Hot-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$90

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$1

Crypto

7% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?	No		+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	05-07 07:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?	No		+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	05-08 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:32:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9c2b11…
05-07 07:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb1b020…
05-07 07:23:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x03d7ed…
05-06 07:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5af4cd…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-07 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$40	41	+41	No	+$1	05-06 07:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 9?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-08 07:32
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 7?	1	$10	11	+11	No	$-10	05-07 07:23