Suspicious-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

309

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$9.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-20 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

76% 75% +$1

Crypto

16% 80% +$0

Politics

5% 73% +$0

Sports

2% 33% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	4	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-26 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 3?	4	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-03 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 5?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-05 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?	4	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-28 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-13 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 7?	3	$70	48	22	+26	No	+$0	07-07 01:11
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-30 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 26?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-25 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	05-25 14:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on June 30?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-30 04:00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-02 17:03
will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$58	33	26	+7	No	+$0	07-01 06:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	4	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 6?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-06 12:15
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 11	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 13?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-13 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 8?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 26?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-25 22:43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 4?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-03 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 24?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-23 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 14:53
Will "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 1?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-01 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-05 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-13 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 5?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-05 13:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-15 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 14?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-13 17:40
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 29	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-30 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 08:38:02	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66f903…
10-20 05:36:59	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc7d08d…
10-20 05:36:12	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xae434c…
10-20 05:35:17	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3cefc6…
10-11 19:42:19	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc5cb27…
10-06 22:31:40	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6ee9f…
10-04 23:03:56	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x12edd6…
09-29 04:37:02	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcf3f95…
09-29 04:36:11	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1d740…
09-29 04:35:15	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1a4fcf…
09-29 04:34:24	Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc09ae0…
09-29 04:33:30	Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe4e4e3…
09-29 04:32:50	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb2cbf7…
09-14 00:20:31	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8e9220…
09-11 14:49:07	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2828b…
09-07 19:43:07	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe06f94…
09-04 09:21:21	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb0e25e…
08-31 23:08:28	Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52773d…
08-28 21:24:52	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x617907…
08-27 17:13:22	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8445ca…
08-13 01:48:37	Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x601469…
08-13 00:02:49	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde0f41…
08-11 02:11:01	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3e6fe6…
08-11 02:09:57	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1ae8cf…
08-11 02:08:48	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc9edaa…
08-09 16:58:25	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd2e26…
08-07 21:20:57	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0195fd…
08-05 08:37:47	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xc79e41…
07-31 02:06:54	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x647900…
07-26 11:15:21	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x83ba4e…
07-16 06:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0xab265a…
07-15 20:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x478e6c…
07-15 15:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x85c46d…
07-15 15:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcd7f8c…
07-15 03:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x89b865…
07-14 17:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x58ecdd…
07-14 16:54:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe5dbbc…
07-14 15:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5e0075…
07-14 10:26:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x165981…
07-14 07:03:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc6e3c7…
07-14 06:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdb0d42…
07-14 00:05:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd97b79…
07-13 19:46:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4ded4d…
07-13 19:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfc84c…
07-13 17:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe112b3…
07-13 16:30:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa47c69…
07-13 14:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x01dfc3…
07-13 11:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdcabd9…
07-13 07:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x0b9b02…
07-13 04:12:32	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcf6fbd…
07-13 04:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x688bad…
07-13 03:04:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f0518…
07-13 01:55:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc3e568…
07-13 00:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x394be6…
07-13 00:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4ad794…
07-12 21:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaae1fd…
07-12 21:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74a9b8…
07-12 21:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3e3b3e…
07-12 21:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7a3af9…
07-12 21:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xca4800…
07-12 20:58:22	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb582f9…
07-12 20:07:02	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f05c3…
07-12 16:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa640d0…
07-12 16:29:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x96a402…
07-12 13:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x785312…
07-12 13:19:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4f81ae…
07-12 08:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5c71e2…
07-12 07:13:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ecd08…
07-12 04:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd3ef2e…
07-12 02:52:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x857fcb…
07-12 02:23:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 11	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc3c78c…
07-12 02:22:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 11	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc9ff8f…
07-12 02:11:23	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 11	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x091f44…
07-12 00:18:26	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 11	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x90d2a3…
07-11 23:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xec02ad…
07-11 23:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2ea888…
07-11 20:33:38	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 11	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe7a656…
07-11 17:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xe82cc3…
07-11 17:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc75942…
07-11 16:00:26	Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe881ec…
07-11 11:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67e30b…
07-11 11:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa888ed…
07-11 11:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3d3c50…
07-11 11:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6696b2…
07-11 09:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x873968…
07-11 09:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2f0826…
07-11 09:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x146d16…
07-11 04:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6437e0…
07-10 23:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x577f27…
07-10 22:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x515127…
07-10 22:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x967042…
07-10 21:19:34	Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x667b57…
07-10 17:35:56	will googl reach 390 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde2375…
07-10 11:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x62a530…
07-10 11:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa0b338…
07-10 09:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7823c4…
07-10 07:03:41	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb22f5e…
07-10 06:25:40	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x298ae7…
07-10 04:37:59	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6d6d95…
07-10 02:46:38	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6acb2a…