Entire-Napkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$118.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$576

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 07-14 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Sports

62% 9% -$738

Politics

21% 33% -$4

Other

16% 41% -$725

Crypto

1% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$5.6K	2,794	2,794	+0	No	-$1	03-31 10:38
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$5.5K	2,739	2,739	+0	No	-$3	04-01 08:19
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4.5K	2,257	2,257	+0	No	-$2	03-21 05:58
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$3.9K	1,937	1,937	+0	No	-$2	04-02 08:18
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$3.5K	1,779	1,779	+0	open	—	05-07 08:42
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	-$1	04-17 10:26
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.8K	1,399	1,399	+0	No	-$6	03-08 10:14
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.7K	1,378	1,378	+0	No	-$1	02-16 03:32
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$2.6K	1,290	1,290	+0	No	-$1	02-26 08:56
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$2.5K	1,279	1,279	+0	open	—	06-19 03:25
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.4K	1,212	1,212	+0	No	-$1	02-15 06:14
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.4K	1,193	1,193	+0	No	-$1	03-05 03:26
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.3K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	-$1	02-24 08:50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.2K	1,112	1,112	+0	No	-$1	03-04 10:48
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$2.2K	1,093	1,093	+0	No	-$1	04-03 07:51
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.1K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$0	02-19 09:16
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$2.0K	992	992	+0	No	-$1	05-09 04:14
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	2	$2.0K	986	986	+0	No	-$1	05-08 09:41
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$1.9K	971	971	+0	No	-$1	06-04 06:10
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$1.9K	957	957	+0	open	—	06-05 07:11
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	2	$1.9K	944	944	+0	No	-$1	05-05 08:24
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	944	944	+0	open	—	06-05 04:32
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	942	942	+0	open	—	05-08 07:39
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$1.9K	928	928	+0	No	-$1	05-09 08:00
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$1.9K	928	928	+0	No	-$1	05-08 06:12
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	924	924	+0	No	-$1	05-07 10:23
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$1.8K	903	903	+0	No	-$1	05-06 06:15
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	2	$1.7K	881	881	+0	No	-$1	05-06 09:48
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.7K	872	872	+0	No	-$1	03-06 20:08
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.7K	874	874	+0	No	-$1	04-22 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 14:52:35	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x6e3dd7…
07-14 10:16:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x74ce3a…
07-10 07:56:41	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x7937c5…
07-10 04:37:41	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xbd414c…
07-09 12:14:35	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x1b84a1…
07-09 10:14:23	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$110	0xb99a6e…
07-08 05:06:28	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0xe024b2…
07-08 03:20:26	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x14f773…
07-07 06:43:19	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x347555…
07-07 04:55:10	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$114	0x502b27…
07-06 10:28:29	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x75e9c1…
07-06 05:26:11	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xa588ca…
07-03 11:20:23	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x493b0c…
07-03 07:10:41	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0xfd0366…
07-02 08:03:17	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x5ae6f5…
07-02 04:33:44	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x918829…
06-27 10:44:58	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	453	99¢	$449	0x4b041f…
06-27 09:11:38	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	453	99¢	$450	0xabdf72…
06-27 09:11:07	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	358	99¢	$356	0x35c420…
06-27 06:31:25	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	358	99¢	$356	0x4714e7…
06-27 05:13:55	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	435	100¢	$434	0xb8b7ca…
06-27 02:43:11	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	435	100¢	$434	0x7e42dc…
06-26 05:47:55	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0x3afa98…
06-26 02:48:14	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x0d497d…
06-20 08:51:29	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0xe91fe3…
06-20 06:44:05	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0xbf4c67…
06-20 04:07:08	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	477	99¢	$474	0x2cc864…
06-20 02:42:40	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	477	99¢	$474	0x08c575…
06-19 03:25:07	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	456	99¢	$453	0xdf50c6…
06-19 01:54:49	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	456	99¢	$453	0x5610cb…
06-18 09:33:41	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	438	100¢	$436	0x0aaee6…
06-18 07:59:14	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0x9596bb…
06-16 02:47:03	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	571	100¢	$569	0xc73420…
06-14 11:41:58	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$850	0x50b5d5…
06-14 08:51:42	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$851	0xd8c05f…
06-13 09:40:12	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	773	99¢	$768	0x6744c1…
06-13 08:14:13	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	773	99¢	$769	0x6912a1…
06-13 07:39:06	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	816	100¢	$812	0xce2be4…
06-13 05:51:19	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	816	100¢	$812	0x2e2ea7…
06-13 04:11:06	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	867	99¢	$863	0xfc9204…
06-13 01:18:48	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	867	100¢	$864	0x6324ae…
06-12 11:17:54	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	867	100¢	$863	0xf73e58…
06-12 09:30:34	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	867	100¢	$863	0x35ddc7…
06-07 08:13:15	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	847	99¢	$841	0x67cf15…
06-07 05:20:57	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	847	99¢	$842	0x2355ee…
06-06 07:26:46	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	863	100¢	$860	0x2a8ac5…
06-06 05:54:34	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	863	100¢	$861	0x69630c…
06-05 10:42:31	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	791	99¢	$785	0xadfe34…
06-05 08:39:52	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	791	99¢	$785	0x5c47d8…
06-05 07:11:06	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	957	100¢	$954	0x4e1df3…
06-05 05:42:54	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	957	100¢	$955	0x620fa4…
06-05 04:32:46	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	944	99¢	$936	0xc8e499…
06-05 01:48:10	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	944	99¢	$937	0x9f5ee8…
06-04 06:10:39	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	893	100¢	$890	0xeb3ebc…
06-04 03:24:39	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	893	100¢	$891	0xfc67e2…
05-31 09:45:26	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	823	99¢	$817	0x148703…
05-31 08:45:12	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	823	99¢	$818	0x72e7d6…
05-31 05:46:28	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	695	99¢	$690	0x36233e…
05-31 03:42:16	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	695	99¢	$691	0xa0c01a…
05-28 09:16:04	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xf0914e…
05-28 09:02:39	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x52bd46…
05-28 07:07:21	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0xa08c5b…
05-28 06:08:51	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x89b964…
05-28 03:46:45	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x2e18dc…
05-28 03:05:13	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x67c975…
05-27 06:57:01	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x315a25…
05-27 05:26:25	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x02ec73…
05-26 17:29:05	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x890276…
05-24 07:35:13	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x8359c4…
05-24 05:51:11	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xee2889…
05-24 05:48:49	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$135	0xa3cfa5…
05-24 02:44:36	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$135	0x7b02d5…
05-24 02:00:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x813228…
05-21 10:05:26	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0x636bfd…
05-21 08:16:00	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x9f079a…
05-21 07:28:45	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0x2324de…
05-21 05:27:49	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x654bf3…
05-12 05:34:14	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	No	BUY	1,986	40¢	$794	0x733c61…
05-12 05:32:38	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	No	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x1d690e…
05-09 08:00:40	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	928	100¢	$925	0x09038d…
05-09 05:47:05	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	928	100¢	$926	0x211fab…
05-09 04:14:02	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	992	99¢	$986	0x1a8985…
05-09 02:00:34	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	992	100¢	$987	0x6459de…
05-08 09:41:33	Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	986	100¢	$981	0x79b291…
05-08 07:46:10	Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	986	100¢	$982	0xd02501…
05-08 07:39:39	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	942	99¢	$936	0xdefa08…
05-08 06:38:19	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	942	99¢	$937	0x72f935…
05-08 06:12:46	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	928	100¢	$925	0x24b79b…
05-08 03:58:45	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	928	100¢	$926	0x8d7cfe…
05-07 10:23:35	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	924	99¢	$917	0xff5d2e…
05-07 08:46:12	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	924	99¢	$918	0x9c5984…
05-07 08:42:44	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	909	99¢	$902	0x7dac5c…
05-07 06:50:31	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	909	99¢	$903	0xadc803…
05-06 09:48:52	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	881	99¢	$875	0xfe3504…
05-06 07:44:12	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	881	99¢	$875	0x426cc2…
05-06 06:15:18	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	903	100¢	$899	0x9e899b…
05-06 03:40:46	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	903	100¢	$900	0x18eabf…
05-05 10:42:00	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	870	99¢	$863	0xaa2177…
05-05 08:42:48	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	870	99¢	$864	0x41e756…
05-05 08:24:28	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	944	99¢	$938	0x77ab42…