-Exocrine-Loggia 0x9c83…5a53 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1b0ef6… |
| 05-16 04:21:00 | Utter-Exocrine-Loggia 0x9c83…5a53 | No | BUY | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0x09c4a5… |
| 05-16 03:59:20 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe41666… |
| 05-16 03:49:13 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x93f39c… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d7fe9… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xef9503… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3b9438… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d1e6e… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb01be9… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf5b42f… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2cece… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5296c0… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95f8dd… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1df2a4… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24f756… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ac0f9… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x82b577… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x694a3b… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28b429… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x597802… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdd08cf… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf96d8… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x077b7c… |
| 05-16 03:49:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x236ff4… |
| 05-16 03:44:12 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe35310… |
| 05-16 03:00:53 | Ugly-Brotherinlaw 0xdb5a…2c72 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb78b97… |
| 05-16 03:00:53 | Easy-Logic 0x8265…740b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x77842c… |
| 05-16 03:00:50 | Potable-Alloy 0x0c75…490e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdb4ac5… |
| 05-16 02:29:11 | Harmless-Team 0x706c…189d | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x119f46… |
| 05-15 23:35:40 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8368b2… |
| 05-15 23:30:50 | Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | Yes | BUY | 247 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x097c70… |
| 05-15 21:13:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb9a95c… |
| 05-15 21:13:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x37e173… |
| 05-15 21:13:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x652932… |
| 05-15 20:15:09 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd46711… |
| 05-15 17:14:43 | Elementary-Kangaroo 0x4516…9b59 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xe7bf7a… |
| 05-15 16:22:19 | Sticky-Pocket 0xec54…3181 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb108f2… |
| 05-15 16:06:39 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa71220… |
| 05-15 10:15:22 | Knotty-Evening 0x8352…16dc | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x571c52… |
| 05-15 09:44:18 | Regal-Melody 0x83ed…1ded | No | BUY | 97 | 96¢ | $93 | 0xf8b1b2… |
| 05-15 07:30:20 | Reckless-Editing-Strait 0x35a6…87b1 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x81f0d9… |
| 05-15 06:54:31 | Arctic-Grammar 0x2b8c…4406 | No | BUY | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0xe8cd70… |
| 05-15 06:24:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x63ea84… |
| 05-15 04:08:46 | Powerless-Congressperson 0xa151…ce04 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xac3823… |
| 05-15 02:43:27 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0xfb7ae5… |
| 05-15 01:35:26 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x0e9b15… |
| 05-15 01:35:23 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9276ac… |
| 05-15 01:35:21 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 74 | 91¢ | $67 | 0xa8d07b… |
| 05-15 01:35:21 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc5a781… |
| 05-15 01:35:21 | (anonymous) 0x6138…8b75 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x61d748… |
| 05-15 00:00:23 | Adolescent-Ebook 0x590c…db45 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x26cc58… |
| 05-14 23:28:50 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xeae105… |
| 05-14 17:44:33 | Inborn-Chef 0xa685…c2b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x02b25b… |
| 05-14 12:22:27 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe4e51b… |
| 05-14 12:20:42 | Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x280727… |