Vengeful-Chestnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-03 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

40% 100% +$3

Other

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% — —

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No		+6	$5	91¢	$5	+$0	06-08 23:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$53	726	0	+726	open	—	06-04 00:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	2	$41	90	0	+90	open	—	05-24 14:29
nflx above 50 on june 12 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	06-11 05:19
mlb ari bal 2026 04 13	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	04-14 00:32
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	4	$31	146	0	+146	open	—	05-17 23:52
will nflx close between 140 and 150 week april 17 2026	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-15 14:16
will baile inolvidable bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 15:01
will aperture by harry styles be the billboard 1 song for the week of february 14	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-10 10:40
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 15:29
tsla above 375 on march 13 2026	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-11 13:34
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$26	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 21:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-25 13:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 13:24
cbb miaoh toledo 2026 01 09	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	01-09 23:42
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	2	$21	16	12	+4	open	—	04-13 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	06-02 15:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-02 11:28
nflx above 30 on february 20 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-16 12:22
amzn above 225 on april 10 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-10 16:23
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-30 12:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-08 13:36
will nflx dip to 77 50 by march 30 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-03 13:48
btc updown 5m 1772798100	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 11:57
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$15	138	0	+138	open	—	04-25 01:43
will amazon run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-07 09:53
will virgin river season 7 be the top us netflix show this week	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 14:14
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 01:20
nba cha orl 2026 01 22	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	01-23 01:29
will nflx dip to 80 by march 30 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-03 13:48
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 11:24:58	meta close above 630 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9f98b…
07-01 08:26:37	bitcoin above 50k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6e95e5…
06-30 11:51:46	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60693…
06-30 11:51:16	nflx above 40 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06fbd1…
06-29 10:37:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa5c241…
06-29 08:58:32	bitcoin above 70k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xb6d4eb…
06-29 06:52:14	bitcoin above 70k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x014009…
06-27 14:09:08	btc updown 5m 1782569100	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc5a5d9…
06-27 14:04:07	btc updown 5m 1782568800	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x420275…
06-27 13:54:58	btc updown 5m 1782568200	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe20109…
06-27 13:54:58	btc updown 5m 1782568200	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x537516…
06-27 13:49:20	btc updown 5m 1782567900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbd1d83…
06-27 13:38:40	btc updown 5m 1782567300	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2bf0b…
06-26 10:29:59	btc updown 5m 1782469500	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4efb9f…
06-26 10:25:02	btc updown 5m 1782469200	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c3db9…
06-26 09:56:55	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x656b06…
06-26 09:56:46	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x80c6e7…
06-25 15:35:02	btc updown 5m 1782401400	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55b560…
06-25 15:29:32	btc updown 5m 1782401100	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdeeda4…
06-25 15:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5a54de…
06-25 15:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x47fd4b…
06-25 15:18:46	btc updown 5m 1782400500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x10b7a6…
06-25 15:13:50	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1cefd2…
06-25 15:09:55	btc updown 5m 1782399900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4ef0d7…
06-25 15:03:23	btc updown 5m 1782399600	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe8c3c1…
06-25 14:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782399300	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf12475…
06-25 14:54:26	btc updown 5m 1782399000	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf8a153…
06-18 10:24:55	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20	New York Yankees	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf7ea3c…
06-18 10:24:43	mlb bal lad 2026 06 19	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4c4caf…
06-18 10:23:55	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1c3664…
06-18 10:23:14	mlb stl kc 2026 06 18	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc36ec5…
06-18 10:22:52	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0d32ce…
06-18 10:22:41	mlb nym phi 2026 06 18	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x644d12…
06-13 12:20:13	mlb det cle 2026 06 13	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc86f18…
06-13 12:19:58	mlb atl nym 2026 06 13	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xabf500…
06-13 12:19:43	mlb nyy tor 2026 06 13	New York Yankees	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd9ffc6…
06-13 12:19:27	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x074908…
06-12 18:48:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x77dec5…
06-12 17:12:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2d0474…
06-12 16:17:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0bbb43…
06-11 07:09:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xa54e2c…
06-11 05:30:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xa5c4ab…
06-11 05:19:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xefe105…
06-11 05:19:01	nflx above 50 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb47b14…
06-11 04:44:30	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4d344a…
06-08 23:49:33	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6295c3…
06-06 23:16:22	mlb pit atl 2026 06 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdefa24…
06-06 23:16:07	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf88ba4…
06-06 23:15:57	mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2cc6c3…
06-05 19:07:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6a1e4c…
06-05 19:05:04	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x5275e5…
06-05 18:53:01	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6ff3a3…
06-05 18:48:46	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2d52f0…
06-05 18:43:06	btc updown 5m 1780684800	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc5a31e…
06-05 18:41:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1203cf…
06-05 18:39:55	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0cfff9…
06-05 18:29:16	btc updown 5m 1780683900	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7ddb6c…
06-05 18:19:19	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x40635c…
06-05 17:40:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xac9338…
06-04 00:56:30	mlb sf mil 2026 06 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x31444e…
06-04 00:20:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1c9c1a…
06-03 23:48:00	mlb tor atl 2026 06 03	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa11268…
06-03 23:47:43	mlb kc cin 2026 06 03	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0b32d2…
06-03 23:47:01	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	San Diego Padres	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6df3c9…
06-03 23:46:49	mlb bal bos 2026 06 03	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb322e5…
06-03 23:35:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4a2231…
06-03 02:18:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x99cbea…
06-03 02:17:51	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xba56e6…
06-02 15:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x75943f…
06-02 15:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd57028…
06-02 15:30:35	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7e45e1…
06-02 15:30:18	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe4d0c9…
06-02 15:28:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7fb3ec…
06-02 15:26:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7be5ca…
06-02 15:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x1c1e66…
06-02 01:02:30	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x701d2b…
06-02 01:00:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x121282…
06-02 00:49:56	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfdef2…
05-31 14:52:16	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd23175…
05-30 16:54:29	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xab40c3…
05-30 16:54:11	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x19a32a…
05-30 16:53:54	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2c2e33…
05-30 16:53:45	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x896fa5…
05-30 04:35:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcf57fe…
05-29 14:53:25	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3b9568…
05-29 14:53:15	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9d5741…
05-29 14:53:01	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b6246…
05-29 14:52:52	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x52f820…
05-29 14:52:42	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x40bb64…
05-29 14:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x932be7…
05-29 09:48:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd88ebe…
05-29 09:23:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x17abc8…
05-29 08:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x094e79…
05-29 07:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xcdbd33…
05-29 05:50:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xce7ba8…
05-29 05:50:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0befbb…
05-29 02:28:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1c7da2…
05-29 01:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x8d2eef…
05-29 00:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x52a55c…
05-28 18:32:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d7d29…